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Northern Forest Futures A window on tomorrow's forests Revealing how today's trends and choices can change the future landscape of the North Collaborative.

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Presentation on theme: "Northern Forest Futures A window on tomorrow's forests Revealing how today's trends and choices can change the future landscape of the North Collaborative."— Presentation transcript:

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2 Northern Forest Futures A window on tomorrow's forests Revealing how today's trends and choices can change the future landscape of the North Collaborative undertaking Complements other efforts Introduction

3 The North Maine Minnesota Missouri Maryland Introduction

4 Forests and People Pacific Coast 37% forested Interior West 20% forested South 40% forested North 42% forested 9% 16% 41% 34% Northern Forests in Context

5 Three Components of NFFP 1.Analysis of shared forest resource issues 2.Assessment of current forest conditions and recent trends 3.Projections of expected forest conditions 2010-2060 under alternative scenarios – Succession, growth, harvest – Land use change – Climate – Invasives, bioenergy, socio-economic factors Introduction

6 Forest Resource Issues in the North Dietzman, LaJeunesse, and Wormstead 2011. Scoping of issues in the forests of the Northeast and Midwest of the United States Based on – 700 comments – 74 source documents – Primarily 2004-2009 Issues

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8 Montreal Process Criteria and Indicators 1.Conservation of biological diversity 2.Maintenance of productive capacity of forest ecosystems 3.Maintenance of forest ecosystem health and vitality 4.Conservation and maintenance of soil and water resources 5.Maintenance of forest contributions to global carbon cycles 6.Maintenance and enhancement of long-term multiple socioeconomic benefits to meet the needs of societies 7.Legal, institutional and economic framework for forest conservation and sustainable management 8.Urban and community forests Sustainable Forest Criteria and Indicators

9 Fragmentation: Interior Forest Criterion 1: Biodiversity Percent of County Forest Area that is “Interior” Forest Source: Kurt Riitters

10 Increasing Volume Over Time Criterion 2: Productive capacity Pennsylvania New York West Virginia

11 Criterion 6: Socioeconomic benefits Jobs 441,000 jobs – 40 percent of U.S. total in the sector Average wage $43K 16 fatalities/year

12 Summarization of 36 Indicators Highly positive Positive Neutral Negative Highly negative

13 Forests of the Northern United States Executive summary Northern Forest Futures website Outstanding data exploration tools for current conditions Current Products http://nrs.fs.fed.us/futures/

14 Interactive Data Tools http://nrs.fs.fed.us/futures/dashboard/

15 Recreation Analysis (Published in summer 2012) Projections 2010-2060 - Succession, growth, harvest - Land use change - Climate - Invasives, bioenergy, socio-economic factors (Published in 2013) Stay Tuned

16 Progress Report on Projection System Keith Moser, Projections Team Leader


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