Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

1 Chapter 15 Capital Structure Decisions: Part I.

Similar presentations


Presentation on theme: "1 Chapter 15 Capital Structure Decisions: Part I."— Presentation transcript:

1 1 Chapter 15 Capital Structure Decisions: Part I

2 2 Topics in Chapter Overview of capital structure effects Business versus financial risk The impact of debt on returns Capital structure theory, evidence, and implications Choosing the optimal capital structure: An example

3 3 Basic Definitions V = value of firm FCF = free cash flow WACC = weighted average cost of capital r s and r d = costs of stock and debt w ce and w d = percentages of the firm that are financed with stock and debt

4 4 Capital Structure and Firm Value V = ∑ ∞ t=1 FCF t (1 + WACC) t WACC= w d (1-T) r d + w ce r s (15-1) (15-2)

5 5 Capital Structure Effects Preview The impact of capital structure on value depends upon the effect of debt on: WACC FCF

6 6 Debt increases the cost of equity, r s Debt holders have a prior claim on cash flows relative to stockholders. Debtholders’ “fixed” claim increases risk of stockholders’ “residual” claim. Debt reduces the firm’s taxes Firm’s can deduct interest expenses. Frees up more cash for payments to investors Reduces after-tax cost of debt The Effect of Debt on WACC

7 7 Debt increases risk of bankruptcy Causes pre-tax cost of debt to increase Adding debt: Increases percent of firm financed with low-cost debt (w d ) Decreases percent financed with high-cost equity (w ce ) Net effect on WACC = uncertain

8 8 The Effect of Debt on FCF  debt   probability of bankruptcy Direct costs: Legal fees “Fire” sales, etc. Indirect costs: Lost customers Reduction in productivity of managers and line workers, Reduction in credit (i.e., accounts payable) offered by suppliers

9 9 The Effect of Additional Debt Impact of indirect costs  Sales &  Productivity Customers choose other sources Workers worry about their jobs NOWC  Suppliers tighten credit NOPAT  FCF 

10 10 The Effect of Additional Debt on Managerial Behavior Reduces agency costs: Debt reduces free cash flow waste Increases agency costs: Underinvestment potential

11 11 Asymmetric Information and Signaling “Asymmetric Information” = insiders know more than outsiders Managers know the firm’s future prospects better than investors.  Managers would not issue additional equity if they thought the current stock price was less than the true value of the stock = Investors often perceive an additional issuance of stock as a negative signal Stock price 

12 12 Business Risk vs. Financial Risk Business risk: Uncertainty about future EBIT Depends on business factors such as competition, operating leverage, etc. Financial risk: Additional business risk concentrated on common stockholders when financial leverage is used

13 13 Business risk: Uncertainty about future pre-tax operating income (EBIT). Probability EBITE(EBIT)0 Low risk High risk Note: Business risk focuses on operating income, ignoring financing effects.

14 14 Factors That Influence Business Risk 1. Demand variability (uncertainty unit sales) 2. Sales price variability 3. Input cost variability 4. Ability to adjust output prices for changes input costs 5. Ability to develop new products 6. Foreign risk exposure 7. Degree of operating leverage (DOL)

15 15 Operating Leverage Operating leverage is the change in EBIT caused by a change in quantity sold. > Fixed costs  > Operating leverage The higher the proportion of fixed costs within a firm’s overall cost structure, the greater the operating leverage.

16 16 Figure 15.1 Illustration of Operating Leverage

17 17 Higher operating leverage leads to more business risk: small sales decline causes a larger EBIT decline. Sales $ Rev. TC F Q BE EBIT } $ Rev. TC F Q BE Sales

18 18 Strasburg Electronics Company

19 19 Strasburg Expected Sales

20 20 Strasburg Plan A Figure 15-1 Lower Panel

21 21 Strasburg Plan B Figure 15-1 Lower Panel

22 22 Strasburg: Plans A & B Figure 15-1 Upper Panel

23 23 Operating Breakeven: Q BE Q BE = F / (P – V ) (15-4) Q BE = Operating breakeven quantity F = Fixed cost V = Variable cost per unit P = Price per unit

24 24 Strasburg Breakeven

25 25 Strasburg: Plans A & B

26 26 Probability EBIT L Low operating leverage High operating leverage EBIT H Higher operating leverage leads to higher expected EBIT and higher risk.

27 27 Strasburg & Financial Risk Strasburg going with Plan B Riskier Higher expected EBIT and ROIC Financial risk: Additional business risk concentrated on common stockholders when financial leverage is used

28 28 Strasburg - Extended To date – no debt Two financing choices: Remain at 0 debt Move to $100,000 debt and $100,000 book equity

29 29 Table 15.1 Strasburg Electronics – Effects of Financial Leverage

30 30 Strasburg with No Debt Table 15-1 Section I ROE = Net Income/Book Equity Expected ROE = ROE under each demand X Probability

31 31 Strasburg with 50% Debt Table 15-1 Section II

32 32 Strasburg w/ Zero Debt Strasburg w/ 50% Debt Higher ROE Higher Risk

33 33 Leveraging Increases ROE More EBIT goes to investors: Total dollars paid to investors: I: NI = $24,000 II: NI + Int = $18,000 + $10,000 = $28,000 Taxes paid: I: $16,000; II: $12,000 Equity $ proportionally lower than NI

34 34 Strasburg’s Financial Risk In a stand-alone sense, stockholders see much more risk with debt. I: σ ROE = 14.8% II: σ ROE = 29.6% Strasburg’s financial risk = σ ROE - σ ROIC = 29.6% % = 14.8%

35 35 Capital Structure Theory Modigliani & Miller theory Zero taxes (MM 1958) Corporate taxes (MM 1963) Corporate and personal taxes (Miller 1977) Trade-off theory Signaling theory Pecking order Debt financing as a managerial constraint Windows of opportunity

36 36 MM Results: Zero Taxes If two portfolios (firms) produce the same cash flows, then the two portfolios must have the same value.  A firm’s value is unaffected by its capital structure

37 37 MM (1958) Assumptions 1. No brokerage costs 2. No taxes 3. No bankruptcy costs 4. Investors can borrow and lend at the same rate as corporations 5. All investors have the same information 6. EBIT is not affected by the use of debt

38 38 MM Theory: Zero Taxes Firm UFirm L EBIT$3,000 Interest 0 1,200 NI$3,000$1,800 CF to shareholder$3,000$1,800 CF to debt holder 0$1,200 Total CF$3,000 Notice that the total CF are identical.

39 39 MM Results: Zero Taxes MM prove: If total CF to investors of Firm U and Firm L are equal, then the total values of Firm U and Firm L must be equal: V L = V U Because FCF and values of firms L and U are equal, their WACCs are equal Therefore, capital structure is irrelevant

40 40 MM (1963): Corporate Taxes Relaxed assumption of no corporate taxes Interest may be deducted, reducing taxes paid by levered firms More CF goes to investors, less to taxes when leverage is used Debt “shields” some of the firm’s CF from taxes

41 41 MM Result: Corporate Taxes MM show that the value of a levered firm = value of an identical unlevered form + any “side effects.” V L = V U + TD (15-7) If T=40%, then every dollar of debt adds 40 cents of extra value to firm

42 42 Value of Firm, V 0 Debt VLVL VUVU Under MM with corporate taxes, the firm’s value increases continuously as more and more debt is used. TD MM relationship between value and debt when corporate taxes are considered.

43 43 Cost of Capital (%) Debt/Value Ratio (%) rsrs WACC r d (1 - T) MM relationship between capital costs and leverage when corporate taxes are considered

44 44 Miller (1977): Corporate and Personal Taxes Personal taxes lessen the advantage of corporate debt: Corporate taxes favor debt financing Interest expenses deductible Personal taxes favor equity financing No gain is reported until stock is sold Long-term gains taxed at a lower rate

45 45 Miller’s Model with Corporate and Personal Taxes V L = V U + 1− D (15-8) T c = corporate tax rate. T d = personal tax rate on debt income. T s = personal tax rate on stock income. (1 - T c )(1 - T s ) (1 - T d )

46 46 T c = 40%, T d = 30%, and T s = 12% V L = V U + 1− D = V U + ( )D = V U D Value rises with debt; each $1 increase in debt raises Levered firm’s value by $0.25. ( )( ) ( )

47 47 Trade-off Theory MM theory assume no cost to bankruptcy The probability of bankruptcy increases as more leverage is used At low leverage, tax benefits outweigh bankruptcy costs. At high levels, bankruptcy costs outweigh tax benefits. An optimal capital structure exists (theoretically) that balances costs and benefits.

48 48 Figure 15.2 Effect of Leverage on Value

49 49 Signaling Theory MM assumed that investors and managers have the same information. Managers often have better information and would: Sell stock if stock is overvalued Sell bonds if stock is undervalued Investors understand this, so view new stock sales as a negative signal.

50 50 Pecking Order Theory Firms use internally generated funds first (1): No flotation costs No negative signals If more funds are needed, firms then issue debt (2) Lower flotation costs than equity No negative signals If more funds are still needed, firms then issue equity (3)

51 51 Pecking Order Theory INTERNALEXTERNAL DEBT 2 EQUITY 13

52 52 Debt Financing & Agency Costs Agency problem #1: Managers use corporate funds for non-value maximizing purposes Financial leverage: Bonds commit “free cash flow” Forces discipline on managers to avoid perks and non-value adding acquisitions. LBO = ultimate use of debt controlling management actions

53 53 Agency problem #2: “Underinvestment” Debt increases risk of financial distress Managers may avoid risky projects even if they have positive NPVs Debt Financing & Agency Costs

54 54 Investment Opportunity Set and Reserve Borrowing Capacity Firms should normally use more equity, less debt than optimal “Reserve borrowing power” Especially important if: Many investment opportunities Asymmetric information issues cause equity issues to be costly

55 55 Windows of Opportunity IssueWhenAnd EquityMarket is “high”Stocks have “run up” DebtMarket is “low”Interest rates low S/T DebtTerm structure is upward sloping L/T DebtTerm structure is flat Managers try to “time the market” when issuing securities.

56 56 Empirical Evidence Tax benefits are important $1 debt adds  $0.10 to value Supports Miller model with personal taxes Bankruptcies are costly Costs can =10% to 20% of firm value Firms don’t make quick corrections when Δstock price  Δdebt ratios Doesn’t support trade-off model

57 57 Empirical Evidence After stock price , debt ratio , but firms tend to issue equity not debt Inconsistent with trade-off model Inconsistent with pecking order Consistent with windows of opportunity Firms tend to maintain excess borrowing capacity Firms with growth options Firms with asymmetric information problems

58 58 Implications for Managers Take advantage of tax benefits by issuing debt, especially if the firm has: High tax rate Stable sales Less operating leverage

59 59 Implications for Managers Avoid financial distress costs by maintaining excess borrowing capacity, especially if the firm has: Volatile sales High operating leverage Many potential investment opportunities Special purpose assets (instead of general purpose assets that make good collateral)

60 60 Implications for Managers If manager has asymmetric information regarding firm’s future prospects, then: Avoid issuing equity if actual prospects are better than the market perceives Consider impact of capital structure choices on lenders’ and rating agencies’ attitudes

61 61 The Optimal Capital Structure Maximizes shareholder wealth Maximizes firm value Maximizes stock price Minimizes WACC Does NOT maximize EPS

62 62 Estimating the Optimal Capital Structure: 5 Steps 1. Estimate the interest rate the firm will pay (cost of debt) 2. Estimate the cost of equity 3. Estimate the WACC 4. Estimate the free cash flows and their present value (value of the firm) 5. Deduct the value of debt to find Shareholder Wealth  Maximize

63 63 Choosing the Optimal Capital Structure: Strasburg Example Currently all-equity financed Expected EBIT = $40,000 10,000 shares outstanding r s = 12%P 0 = $25 T = 40%b = 1.0 r RF = 6%RP M = 6%

64 64 TABLE 15.2 Step 1: Estimates of Cost of Debt

65 65 The Cost of Equity at Different Levels of Debt: Hamada’s Equation MM theory  beta changes with leverage b U = the beta of a firm with NO debt Unlevered beta b = b U [1 + (1 - T)(D/S)] D = Market value of firm’s debt S = Market value of firm’s equity T = Firm’s corporate tax rate

66 66 Step 2: The Cost of Equity for w d = 50% Use Hamada’s equation to find beta: b = b U [1 + (1 - T)(D/S)] = 1.0 [1 + (1-0.4) (50% / 50%) ] = 1.60 Use CAPM to find the cost of equity: r s = r RF + b L (RPM) = 6% (6%) = 15.6%

67 67 TABLE 15.3 Strasburg’s optimal Capital Structure

68 68 Step 3: Strasburg’s WACC & Optimal Capital Structure Note: The Capital Structure that MAXIMIZES firm value is the one that MINIMIZES WACC

69 69 Notes to Table 15-3

70 70 Figure 15.3 Strasburg’s Required Rate of Return on Equity

71 71 Figure 15-4: Effects of Capital Structure on Cost of Capital

72 72 Step 4: Corporate Value for w d = 0% V op = FCF(1+g) / (WACC-g) g=0, so investment in capital is zero FCF = NOPAT = EBIT (1-T) NOPAT = ($40,000)(1-0.40) = $24,000 V op = $24,000 / 0.12 = $200,000

73 73 Step 4: Strasburg’s Firm Value Note: The Capital Structure that MAXIMIZES firm value is the one that MINIMIZES WACC

74 74 Implications for Strasburg Firm should recapitalize (“recap”) Issue debt Use funds to repurchase equity Optimal debt = 40% WACC = 10.80% Maximizes Firm Value

75 75 Anatomy of Strasburg’s Recap: Before Issuing Debt

76 76 Issue Debt (w d = 40%), But Before Repurchase WACC decreases to 10.80% V op increases to $222,222 Short-term funds = $88,889 Temporary until it uses these funds to repurchase stock Debt is now $88,889

77 77 Anatomy of a Recap: After Debt, but Before Repurchase V op  $222,222 Debt = $88,889 S/T funds = $88,889 Stock Price  $22.22 Shareholder wealth  $

78 78 The Repurchase: No Effect on Stock Price Announcement of intended repurchase might send a signal that affects stock price The repurchase itself has no impact on stock price. If investors think the repurchase would:  stock price, they would purchase stock the day before, which would drive up its price.  stock price, they would all sell short the stock the day before, which would drive down the stock price.

79 79 Remaining Number of Shares After Repurchase D 0 = original amount of debt D = amount after issuing new debt If all new debt is used to repurchase shares, then total dollars used equals: (D – D 0 ) = ($88,889 - $0) = $88,889 n 0 = number of shares before repurchase, n = number after repurchase. n = n 0 – (D – D 0 )/P = 10,000 - $88,889/$22.22 n = 10,000 – 4,000 = 6,000

80 80 Anatomy of Strasburg’s Recap: After Repurchase

81 81 Strasburg after Recapitalization Key Points Short Term investments used to repurchase stock Stock price is unchanged Value of stock falls to $133,333 Firm no longer owns the short-term investments Wealth of shareholders remains at $222,222

82 82 Shortcuts The corporate valuation approach will always give the correct answer There are some shortcuts for finding S, P, and n Shortcuts on next slides

83 83 Calculating S, the Value of Equity after the Recap S = (1 – w d ) V op (15-13) At w d = 40%: S Prior = S + (D – D 0 ) (15-14) S = (1 – 0.40) $222,222 S = $133,333 S Prior = $133,333 + (88,889 – 0) S Prior = $222,222

84 84 Calculating P, the Stock Price after the Recap P = [S + (D – D 0 )]/n 0 (15-15) P = $133,333 + ($88,889 – 0) 10,000 P = $22.22 per share

85 85 Number of Shares after a Repurchase, n # Repurchased = (D - D 0 ) / P n = n 0 - (D - D 0 ) / P # Rep.= ($88,889 – 0) / $22.22 # Rep.= 4,000 n = 10,000 – 4,000 n = 6,000

86 86 TABLE 15.5 Strasburg’s Stock Price & EPS

87 87 Analyzing the Recap Table 15-5

88 88 FIGURE 15.5 Effects of Capital Structure on Firm Value, Price and EPS

89 89 Effects of Capital Structure on Price and EPS

90 90 Optimal Capital Structure w d = 40% gives: Highest corporate value Lowest WACC Highest stock price per share Does NOT maximize EPS


Download ppt "1 Chapter 15 Capital Structure Decisions: Part I."

Similar presentations


Ads by Google