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National Center for Higher Education Management Systems 3035 Center Green Drive, Suite 150 Boulder, Colorado 80301 The Public Agenda 5 Years Later Illinois.

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Presentation on theme: "National Center for Higher Education Management Systems 3035 Center Green Drive, Suite 150 Boulder, Colorado 80301 The Public Agenda 5 Years Later Illinois."— Presentation transcript:

1 National Center for Higher Education Management Systems 3035 Center Green Drive, Suite 150 Boulder, Colorado 80301 The Public Agenda 5 Years Later Illinois Board of Higher Education College of Lake County April 1, 2014

2 Change in Adults with an Associates and Higher, 2007 to 2012 slide 2 Ages 25-34 Ages 25-64 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2007, 2012 American Community Survey

3 Change in Adults with an Bachelor’s and Higher, 2007 to 2012 slide 3 Ages 25-34 Ages 25-64 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2007, 2012 American Community Survey

4 Percent of Adults with an Associate Degree or Higher by Age Group – Illinois, U.S. & Leading OECD Countries 4 Source: OECD, Education at a Glance 2007, 2013; U.S. Census Bureau, 2007, 2012 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample File 2007 2011-12

5 Education Attainment Levels of Adults, 2005 vs. 2012 (Percent) slide 5 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 and 2012 American Community Survey 2005 2012 50-State Rank 24 29 27 12 27 29 32 11

6 Change in Percent Education Attainment Levels of Adults, 2005 vs. 2012 slide 6 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 and 2012 American Community Survey Change in 50-State Rank -3 0 -5 1 1

7 Change in the High School Completion Gap Between Whites and Underserved Populations, 2007 vs. 2012 slide 7 Ages 18-34 Ages 18-64 Note: Underrepresented Minorities include Blacks, Hispanics, and Native Americans Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 and 2010-12 American Community Survey (ACS) Three-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File. 2005-072010-12 Illinois18.90%16.75% Nation17.85%15.35% 2005-072010-12 Illinois20.65%19.45% Nation19.18%17.68% Negative numbers represent a closing of the gap

8 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Percent of Population Age 18-24 with No High School Diploma 2006 2011 Illinois = 16.7% Illinois = 15.1%

9 Illinois = -1.6% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2011 American Community Survey One-Year PUMS File. Change in Percent of Population Age 18-24 with No High School Diploma, 2006-11

10 Change in Average Annual Percent of Adults with at Least an Associates Degree - Gap Between Whites and Underserved Populations slide 10 Ages 25-34 Ages 25-64 Note: Underrepresented Minorities include Blacks, Hispanics, and Native Americans Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 and 2010-12 American Community Survey (ACS) Three-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File. 2005-072010-12 Illinois29.54%31.99% Nation23.27%24.95% 2005-072010-12 Illinois23.14%24.82% Nation19.92%22.61% Negative numbers represent a closing of the gap

11 Change in Average Annual Percent of Adults with at Least a Bachelor’s Degree - Gap Between Whites and Underserved Populations slide 11 Ages 25-34 Ages 25-64 Note: Underrepresented Minorities include Blacks, Hispanics, and Native Americans Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 and 2010-12 American Community Survey (ACS) Three-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File. 2005-072010-12 Illinois26.14%28.88% Nation20.20%22.13% 2005-072010-12 Illinois20.71%22.03% Nation17.65%18.10% Negative numbers represent a closing of the gap

12 Change in Education Attainment Levels by Race, Adults Ages 25-64, 2006-08 vs. 2008-10 slide 12 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006-08 American Community Survey (ACS) File, 2008-10 American Community Survey (ACS) Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File. Less than High School High School or GED Some College No Degree Associates Degree Bachelor’s Degree Graduate Degree Less than High School High School or GED Some College No Degree Associates Degree Bachelor’s Degree Graduate Degree Illinois Nation

13 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Percent of Population Age 25-64 with an Associates Degree or Higher 2006 2011 Illinois = 41.7% Illinois = 39.7%

14 Illinois = 2.0% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2011 American Community Survey One-Year PUMS File. Change in Percent of Population Age 25-64 with an Associates Degree or Higher, 2006-11

15 Student Pipeline Source: NCES Common Core Data 2004, 2010; Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Education Opportunity; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2004 Retention Rate File and Fall 2003 Enrollments, 2004 Graduation Rates; U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 and ACS, NCES, IPEDS Fall 2010 Retention Rate File; ef2010_d Final Release Data File. NCES, IPEDS 2009-10 Graduation Rate File; gr2010 Final Release Data File. Of 100 9th Graders, How Many… 2004 Of 100 9th Graders, How Many… 2010

16 Difference in College Participation Rates for Students in Low-Income Families, 2007 to 2012 slide 16 Illinois ranks 29 th in participation of students from low-income families with a rate of 35.5% in 2012. This is an increase from 29.9% in 2007. Source: National Science Foundation

17 Change in Undergraduate Enrollment Age 25-49 as a Percent of Population Age 25-49 with Just a High School Diploma 2007 to 2011 slide 17 Source: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2007 and Fall 2011 Enrollment File; ef2011b Provisional Release Data File. U.S. Census Bureau, 2011 American Community Survey, 2011 State Population Estimates, 2007 American Community Survey, 2000-2010 State Intercensal Population Estimates.

18 Change in Economic Growth, 1997-2007 versus 2007-2012 slide 18 Source: US Bureau of Economics 1997-2007 2007-2012 Calculated as change in gross state product for the specified period.

19 Change in Median Earnings by Education Attainment, Ages 25-64, 2005 to 2010 slide 19 United States Illinois Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 American Community Survey Public Use Microdata Sample File; U.S. Census Bureau, 2008-10 American Community Survey (ACS) Three-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.

20 Change in Total Higher Education Revenues per FTE Student, 2007 to 2012 slide 20 Illinois total education revenues increased from $11,123 in FY2007 to $12,855 in FY2012, the largest increase in the United States. The National Average went from $11,989 in 2007 to $11,043 in 2012, a loss of 7.9% Source: SHEF FY2012 Report Total educational revenue is the sum of educational appropriations and net tuition excluding net tuition revenue used for capital debt service.

21 Change in State and Local Appropriations per FTE Student, 2007 to 2012 slide 21 Appropriations per FTE in Illinois increased from $7,835 in FY2007 to $8,554 in FY2012, the second largest increase in the United States. The National Average decreased from $7,667 in 2007 to $5,906 in 2012, a loss of 23% Source: SHEF FY2012 Report

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23 Tax Capacity and Effective Tax Rate, Illinois, 2006-2010 slide 23 U.S. Average Source: SHEEO SHEF

24 Change in Net Cost for First-Time Full-Time Undergraduates as a Percent of Median Family Income, 2006-07 to 2011-12, 2-Year Institutions slide 24 Sources: NCES, IPEDS Institutional Characteristics Files; IC2006_ay, hd2012 and ic2012_ay Provisional Release Data Files.; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2006, Fall 2011 Enrollment Files; NCES, IPEDS Academic Year 2006-07, 2011-12 Student Financial Aid Files; U.S. Census Bureau, 2007 & 2012 American Community Survey (ACS) One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File. 2011-2012 files provisional. Note: State Costs are weighted averages of published institution charges for first-time full-time undergraduates. In 2006-07, Illinois ranked 26 th at 12.2% of median family income required to attend 2-year institutions. In 2011-12 Illinois moved to 34 th in the nation for the percentage of family income required to pay for attendance at 2-year institutions – 14.1%.

25 Change in Net Cost for First-Time Full-Time Undergraduates as a Percent of Median Family Income, 2006-07 to 2011-12, 4-Year Institutions slide 25 Sources: NCES, IPEDS Institutional Characteristics Files; IC2006_ay, hd2012 and ic2012_ay Provisional Release Data Files.; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2006, Fall 2011 Enrollment Files; NCES, IPEDS Academic Year 2006-07, 2011-12 Student Financial Aid Files; U.S. Census Bureau, 2007 & 2012 American Community Survey (ACS) One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File. 2011-2012 files provisional. Note: State Costs are weighted averages of published institution charges for first-time full-time undergraduates. Illinois has moved from 46 th to 47 th in the nation for the percent of median family income required to attend a 4 year institution. In 2006-07, tuition costs were 18.3% of median family income, and in 2011-12, 22.6%.

26 Change in Net Cost for First-Time Full-Time Undergraduates as a Percent of Low Quintile Median Family Income, 2006-07 to 2011-12, 2-Year Institutions slide 26 Sources: NCES, IPEDS Institutional Characteristics Files; IC2006_ay, hd2012 and ic2012_ay Provisional Release Data Files.; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2006, Fall 2011 Enrollment Files; NCES, IPEDS Academic Year 2006-07, 2011-12 Student Financial Aid Files; U.S. Census Bureau, 2007 & 2012 American Community Survey (ACS) One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File. 2011-2012 files provisional. Note: State Costs are weighted averages of published institution charges for first-time full-time undergraduates. In 2006-07, Illinois ranked 24 th at 41% of low quintile median family income required to attend 2-year institutions. In 2011-12 Illinois moved to 12 th in the nation for the percentage of family income required to pay for attendance at 2-year institutions – 53%.

27 Change in Net Cost for First-Time Full-Time Undergraduates as a Percent of Low Quintile Median Family Income, 2006-07 to 2011-12, 4-Year Institutions slide 27 Sources: NCES, IPEDS Institutional Characteristics Files; IC2006_ay, hd2012 and ic2012_ay Provisional Release Data Files.; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2006, Fall 2011 Enrollment Files; NCES, IPEDS Academic Year 2006-07, 2011-12 Student Financial Aid Files; U.S. Census Bureau, 2007 & 2012 American Community Survey (ACS) One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File. 2011-2012 files provisional. Note: State Costs are weighted averages of published institution charges for first-time full-time undergraduates. Illinois has maintained a rank of 4 th in the nation for the percentage of lowest quintile median family income required to attend 4-year institutions. In 2006-07, tuition costs were 62% of family income (low quintile), and in 2011-12, 86%.

28 Change in State Need-Based Aid as a Percent of Pell, 2007 vs. 2012 slide 28 Source: NASSGAP Annual Reports, 2006-07 & 2011-12; US Dept. of Ed End of Year Reports, 2006-07, 2011-12

29 Growth in Technology Transfer in Illinois and the United States, 2003-07 vs. 2008-12, Percent Change slide 29 US Illinois 2003-072008-12Total, 2003-12 57,59669,007126,603 2,7753,2125,987 11,89513,85925,754 5155361,051 5197631,282 14,30715,49529,802 Notes: US numbers exclude Illinois. The University of Illinois, University of Chicago, and Northwestern University account for almost all academic technology transfer output in the state. Source: Illinois Innovation Index 2013 Quarter 4, Association of University Technology Managers (AUTM), ISTC

30 Difference in Venture Capital Disbursed per $1,000 of Gross Domestic Product, by State, 2007 to 2012 slide 30 SOURCES: NSF.gov: PricewaterhouseCoopers and National Venture Capital Association, special tabulations (2011, 2011, 2013) of the MoneyTree™ Survey (various years); Bureau of Economic Analysis, Gross Domestic Product data (June 2013).

31 Funding for Research & Development, 2008 to 2011 slide 31 Source: National Science Foundation 2008 2011 50-State Rank 10 6 5 6 7 6 5 9 8

32 Change in Funding for Research & Development, 2008 to 2011 slide 32 Source: National Science Foundation Change in 50-State Rank 0 0 0 -3

33 Change in Rank on the State New Economy Index, 2007 to 2012 slide 33 Source: The 2012 State new Economy Index, ITIF


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