Presentation on theme: "American Meteorological Society – Oregon Chapter Global Warming: Climate Orthodoxy Perpetuates a Hoax Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago."— Presentation transcript:
American Meteorological Society – Oregon Chapter Global Warming: Climate Orthodoxy Perpetuates a Hoax Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: January 25, 2012
2005 Nobel Prize in Medicine “Against prevailing dogmas, you discovered that one of the most common and important diseases of mankind, peptic ulcer disease, is caused by a bacterial infection of the stomach.” – Nobel presentation speech BARRY MARSHALL ROBIN WARREN
Where is the evidence? There is no satisfactory logic and evidence linking human emissions of carbon dioxide with a significant warming of our climate. NONE !
Cosmic Rays and the Cloud Mystery Henrik Svensmark, PhD Director of the Center for Sun-Climate Research Danish Space Research Institute (DSRI) "During the last 100 years cosmic rays became scarcer because unusually vigorous action by the Sun batted away many of them. Fewer cosmic rays meant fewer clouds—and a warmer world."
Solar Modulation of Galactic Cosmic Rays
Jupiter with 'Red Spot' (NASA / JPL)
Temperature in Central Greenland from 1400 AD (NOAA Paleoclimatology: Alley, RB 2000) Modern Warm Period began about 1830
Temperature in Central Greenland from 800 AD Modern Warm Period peaked below Medieval
Temperature in Central Greenland from 3000 BC Modern Warm Period peaked below Medieval, Roman, Minoan Minoan Roman Medieval Modern
Temperature in Central Greenland from 9000 BC Human Civilization developed during this Holocene Climate Optimum Modern
Temperature in Central Greenland from 11,000 BC Modern Holocene Climate Optimum What is this?
Temperature in Central Greenland from 50,000 BP Ice Age Holocene Climate Optimum Modern
Temperature at Vostok, Antarctica from 450,000 BP Note Regular Pattern of Ice Ages Holocen e Ice Age
What are the important issues? Catastrophe and the survival of man and the planet? A profound ignorance of science and how it works? Was there a 0.5 to 1.0 C warming over the 20 th century? Is carbon dioxide a greenhouse gas? What warming is expected for a doubling of CO2? Warming since 1977 and no warming since 1998? Are we qualified to talk about Global Warming? Do we work for the oil companies?
Corrupting the evidence
The Gold Standard for Global Temperature
The 'Urban Heat Island' effect is real (A) Large Counties: More than 1 million people Average 29 stations (B) Midsized Counties: 100,000 to 1 million people Average 51 stations (C) Small Counties: Less than 100,000 people Average 27 stations Temperature Trends at 107 Stations in California from 1909 to 1994 Stratified by 1990 population of the county
DATA INTEGRITY ISSUE USHCN Stations Location, Location, Location!
GISS Processing of Raw Temperature data turns cooling into warming! DATA INTEGRITY ISSUE
The Infamous 'Hockey Stick' Graph from Michael Mann (MANN-made Global Warming) Discredited by Wegman Report to National Academy of Sciences Media claim: “New studies indicate that temperatures in recent decades are higher than at any time in the past 1000 years……with the 1990’s as the warmest decade and 1998 as the warmest year” The Wegman Report cited serious errors by Michael Mann, but the UN IPCC continues to use it DATA INTEGRITY ISSUE
Corrected version of the Infamous Hockey Stick (from McKitrick and McIntyre)
Data Integrity Issue Phil Mote's Infamous 'Shrinking' NW Snow Pack A case of not showing you all the data Upper graph from Mote, Lower Graph is complete record
Worldwide Record High Temperatures were set long ago
Paris, France was hotter in the 1750's and 1830's than it is today
Prediction versus Reality: Missing Ocean Heat Man-made Global Warming hypothesis FAILS
Recent Sea Level Rise with leveling off in 2006 and DECLINE for last two years as Pacific COOLS
Satellite Altimetry shows no sea level trend until “Personal Calibrations” applied to match models
S ea Level trend based on observational facts (blue) versus IPCC (purple) and Satellite (orange and green)
Recent measurements of carbon dioxide
The IPCC version of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide
The REAL history of atmospheric CO2
Regular heartbeat of Global Sea Ice (Steady for 30 years, now slightly below normal)
The Arctic Ocean is largely frozen today View from the North Pole Note extensive Northern Hemisphere snow cover
The IPCC's understanding of Climate was better years ago
Prediction versus Reality: Missing Hot Spot Greenhouse Computer Models Fail
UN Computer Simulations of Climate are Computer Games USELESS in Predicting the Future Professor of Mathematical and Theoretical Physics, Gerhard Gerlich: “To derive climate catastrophes from these computer games and to scare Mankind to death is a crime.” “It cannot be overemphasized that even if the [fluid] equations are simplified considerably, one cannot determine numerical solutions, even for small space regions and even for small time intervals. This situation will not change in the next 1000 years regardless of progress made in computer hardware. As the extremely simplified one-fluid equations are unsolvable, the many-fluid equations would be more unsolvable, the equations that include the averaged equations describing the turbulence would be yet more unsolvable, if “unsolvable" had a comparative.” “Hence, the computer simulations of global climatology are not based on physical laws.”
Sunspots are Manifestations of Solar Magnetic Activity
Sunspot data from 1611 with forecast to 2080
AARI surface air temperature above 70N (From 1900 to 2006 with prediction to 2065)
The Threat is Global Cooling Toward another 'Little Ice Age' THIS CENTURY Into a 90,000 year 'Big Ice Age' THIS MILLENNIUM
Michael Crichton on Propaganda “The greatest challenge facing mankind is the challenge of distinguishing reality from fantasy, truth from propaganda. Perceiving the truth has always been a challenge to mankind, but in the information age (or as I think of it, the disinformation age) it takes on a special urgency and importance” Michael Crichton Author and MD Harvard University
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Professor of Meteorology Richard Lindzen Is widely recognized as the greatest meteorologist alive today: What do the Best and the Brightest say about Global Warming? “The need to courageously resist hysteria is clear.”
“Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe.” Albert Einstein. Was Einstein talking about Global Warming?