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SPEAR PRE-ELECTION POLL 2008 1. 2 3 4 5 6 Government Performance Rating Letter GradeQuality Points (q) Frequency (f) PercentGrade Points (q x f) A.

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Presentation on theme: "SPEAR PRE-ELECTION POLL 2008 1. 2 3 4 5 6 Government Performance Rating Letter GradeQuality Points (q) Frequency (f) PercentGrade Points (q x f) A."— Presentation transcript:

1 SPEAR PRE-ELECTION POLL

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6 6 Government Performance Rating Letter GradeQuality Points (q) Frequency (f) PercentGrade Points (q x f) A – Excellent B – Very Good C – Good D – Poor F – Very Poor Sub-Total∑f = ∑(q x f) = 481 Grade Point Average (G.P.A): ∑(q x f)/∑f 1.29 Letter Grade Equivalent D No Opinion Total

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13 Scenario Forecasting: Scenario #1: No Further Analysis of the “Undecided” & “Confidential” Clusters 13

14 14 Scenario Forecasting: Scenario #2: Further analysis of the responses coded “Confidential” using interpolation, cross tabulations, & data triangulation”

15 15 Scenario Forecasting: Scenario #3: Further analysis of responses coded “Confidential” & “Undecided” using similar technique as in scenario #2.

16 QUIK FACTS ON SAMPLING FRAME Total Number of Respondents -417 Qualifying Criteria - Registered Voter Proportionate Sample from Six Districts: – Urban % – Rural – 44.4% – Male % – Female – 59.7 Age Groupings: – Young Adult – 25.9% – Mature Adult – 67.6% – Middle Age – 20.4% – Elderly % 16 Margin of Error (+ or - 5%) or 95% Confidence Level Pre-Test Survey Conducted


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