Presentation on theme: "Warm-up 6.3 Geometric Distribution and 6.1 and 6.2 Quiz Suppose you flip a fair coin 8 times. 1)What is the probability that you get heads 3 times? 2)At."— Presentation transcript:
Warm-up 6.3 Geometric Distribution and 6.1 and 6.2 Quiz Suppose you flip a fair coin 8 times. 1)What is the probability that you get heads 3 times? 2)At least 25% heads? 3) Exactly 25% heads? 4)What will be the expected value? 5)What is the standard deviation?
Information about A.P. Exam Registration Hi team, Please advise and remind students taking the AP exam that to register they need to go to:www.ocsarts.net/apexam. Or at the bottom of the OCHSA website visitwww.ocsarts.net/apexam AP Exams (under Master Calendar) TWO IMPORTANT POINTS TO SHARE WITH YOUR STUDENTS PLEASE! They will then be prompted to put in their User ID and Password. This is their PARENTS User Id and Password. If they forgot, they can click on the forgot prompt and it will send the information to their PARENTS account.Please remind students to register under their student name and not their parents. (yes this is happening!) Thank you, Kathy Presby M.A.
Student of the day! Block 4
Student of the day! Block 5
6.3 Geometric Distribution Same as Binomial Distribution Success or Failure, p doesn’t change over trials and each trial is independent of each other Only difference is x or k represents how many trials occur until there is the first success. The # of trials that occur is often called the waiting time There is no fixed number of trials, only the # of trials until the first success occurs. Example : About 10% of the U.S. population has type B blood. What is the probability that the third donation a blood bank technician checks is type B?
On the 1 st try, what is the probability that the event occurs? k = # of trials Delores has a free-shooting percentage of What is the probability that the first free throw she manages to make is on her 4 th attempt.
Characteristics of Geometric Distributions and how to use the formulas Problem: The probability of a type A blood donation is 0.4. On average, how many donations will the blood bank technician have to check before they find a donation of type A blood.
Number of trials for 2 Successes Let’s say the blood bank technician needs to find two donations of type A blood. Practice Problem The phone line for a 24-hour ticket office is busy about 70% of the time. a. If you dial at random times throughout the week, what is the expected number of tries it will take you to get through? What is the standard deviation of the number of tries? b. What is the expected total number of times you will have to dial if you forget to ask a question after getting through the first time and have to call again.
Directions for Quiz and H.W. Work on the quiz carefully. When you finish turn it in at the front of the class. Read 6.3, define the terms and copy the definitions. Next block bring your chosen assignment: A.P Practice of Ch. 5 and 6 OR One-Boy Family Planning Also have your notes ready for the Notebook Check Terms: Expected Value (6.1), Linear Transformation (6.1), Binomial Dist. (6.2), Geometric Dist.(6.3) Formulas: Expected Value(6.1), Variance(6.1), Linear Transformation (6.1), Addition and Subtraction Rules for Random Variables (6.1), Probability formula for Binomial Distribution (6.2), Binomial Distr. Mean and S. D. formula(6.2), Geometric Dist. Formula (6.3), Mean and S.D. of Geometric Dist. (6.3) : 14 in all ( 14 x 2 = 28 pts) 6. 1 to warm-ups (5 x 14 pts = 70 pts) 10 notes 4 warm-up = 98
Next couple of classes February 6 th (Monday) A.P. Statistics finish notes on 6.3 and start on selected assignment 1 st day of Ntbk Check February 8 th (Wednesday) Practice Ch. 6 Test and finish selected assignment. Ch. 6 Test on Friday February 9 th !