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NUSInvest Workshop Series Candlesticks Patterns

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Presentation on theme: "NUSInvest Workshop Series Candlesticks Patterns"— Presentation transcript:

1 NUSInvest Workshop Series Candlesticks Patterns
Session Two Candlesticks Patterns

2 NUS Students’ Investment Society

3 Workshops Syllabus – Sem 1
LT18, 6-7PM Week Lesson Topic Week 4 Introduction to FA & TA Week 5 Japanese Candlesticks & Charts (E-learning Week) Week 6 Annual Reports Week 7 NIL (Mid-terms Week) Week 8 Support & Resistance Week 9 Valuation Methodology Week 10 Exams Preparation Week 11 Week 12

4 PROFILE NUS Invest Research Analyst, Acting FA Director
Year 2 BBA (Finance) First trading experience in 2010 Does both FA & TA, mostly FA

5 DISCLOSURES & DISCLAIMERS
This research material has been prepared by NUS Invest. NUS Invest specifically prohibits the redistribution of this material in whole or in part without the written permission of NUS Invest. The research officer(s) primarily responsible for the content of this research material, in whole or in part, certifies that their views are accurately expressed and they will not receive direct or indirect compensation in exchange for expressing specific recommendations or views in this research material. Nothing in this research material constitutes a representation that any investment strategy or recommendation contained herein is suitable or appropriate to a recipient’s individual circumstances or otherwise constitutes a personal recommendation. It is published solely for information purposes, it does not constitute an advertisement and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. No representation or warranty, either expressed or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained herein. The research material should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgement. Any opinions expressed in this research material are subject to change without notice.

6 Background

7 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Japanese Candlestick Stresses relationship between open and close prices BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

8 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Candle Anatomy Body: Distance between open and closing Tip of upper wick/shadow: Highest price of that period Bottom of lower wick/shadow/hair: Lowest price of that period Range (length) of candle stick indicates volatility Upward candlestick usually white or green or blue Downward candlestick usually black or red Bearish Candle Bullish Candle BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

9 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Gaps/ Windows Gap: Current open is not the same as prior closing price No price and no volume transacted hands between the gap (area on price chart where there is no trades) Effect of news after stock market closed for the day (e.g. earnings report) Psychology: Can act as resistance/ support (news that sparked the gap is still in play) BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

10 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Gaps Daily Chart – Wal-Mart (WMT) BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

11 1-Price Bar Patterns

12 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
1-Bar Pattern Long Lower Shadow Bullish signal Lower shadow must be at least the size of the real body Longer lower shadow: more reliable that it is a bullish trend Long Upper Shadow Bearish signal Upper shadow must be at least the size of the real body Longer upper shadow: more reliable that it is a bearish trend BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

13 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Marubozu White Marubozu Long white body, no wicks Bullish candle Open equals low, closing equals high Indicates buyers in control during entire period Black Marubozu Long black body, no wicks Bearish Candle Indicates sellers in control during entire period BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

14 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Hammer Found in downtrend Short body at the top of price range Little to no upper shadow Lower shadow must be at least twice the length of real-body Signals: Reversal pattern when found in a downtrend Short-term outlook indication Real body can be black or white (white: stronger signal) BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

15 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Hammer Low reliability, requires confirmation Bullish gap for next session Subsequent session shows white real body above that of the hammer’s real body Significance/ Strength: Length of Lower Shadow Colour Buyers drive prices back up to close near the highs Long lower wick indicates initial selling prices BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

16 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

17 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Hanging Man Found in uptrend Short body at the top of price range Little to no upper shadow Lower shadow must be at least twice the length of real-body Warning of a potential downward trend Short-term outlook indication Also requires confirmation BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

18 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Hanging Man 1. Uptrend 2. Gap Up 3. Lower Shadow at least twice as big as Real Body 4. Real Body Bullish or Bearish; better if Bearish 5. Confirmation Candle Greater gap: Higher likelihood of reversal BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

19 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Shooting Star Found in uptrend Short body at the bottom of price range Little to no lower shadow Upper shadow must be at least twice the length of real-body Signals: Reversal pattern Short-term outlook indication Real body can be black or white (black: stronger signal) BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

20 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Shooting Star Low reliability, requires confirmation Bearish gap for next session Subsequent session shows black real body below that of the shooting star’s real body Significance/ Strength: Length of Upper Shadow Colour Long upper wick indicates initial buying prices Open Bears were able to reject bulls completely (or push prices even lower by closing below open) BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

21 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Shooting Star 1. Uptrend 2. Upper shadow at least twice as big as real body 3. Real body bullish or bearish (bearish: stronger indication) BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

22 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Inverted Hammer Found in downtrend Short body at the bottom of price range Little to no lower shadow Upper shadow must be at least twice the length of real-body Signals: Reversal pattern Short-term outlook indication Real body can be black or white (white: stronger signal) BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

23 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Inverted Hammer BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

24 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Spinning Top & Doji Short body in the middle of two long wicks Market closed relatively unchanged Indicates indecision (‘standoff’ after significant price movement) Trend losing momentum; possible turning point Doji/ Long-legged Doji: stronger signal Open and close are the same Insignificant in sideway markets Buyers in control Sellers in control BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

25 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

26 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
More Doji Patterns Dragonfly Doji Gravestone Doji Four Price Doji Long lower, no upper Long upper, no lower Same upper, lower, open & close Very rare Low volume situations BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

27 2-Price Bar Patterns

28 Bullish Engulfing Candle
When found in a downtrend: Bullish candle opens lower than previous candle’s close, closes higher than previous candle’s open Potential sign that trend is reversing Indicates control has shifted from sellers to buyers Gap down BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

29 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Bullish Engulfing 1. Downtrend 2. Bearish Candle 3. Gap Down 4. Bullish Candle 5. Close above previous Bearish Candle BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

30 Bearish Engulfing Candle
When found in a uptrend: Gap up: Bullish sign But: Bulls only push prices up slightly before bears take over and push prices much lower Potential sign that trend is reversing Indicates control has shifted from buyers to sellers Gap Up BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

31 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Bearish Engulfing 1. Uptrend 2. Bullish Candle 3. Gap Up 4. Bearish candle 5. Close below previous Bullish Candle Greater size difference: Increased significance BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

32 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Dark Cloud Cover Gap Up Bullish candle closes below the middle of previous candle Rejection of Gap: Bearish sign Retracement: Additional significance BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

33 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Piercing Line Pattern Gap down Bearish candle closes below the middle of previous candle Rejection of Gap: Bullish Sign Retracement: Additional significance BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

34 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Harami Bearish Harami Large bullish, followed by small bearish Gap down, unable to retrace  Uncertainty entering the market Bullish Harami Large bearish, followed by small bullish Gap up  Reversal Pattern BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

35 Harami In a Downtrend 1. Downtrend 2. Bearish Candle 3. Gap Up 4. Small Bullish Candle In an Uptrend 1. Uptrend 2. Bullish Candle 3. Gap Down 4. Small Bullish Candle

36 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Tweezer Top & Bottom Bearish Tweezer Top Day 1 Close about equal to Day 2 Open Occurs during an uptrend (closes near the high) Sentiments reverses completely the next day Bullish Tweezer Bottom Occurs during downtrend (closing the day near the lows) Sometimes eliminates entire gains from previous day BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

37 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Tweezer Bottom 1. Downtrend 2. Bearish Candle 3. Day 1 Lows about equal to Day 2 Lows 4. Bullish Candle BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

38 Tweezer Top Resistance Line
High of Day 3 Gap Up to Prior Highs; Bulls rejected again High of Day 2 (Bulls rejected) High of Day 1 Resistance Line

39 3-Price Bar Patterns

40 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Morning Star Consists of 3 candlesticks Bearish Gap: Bears are in control during opening Day 2: Prices are not pushed much lower (small / neutral candlestick) Bullish: stronger sign Day 3: Bullish gap up Prices pushed further upward, sometimes eliminating all Day 1 losses BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

41 Morning Star 1. Downtrend 2. Bearish Candle 3. Gap Down
4. Small Bullish/ Bearish Candle 5. Gap Up 6. Bullish Candle

42 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Evening Star Consists of 3 candlesticks: - Bullish, Small/ Neutral, Bearish Presence of bullish gap & bearish gap Day 2: Prices are not pushed much higher Bearish: stronger sign Day 3: Large bearish candlestick Prices pushed further downward, sometimes eliminating all of Day 1’s gains BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

43 Evening Star 1. Uptrend 2. Bullish Candle 3. Gap Up
4. Small Bullish/ Bearish Candle 5. Gap Down 6. Bullish Candle Morning Star Pattern Powerful bearish reversal pattern!

44 Price Action Trading Strategies

45 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Pin Bar Setup Bullish Pin Bar Pin bar: middle of a 3-bar formation Open and Close of pin bar is within (or very close) price range of bar 1 and 3 Shadow of pin bar sticks out Longer, more significant Pin bars occurring at important support/ resistance level can be very accurate Can be taken as counter trend if well-defined and protrude significantly from surrounding price bars Indicates strong rejection occurred Preferably on daily chart time frame Bearish Pin Bar BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

46 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Pin Bar Setup Two large bullish pin bars bring an end to the previous downtrend Obvious bullish pin bars with the overall uptrend Pin bars occurring the context of a trending market BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

47 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Inside Bar Setup Inside bar: Bar (or series of bars) completely contained within preceding bar Not the same as harami Inside bars in strong trending markets breakout plays in that direction (‘pauses’) Mother bar Two inside bars contained within range of mother bar BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

48 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Inside Bar Setup Inside bar setups traded with the near-term momentum often give rise to large moves. Daily AUDUSD chart BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

49 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Fakey Setup Inside/Harami bar + False break, then closes back within range Fakey entry: triggered as price moves back up past the high of the inside bar (or the low in the case of a bearish fakey) Amateurs tried to pick market top, pros stepped in and flushed out amateurs in a flurry of buying Fakey setup BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

50 PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES
Fakey Setup Substantial push higher after false-break to the downside False-break / Fakey setup BACKGROUND 1-BAR PATTERN 2-BARS PATTERN 3-BARS PATTERN PRICE TRADING STRATEGIES

51 Summary Background 2-Bars Pattern 1-Bar Pattern 3-Bars Pattern
Candlestick Anatomy Bullish/ Bearish Engulfing Gaps Dark cloud cover/ Piercing Line Harami 1-Bar Pattern Tweezer Top/ Bottom Hammer/ Hanging Man 3-Bars Pattern Shooting Star/ Inverted Hammer Morning/ Evening Star Spinning Top Doji Price Trading Strategies Pin Bar Setup Inside Bar Setup Fakey Bar Setup

52 Resources Babypips.com Forexfactory.com

53 Do email us at research@nusinvest.com if you have any questions!
Ask Research! Do us at if you have any questions!

54 Thank You! 


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