1. Examining the oxidative capacity of the troposphere in the remote tropical Western Pacific Julie Nicely 23 October 2014 University of Maryland Ross Salawitch, Tim Canty, Dan Anderson, Doug Kinnison, Teresa Campos, Cameron Homeyer, Dan Riemer, Andy Weinheimer, et al.

2. Outline Why OH in the tropical western Pacific is of particular interest Box modeling method Early results: – OH box modeled from CONTRAST data – OH box modeled from CAMChem output – Impact of high O 3 /low H 2 O filaments on OH Future work 2

3. Rex et al., ACP, 2014 Sondes, Oct 2009 24 Hr Avg OH, GEOS-Chem first half Oct 2009 “OH Hole” predicted by Rex et al. in tropical western Pacific 3

4. 24 Hr Avg OH, CAM-Chem Oct 2008 24 Hr Avg OH, CAM-Chem Feb 2008 Analysis of POLMIP CTM model archive 4 “OH Hole” predicted by Rex et al. in tropical western Pacific

5. Gao et al., JAC, 2014 Gao et al. (2014) & Rex et al. (2014) associate NO < 1  10 8 cm  3 with this “tropical OH hole” [NO] this low was rarely seen during CONTRAST 5 “OH Hole” predicted by Rex et al. in tropical western Pacific...but did NO get low enough? 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 NO Concentration (×10 9 cm -3 ) 0 20 40 60 80 100 O 3 Mixing Ratio (ppbv) 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Altitude (km) CONTRAST

6. 6 Also want to investigate impact of high O 3 /low H 2 O on OH

7. 7

8. Box Model 8 DSMACC: Dynamically Simple Model for Atmospheric Chemical Complexity tropospheric chemistry box model that can interface to various chemical mechanisms -Emmerson and Evans, ACP, 2009 Makes use of the: KPP (Kinetics PreProcessor) Damian et al., Computers and Chemical Engineering, 2002. Leeds Master Chemical Mechanism Jenkin et al., Atmos. Environ., 1997; Saunders et al., ACP, 2003 Box model can be run with inputs from observations, from a global model, or a combination of both Box model inputs: all measured on GV p T H2OH2O O3O3 CO CO 2 NO NO 2 CH 4 Acetone C3H8C3H8 Isoprene MVK MACR CH 3 OH CH 3 CHO HCHO J(O 1 D) J(NO 2 )

9. OH RF07 9 Box Modeling with Data Flight track Guam

10. OH RF07 10 Box Modeling with CAM-Chem Flight track Guam Box model results with observed inputs Box model results with CAM-Chem inputs: Box model is good approximation of CAM-Chem chem mechanism

11. OH RF07 11 Box Modeling with CAM-Chem + GV O 3 Flight track Guam

12. OH RF07 12 Flight track Guam Box Modeling with CAM-Chem + GV CO

13. OH RF07 13 Flight track Guam Box Modeling with CAM-Chem + GV H 2 O

14. OH RF07 14 Flight track Guam Box Modeling with CAM-Chem + GV NO x

15. OH RF07 15 Flight track Guam Box Modeling with CAM-Chem + GV O 3 +NO x

16. OH RF12 16 Box Modeling with Data Flight track Guam

17. OH RF12 17 Box Modeling with CAM-Chem Flight track Guam

18. OH RF12 18 Box Modeling with CAM-Chem + GV O 3 Flight track Guam

19. OH RF12 19 Box Modeling with CAM-Chem + GV NO x Flight track Guam

20. OH RF12 20 Box Modeling with CAM-Chem + GV VOCs Flight track Guam VOCs = ISOP + C 3 H 8 + CH 3 COCH 3 + MVK + MACR + CH 3 OH + CH 3 CHO + HCHO

21. OH RF12 21 Box Modeling with CAM-Chem + GV NO x +VOCs Flight track Guam

22. 22 First Look: Effect of O 3 filaments 1.) Box model run as if filament doesn’t exist

23. Elevated O 3 causes modeled OH to rise 23 First Look: Effect of O 3 filaments 1.) Box model run as if filament doesn’t exist 2.) Run with elevated O 3, but not low H 2 O

24. Elevated O 3 causes modeled OH to rise 24 First Look: Effect of O 3 filaments 1.) Box model run as if filament doesn’t exist 2.) Run with elevated O 3, but not low H 2 O

25. Elevated O 3 causes modeled OH to rise 25 First Look: Effect of O 3 filaments 1.) Box model run as if filament doesn’t exist 2.) Run with elevated O 3, but not low H 2 O

26. Depressed H 2 O causes modeled OH to fall by more than the O 3 induced rise 26 First Look: Effect of O 3 filaments 1.) Box model run as if filament doesn’t exist 2.) Run with elevated O 3, but not low H 2 O 3.) Run with elevated O 3 and low H 2 O

27. Conclusions Inferred OH doesn’t reach values nearly as low as predicted by Rex et al. *Analysis is contingent on accuracy of NO x measurements; NO x used here is in-field, preliminary data Effect of low H 2 O > effect of high O 3 on OH in filaments CAM-Chem is underestimating OH due to combination of O 3, NO x, & VOCs Future Work Continue box modeling OH for more flights/as data are revised and comparing to CAM-Chem Continue O 3 filament examination: effect on OH & τ’s Compare model vs observations in similar air masses – Use tracer-tracer relationships – Independent of whether model predicts filament location 27

28. Backup 28

29. 29 Δ(OH Column) as a result of swapping fields of CO between CAM-Chem and GMI Results from neural network analysis of POLMIP CTMs CAM-Chem + (GMI CO)GMI + (CAM-Chem CO) Relatively small effect on OH, τ CH4 in TWP region

30. 30

31. OH RF07 31 Flight track Guam Box Modeling with CAM-Chem + GV VOCs

32. OH RF07 32 Flight track Guam Box Modeling with CAM-Chem + GV O 3 +NO x +H 2 O

33. OH RF12 33 Box Modeling with CAM-Chem + GV CO Flight track Guam

34. OH RF12 34 Box Modeling with CAM-Chem + GV H 2 O Flight track Guam

35. 35

36. 36

37. 37

38. Older analysis 38

39. OH HO 2 Box Modeling with Data Preliminary TOGA RF07 39 Flight track Guam

40. OH HO 2 40 Box Modeling with Both Data + CAMChem CH 4 RF07 Fligh t track Guam

41. OH HO 2 41 Box Modeling with Data Finalized TOGA/preliminary everything else RF07 Flight track Guam

42. OH HO 2 42 Box Modeling with CAMChem RF07 Flight track Guam

43. OH HO 2 43 Box Modeling with Data Finalized TOGA/preliminary everything else RF07 Flight track Guam

44. OH HO 2 44 Box Modeling with Both Data + CAMChem CO RF07 Fligh t track Guam

45. OH HO 2 45 Box Modeling with Both Data + CAMChem O 3 RF07 Fligh t track Guam