Presentation on theme: "Institutional Arrangement: A Crucial Solution to Improve the Implementation of Medium Term of Expenditure Framework (MTEF) in Indonesia Presentation held."— Presentation transcript:
Institutional Arrangement: A Crucial Solution to Improve the Implementation of Medium Term of Expenditure Framework (MTEF) in Indonesia Presentation held Post Graduate Research (PGR) Conference: Institutions in International Studies School of Social and International Studies, University of Bradford October 31, 2014 Mohammad Roudo PhD Program in International Development Department, The University of Birmingham Phone: +44 ( ),
Outline Main Argument MTEF and 3 Elements of PEM/PFM Problems Solutions and Challenges Conclusion
Main Argument MTEF in Indonesia is relatively effective to maintain the aggregate fiscal discipline but it is still questionable to deal with allocative efficiency issues The weakened role of the Minister/Ministry of Finance (MoF), caused by a dual budgeting system, and the increasing of roles of parliament are the main factors.
Elements of PEM/PFM (Schick 1998; World Bank, 1998) Operational Efficiency (OF) Efficient way to utilize public money Allocative Efficiency (AE) Government strategies to effectively allocate the budget to pursue public goals Maintaining Aggregate Fiscal (AF) Eff orts of government to spend beneath the total amount of money allowed Main Focus of Discussion 1.Significant and interesting development and challenges 2.Significant and direct contribution to the improvement of the quality of life of Indonesian people. This Element is not discussed in this paper
MTEF in Indonesia Introduction tools on budgeting like the Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF) were an obvious and essential change in Indonesia PEM/PFM reforms (The World Bank, 2012). MTEF is a tool that make the government more realistic and disciplined with their budget by linking policy priorities and budgets between 3 and 5 years (The World Bank, 1998; OCDE 2009) In Indonesia, MTEF has been applied since 2007 and set including predictions for following four years of budgets. MTEF significantly changes the way governments utilize their scarce resources and potentially guides the government towards a more transparent and rational management of public finance and resources, leading to the improvement of public services (Ministry of Finance, 2012).
MTEF and 3 Elements of PEM/PFM (Ministry of Finance, 2012; The World Bank, 2008). OE AO Allocation budgets for non-priority programmes/activities (e.g. military spending and general/ local elections) have increased over the last five years In contrast, the budget increases for priority sectors are not as significant as the non- priority sectors AF Has better rationalised its assumption of potential income Aware, careful and keep spending within the available resource envelopes The effectiveness of MTEF to estimate government revenue in Indonesia, A lower deficit in Indonesia’s overall budget, A decline in debt levels and unnecessary spending This Element is not discussed in this paper
MTEF and Allocative Efficiency The weak role and power of the Minister/Ministry of Finance (MoF). A weak link between policy and the budget. the ineffectiveness of MTEF when dealing with allocative efficiency issues
Why do the role and power of MoF become weakened? Institutions are not matched to the logic of MTEF 1 A dual budget institution (a separate budget institution which creates bad coordination between recurrent and capital budget) MoF Vs MoP (Bappenas) An increase in the roles of parliament/house of representatives 2 Less sufficient capacities to deal with MTEF Less political commitment to guard priority programmes/activities.
Dual Budget Institution (+) Having a check and balance mechanism in budget allocation and the utilization of resource envelopes which will possibly to prevent the budget from being used inappropriately, address budgets to priority programmes and improve MTEF to optimally deal with allocative efficiency issues (-) Weakened roles of MoF to making MTEF effectively deals with allocative efficiency issues More possibility to have a duplication in both capital and recurrent budgets caused by lack of coordination Lack of coordination could also cause drawing policy far to priorities The Fact: 1.Currently, coordination is only made occasionally in particular events (e.g Trilateral Meeting) 2.A ‘white elephant project’ issue 3.Different perceptions to determine priority programmes 4.Check and balance mechanisms can still be set internally or by using external auditors
Increasing Roles of Parliament ( + ) It is an important progression for Indonesia’s democratic system acting as fiscal watch dog’ and ‘budget policemen’ ensuring that the state budget is allocated appropriately The creation of checks and balances in budget allocation and formulation to the government ( - ) MTEF are rarely utilized as the basis for budget allocation Moral hazard problems: the discussion of budget allocation is not about whether particular aims have been achieved or/and priority programmes have been addressed, but mostly how much money has been directed towards their constituents/ parties The Fact: 1.Sometimes, this is not followed by an increase in capacity of parliament members on financial/budget issues 2.The discussions focus on the level of inputs, only in few cases, the budget allocation justification/judgement is made by parliament based on national priorities 3.Allocation based on national priorities becomes more difficult and MTEF becomes ineffective at dealing with allocative efficiency
Solution 1: Integration planning and budget institutions Description Ensure coordination between planning and budgeting Strengthen the roles of MoF while facing other members of cabinets or even parliament Better in dealing with allocative efficiency issues An improvement in the connection between policy and budget More focus on priority programmes More efficient use of MTEF in tightly connecting capital and recurrent budget Challenges The reluctance from politicians and senior managers who could possibly lose their position Difficulties to make a clear division of functions, setting internal coordination and check and balance mechanisms as well as bbuilding the same perceptions in determining priority programmes Require political support and commitment from elites
Solution 2: Introduction of financial and performance information Description FMIS should comprise all information about MTEF and performance, introduced to the parliament immediately and continually supplied Challenges Parliament might ignore the information supplied Require high political supports and commitment--Idea of ‘platforms’(focusing on particular interventions and clear sequences) Open to the public so it can place pressure
Conclusion MTEF is the most important and progressive change in Indonesia’s PEM/PFM reforms. Positive attainments in maintaining aggregate fiscal discipline: sm aller deficits in the total budget, more accurate projection of future incomes, Less spending on unnecessary expenditure The roles of MTEF in dealing with allocative issues are still challenging: there is significant money still allocated to non-priority programmes, less certainty and miscalculations in recurrent budgets. The Problems of Institutions: Weakness of the Indonesian MoF, A weak link between policy and the budget, Ineffective MTEF when dealing with allocative efficiency issues. Recommendations in Future Reforms In tegration of the budget institutions The introduction of FMIS to parliament What is required Consider some constraints and challenges Learning some lessons from international practices Political support and commitment from political elites or even people pressure.
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