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The Perfect Storm. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Perfect Storm  The 17 th District of Texas  The Candidates.

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Presentation on theme: "The Perfect Storm. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Perfect Storm  The 17 th District of Texas  The Candidates."— Presentation transcript:

1 The Perfect Storm

2 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Perfect Storm  The 17 th District of Texas  The Candidates  The Campaign  The Results

3 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The 17 th District of Texas Race/Ethnicity  87.3% White  7.6% Black  1.4% Asian  4.7% Hispanic Occupation  42.9% Blue Collar  57.1% White Collar Median Income  $50.2k in state  $51.4k in U.S. Partisanship  R +20, PVI ’08 Presidential Vote  McCain, +35%

4 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Incumbent: Democrat Chet Edwards Occupation  Real Estate and Business Executive Political Experience  Texas State Senate, First Elected  1991 Committees  Committee on Appropriations  Committee on the Budget

5 Table 3.1 Congressional Vote Scores for Chet Edwards, 1991–2010

6 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Challenger: Republican Bill Flores Occupation  Business Executive Political Experience  None

7 Table 3.2. Campaign Finance for Texas 17 th District Campaigns, 2004–2010

8 Table 3.3 Vote Totals in Texas 17 th District by County, 2004–2010

9 Table 3.4 Predicted and Actual Vote Percentages by PVI Rating, 2004–2010

10 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: The Polls

11 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Flores‘ “Slideshow” NOTE: Internet access required.

12 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Flores‘ “Rewind the Tape” NOTE: Internet access required.

13 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Flores‘ “Austin Paper” NOTE: Internet access required.

14 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: American Crossroads‘ “Message” NOTE: Internet access required.

15 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: DCCC‘s “Bill Flores Getting Rich off Government Bailouts” NOTE: Internet access required.

16 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: NRCC‘s “Chet Edwards: He’s Not Independent” NOTE: Internet access required.

17 The Results


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