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DIAGNOSTICO DE LA TEMPERATURA MINIMA PARA LA REGION DE CHILE UTILIZANDO CPT CLAUDIA VILLARROEL.

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Presentation on theme: "DIAGNOSTICO DE LA TEMPERATURA MINIMA PARA LA REGION DE CHILE UTILIZANDO CPT CLAUDIA VILLARROEL."— Presentation transcript:

1 DIAGNOSTICO DE LA TEMPERATURA MINIMA PARA LA REGION DE CHILE UTILIZANDO CPT CLAUDIA VILLARROEL

2 GOOD CORRELATION BETWEEN TSM AND PRECIPITATIONS WINTER AND SPRING NIÑO + PRECIPITATIONS + TEMP. MIN - TEMP. MAX Aceituno, Montecinos Quintana ~2005-6 ¿GOOD CORRELATION BETWEEN TSM AND TEMPERATURE (MIN O MAX)? Villarroel, et.al. 2005 Nigths warm (Tn>90 Perc)

3 X : SST DE SEP-OCT 1982-2007 LAT : 20 -40 LON: -180 -5 Y : T ° MINIMA AGO-SEP-NOV (AVERAGE) 1950-2006 LAT : -10 -60 LON: -80 -65 FIRST YEAR X AND Y TRAINING 1982 EOF MODES X: 7 EOF MODES Y: 5 CCA MODES : 4 LENGTH TRAINING PERIOD: 25 YEAR WINDOW : 5 YEAR BEST NEAREST NEIGHBOUR THERESHOLDS: ANOMALIES STANDARIZED DATA INPUT

4

5 CC=0.886 CC=0.8 CC=0.62

6 FORECAST AGO – SEP – OCT 2007

7 IQUIQUESANTIAGO

8


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