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ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 The Future of Technology Ted Demopoulos ICE® Technology Conference 2007
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 We are a lot further along than we think
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 We’ll Look At: Where we are today Two major issues today -- and very much into the future Where we are going
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 Technology Pervades Society (more deeply than we think) My “special” friend Ralphie, junkie My 102 year old father (or so he claims) just got online People check their when they get up at night to go to the bathroom When my plane landed in Edmonton, what did “everyone” immediately do?
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 Technology Pervades our World
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 Spaceship Demopoulos –Sonar –GPS/Maps/Gives you directions out loud –DVD Player –Microprocessor in keys – anti-theft –Rearview camera –etc. The Six Million Dollar Van?
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 Technological advances allow the production of more output from existing resources -more efficient ways of producing existing output -production of new (or substantially improved) items We gain both from more output/cheaper prices and from improved items and innovations Let’s Take a Step Back: Technology – the basic idea:
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 “Killer Applications” of Technology Online Shopping and Retailing Information Access Cell Phones Many more, e.g. medical and industrial examples quickly come to mind
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 “Less than Killer Applications” of Technology - Non disruptive applications of technology -Small incremental improvements to our lives DVD players, ball point pens, antilock brakes, central heat, air conditioning, etc. Their net sum is extremely significant
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © ape-descended life forms are so amazingly primitive that they still think digital watches are a pretty neat idea... -Douglas Adams, The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy We think Technology is pretty neat
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 This Leads To Problem #1 “Technology for Technology’s Sake” - unnecessary complexity –Examples: Complexity in MS Word The need to reboot anything Microprocessors in car keys
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 Unnecessary Unreliability Unnecessary complexity leads to unnecessary unreliability Complexity increases attack surface Simply more that can go wrong! Often no backup plans
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 Do most people or organizations have workable backup plans for when technology fails? Ted’s Backup Plan for This Trip
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 My Not Particularly Smart House Sometimes has a mind of it’s own Calls the police Calls the fire department What could a “Smart House” do?
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 SIMPLE is Good “Make everything as simple as possible” -Albert Einstein
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 The Full Quote “Make everything as simple as possible, but not simpler” -Albert Einstein
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 Reliability? Technology has been evolving so rapidly, the emphasis has been on functionality, not reliability This will (need) to change! If Microsoft had focused more on reliability, would Windows own the desktop?
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 Problem #2 Too Much Information The “Information Overload” Age Endless interruptions: cellphones, IM, pagers, More productive or less so?
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 Privacy Distant past – villages – little privacy. Reasonable in context Recent past – cities/industrial age. Reasonable privacy Today – who has your data? Is it yours? Is it correct? I fear Big Brothers – e.g. Google, Microsoft, Verizon, Marketing Agencies, everyone who stores personal data
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 Beware Big Brother MSN Virtual Earth? Does your insurance company know about the trampoline Ted? Why is Bob’s car there alone?
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 Ted’s Hobbies You got building permits for those antennas Ted?
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 As told to a new client I see Joe Schmoe just spent a week with your organization. He’s very positive on the experience He’s sitting in the Phoenix airport waiting to go home and his flight is delayed.... From the Technorati.com search engine, a multi page posting on a blog
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 Where We Are Going 1) Integration of technology into our world 2) Reliability – will be assumed – in the future 3) Ease of use – enormous work on the Human-Computer interface 4) Technology only where it makes sense 5) Health Care/Life Extension/Alleged Immortality (at least for the very rich!)
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 Two Final Thoughts The Small Non-Disruptive “Less Than Killer Applications” of Technology add up to a lot (Imagine a small audio recorder that records, and indexes, your whole life – so you don’t forget anything)
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 There Is One Future The Future of Technology is The Future
ICE® Technology Conference Ted Demopoulos, © 2007 Thank You Ted Demopoulos,
The SANS Institute, Ted Demopoulos, Three Things That Keep Me Up At Night INFRAGARD MEETING OCTOBER 25, 2007.
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