1. Beijing Jiaotung University : International Peer Dialogue New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/20121 International Peer Dialogue on 26/09/12 in Beijing with Eric Britton, Managing Director, New Mobility Partnerships Lyon France and Los Angeles USA Introduced by Professor Jason Chang - Visiting Professor, China Academy of Transportation Sciences, Getting around: And why we need a Plan Z. Mobility Strategies for Better Transport in China’s Cities: 2013-2015

2. This Peer Dialogue is about transport in cities New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 2

3. 3 But it is also about ideas. (And complexity) (And interdependence) Let’s have a look at how we got into this embarrassing situation.

4. Today we will inspect and comment together: Who are we? And why are we here? Getting Around: Cities, Indolence, Complexity, Harmony (Book and Process) Two starkly contrasting transport scenarios: 1951-2011 The Dark Ages of Transport in Cities, 1975-2012 (Why and lessons learned) Old Mobility Snares: Winning battles but loosing the war The New Mobility Agenda: Getting comfortable with complexity Micro/Macro Transportation Problem Solving Strategic New Mobility Pillars: 2013-2015 1. Master complexity 2. Scale up from Public Transit to Share/Transport 3. Zetabyte strategies 4. Open System to broad based innovation (App strategies) The Golden Arrow of Harmony (video and reflection) Your comments and reflections New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/20124

5. First background on Peer Dialogue Process 5 New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 Getting Around: The Third Paradigm Cities, Indolence, Complexity and the Golden Arrow of Harmony The Book: 2014 The Process: 2012- 2013

6. Process: First City Dialogues, 2012 start-up Barcelona Beijing (3) Helsinki (2) Jiaozuo Kaohsiung (3) Liverpool Lyon Paris (3) Strasburg Stuttgart Tainan (2) Tallinn Utrecht New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/20126

7. Some strange, hard to understand things are going on in our sector. New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 7 An embarrassing comparison: 1951- 2011

8. What was going on in the streets of our cities at this time? New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 8 In 1951 a New York City street looked like this Scenario A: Transport in Cities: 1951

9. In 2011 a New York City street looked like this: New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 9 Scenario A’: Transport in Cities: 2011

10. New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 10 Hmm! Want to tell us why?

11. In 1951 a computer looked like this (Univac 1) Scenario B: Electronic Transport Development: 1951 New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 11

12. New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201212 By the way and just in case you forgot The first UNIVAC I was delivered on June 14, 1951. The machine was 25 feet by 50 feet in length, contained 5,600 tubes, 18,000 crystal diodes, and 300 relays. It utilized serial circuitry, 2.25 MHz bit rate, and had an internal storage capacity 1,000 words or 12,000 characters. It utilized a Mercury delay line, magnetic tape, and typewriter output. The UNIVAC was used for general purpose computing with large amounts of input and output. Power consumption was about 120 kva. Its reported processing speed was 0.525 milliseconds for arithmetic functions, 2.15 milliseconds for multiplication and 3.9 Milliseconds for division.

13. And in 2011 a computer looked like this New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 13 Scenario B’: Electronic Transport Development: 2011 Steve Jobs announcing iPad 2. March 2011

14. That’s on the order of a trillion-plus times leap in performance* in just sixty years (approximately two human generations) New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 14 Wow! * Back of the envelope comparisons by weight, volume, electricity consumption and processing capacity

15. Ladies, Gentlemen, it’s obviously time to stop and think New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 15

16. New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201216 “A developed country is not a place where the poor have cars. It‘s where the rich use public transportation” - Enrique Peñalosa, Former mayor of Bogotá, Colombia You can start here:

17. Clue: Have you given any thought recently to... New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 17 You really should because they are going to be a central part of the solution More follows on ZB And here:

18. How did we get into this embarrassing situation? New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 18 One more afternoon in NYC

19. The Dark Ages of Transport in Cities * New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 19 1975 - 2012 This is where that terrible word “indolence” comes in. We have lost a generation of opportunities. And we no reason to be proud.

20. Remember the Old Mobility Agenda New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201220 * Which is pretty much explains how the world got where we are today These are the main values stressed in the old model Congestion (avoidance) Forecast and build Micro planning Cars and other motor vehicles (accommodation) Infrastructure (expansion) Speed (important) Distance (expanding) Space (not an issue) Time (saving) Resources (not a problem) Planet (not a problem) Public transport (as absolutely required) Labor (“Saving”) Electronics (To support above) Point problem solving - by big (costly) projects

21. Old Mobility, 1975 - 2012: Won the battles... Lost the war New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201221

22. Time to find a new model for transport in cities New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201222 The New Mobility Agenda: The Third Transport Paradigm (But we are going to have to invent it ourselves)

23. Beijing Jiaotung University : International Peer Dialogue New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201223 International Peer Dialogue on 26/09/12 in Beijing with Eric Britton, Managing Director, New Mobility Partnerships Lyon France and Los Angeles USA Introduced by Professor Jason Chang - Visiting Professor, China Academy of Transportation Sciences, Getting Around: Time for a Plan Z? New Mobility Strategies for Transport in China’s Cities: 2013-2015

24. Sustainable Transport in China today? Is this an emergency situation? How bad is it? Mobility efficiency, cost-effectiveness, key externalities, environment, equity The time vector? Irreversiblilities? Is the situation under control? Beyond point successes, the overall system dynamics? Do we have reason to be (chose one please) 1.Optimistic? 2.Hopeful? 3.Worried? Aggressive search for new winning strategies? New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201224

25. Why is the sky blue Daddy? New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 25

26. Here’s a question for you:. New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 26 What is the big difference between Beijing and Mexico City?

27. Learn! Unlearn! Relearn! New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 27 The first rule of Transport Policy and Practice in the 21 st Century is The New Mobility Ecosystem:

28. Transport/Mobility/Access/Presence New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 28 But what if instead we broaden our scope and instead think about... For a long time we have thought in terms of “transportation” The New Mobility Ecosystem: You’ll see; it changes everything

29. The New Mobility Ecosystem: Welcome to complexity New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 29

30. The New Mobility Ecosystem New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201230 Micro vs. Macro Transportation Problem Solving

31. The New Mobility Ecosystem New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201231 A Few First Words on Sharing in Transport

32. Advantages of Sharing New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201232

33. Advantages of Sharing New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201233

34. New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201234 The Many Ways to Share

35. Do we need a Plan Z? Is this an emergency situation? How bad is it? The time vector? Irreversiblilities? Will BAU do the job? Beyond point successes, the overall system dynamics? Do we have reason to be (chose one) 1.Optimistic? 2.Hopeful? 3.Worried? Aggressive search for new winning strategies? New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201235

36. Plan Z: Getting the basics right Define Emergency status and chief parameters Define and understand full City Transport Ecosystem Continue to support and link all strong on-going programs Obtain new scale resources for Plan Z Highest priority Transport/Mobility/Access/Presence “Better than car” mobility targets for cities Future of the car in the city Share/Transport Zetabytes Open up system and data Massively improve communications New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201236

37. New Mobility Ecosystem/Core Values New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201237

38. New Mobility Ecosystem/Expanded focus New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201238

39. 39New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 The New Mobility Ecosystem: Systemic Complexity

40. Five Project/Activity proposals for 2013 (Food for thought) New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201240 Will 2013 be a “tipping point” for transport innovation in China? (And/or, could we make it one?) #1: Embrace complexity and redefine “Public Transport” #2: A New Mobility Agenda for Share/Transport #3: DRT – The future of the road #4: Unexpected gift: Get Carsharing into Fifth Gear #5: A Tai Chi approach to transport policy and practice for Chinese cities

41. New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201241 The New Mobility Agenda In closing: There points that as professionals you may wish to recall 1.Complex systems refute sub-optimization 2.Greater diversity of everything 3.Technical virtuosity in support of wise governance i.e., you still have a job.

42. Questions/Comments New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201242 The New Mobility Ecosystem * Roughly half the Master Class participants were female. (They are clearly doing something right in Beijing).

43. Closing remarks by the Chair New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201243 Professor Jason Chang The New Mobility Ecosystem

44. Eric Britton New Mobility Partnerships France: 9, rue Gabillot F69003 Lyon France Tel. +336 5088 0787 | eric.britton@ecoplan.org | S. newmobility USA: 9440 Readcrest Dr. Los Angeles, CA 90210 Tel. +1 213 985 3501 fekbritton@gmail.com | Skype: ericbritton Thank you New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/201244 The New Mobility Ecosystem

45. 45New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 The New Mobility Ecosystem: 2013 - 2015

46. Before the whole Serenity Sensitivity Balance Anticipation Breath Suppleness Slow Soft Harmony 46New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012 Annex. Thinking exercise: New Mobility/Tai Chi Chuan