Presentation on theme: "Preliminary Assessment Structure (some suggestions for the discussion) Jörg Schulz, EUMETSAT."— Presentation transcript:
Preliminary Assessment Structure (some suggestions for the discussion) Jörg Schulz, EUMETSAT
Content GEWEX needs Breakout Groups Common Discussion Points More questions and some elements of schedule
GEWEX Needs GEWEX needs to consider candidates for homogeneous, long time series (1980 – present) products including TPW, Profiles and UTH GEWEX needs to consider shorter term (2000 – present) best possible product for process studies using co-variance among W- E products GEWEX does not generate the actual data sets. It merely endorses and works with data sets that meet its criteria for long/short term stability, documentation, and willingness to be part of broader science question. GEWEX needs willing PIs.
GEWEX Needs GEWEX needs to develop an assessment strategy that evaluates what we know, what we don’t know, and how we move forward. GEWEX products are not fixed, but rather get reprocessed in a cycle of approximately 5 years. Assessments need to work on those time frames also. GEXEX needs to start on the logistics of what makes the most sense from a scientist perspective. That is what we’re here to do
Breakout groups Total column water vapour −Lead Marc Schröder, Rapporteur: Janice Bytheway Temperature and water vapour profiles + UTH / FTH −Lead: Antonia Gambacorta, Rapporteur: Martin Stengel
Common Discussion Points What data sets are existing (make an inventory, list strength and weaknesses, e.g., in terms of space-time coverage)? What validation data are existing (make an inventory, list availability and status of QA) What should be compared, level-3 gridded data sets, level-2 retrievals, level-1 radiance data? How should a comparison be designed? Discuss a specific list of error parameters, e.g., different types of bias; Who should lead the assessment (need 2 co-leaders), do we need sub-leaders following the breakout groups? Do not forget to touch on technical issues as data bases and formats.
Error Parameters: Types of Bias Errors Radiometric Bias: Biases due to uncharacterized or ill applied sensor calibration. Retrieval Bias: Biases related to shortcomings in a retrieval itself. Sampling/Contextual Bias: Biases related to where a retrieval is/is not performed or contextually related uncertainty in a scene. This leads to a skewed data population relative to what is thought to have been collected. Aggregation/Data Reduction Bias: Loss of required information during conversion to a gridded product or during analysis. Cognitive Bias: We, the investigators, misinterpret, withhold, or frame data/results contrary to full nature of the data. Other Considerations: a) Correlated error-“Independent” products that share similar biases; b) Tautology –Circular reasoning or treating non-independent data as independent during tuning. This is an example from the aerosol assessment.
More questions and some elements of schedule How long will it take and what resources are available? Assessment funding should be a multi-agency task, agencies are invited to support this activity; Who can take on the function as technical assessment centre? Schedule: Assessment preparation should be done in 2011, the assessment itself in 2012; Write summary report on this workshop within the next 8-10 weeks? Publish summary in GEWEX news as early as possible! Assessment leader(s) needs to present results at GEWEX Radiation Panel meeting each year (next in Tokyo 30 Aug-1 Sep 2011). EUMETSAT can offer one Assessment workshop in Darmstadt or we try to organise it somewhere nice.