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Modeling Civil Disorder Phil Graves Computer Systems Research, 2007-8.

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Presentation on theme: "Modeling Civil Disorder Phil Graves Computer Systems Research, 2007-8."— Presentation transcript:

1 Modeling Civil Disorder Phil Graves Computer Systems Research,

2 Fourth Quarter Progress Fixing police adjustment bug Adding simple reporter Adding geographically-oriented statistics Pro-government legitimacy modifier Anti-government grievance modifier

3 Original Model Visual Relative random distribution of active/inactive agents

4 Revolt Reporter Added reporter to determine when the system was in civil disorder Easy to do within NetLogo framework Variable (Boolean) REVOLT to be of use when possibly augmenting/decrementing government effectiveness in times of revolt First objective on the recommended list

5 Government Legitimacy Modifier Nearby jailed agents increase government legitimacy Adjusted from the extant base (which is altered with the slider)‏ Meant to help the model make sense geographically Simulates a domino effect during a government “offensive” against rebels

6 Grievance Modifier Nearby active (rebelling) agents increase grievances against the government among inactive agents Allows for a geographical effect of actually delineated regions of control Looks less like a bloody mess and more like what actually happens in real life

7 Effects and Usage of Geographically Oriented Modifications More useful for planners Serves as a foundation for further work in two directions Adding new geographically oriented features Ethnic groups Heartlands Terrain Altering government and rebel efficiency in times of “revolt” Domino effect


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