1. Get out your ISN! You will be able to understand the basic ideas of probability including outcomes, events, and sample spaces. Today’s Objectives:

2. Warm Up Tape this into your Warm Up Section and use the deck to answer.

3. WWK & TOC Choose a colored pencil and ruler—draw a horizontal line underneath… the last TOC entry ( 27-28 ) the last WWK entry ( Standard Deviation )

4. TOC WWK If you number your WWK… start numbering at 1 again!

5. more WWK

6. Big Picture

7. Unit 3 We are now moving to Unit 3 which is Probability. The definition of Probability is the chance that something will happen—how likely it is that some event will happen.

8. Probability Recall that randomness— randomly assigning subjects to treatments in experiments, or randomness in sampling in observational studies— is a key component of statistics. Probability gives us a way to measure randomness.

9. First Foldable

10. Right Side Input Intro to Probability 30 11/10 Tape Here Fold it shut

11. Fold the 2 nd Foldable in half before taping

12. Right Side Input Intro to Probability 30 11/10 Tape Here

13. Foldable pg. 1 Other Experiments: Drawing from a deck of cards Flipping a coin Drawing a marble from a bag of marbles

14. Foldable pg. 1 Other Outcomes: Drawing from a deck of cards {2 of hearts} Flipping a coin {T}

15. heads tails heads tails heads tails FOUR Possible outcomes: HH, HT, TH, TT

16. Foldable pg. 2

18. More Examples:

19. Other Events: Foldable pg. 3

20. heads tails heads tails heads tails heads tails heads tails heads tails heads tails

21. Foldable pg. 3

22. Foldable pg. 4

23. You Try!

24. Foldable pg. 5

25. You Try!

26. Foldable pg. 6

27. Subjective Empirical Classical

28. Foldable pg. 7 You Try!

29. Foldable pg. 7 You Try!

30. 29 11/10 Left Side Input Intro to Probability Tape Here I typed #6 and #7 wrong, 6.“Is #4 a simple of compound event?” 7.“Is #5 a simple of compound event?”

31. Homework LEFT side