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Overview National Guidance Prompt Global Strike Common Aero Vehicle

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Presentation on theme: "Overview National Guidance Prompt Global Strike Common Aero Vehicle"— Presentation transcript:

0 Prompt Global Strike Update
DRAFT Prompt Global Strike Update August 2005 Col Rick Patenaude HQ AFSPC/DRM DRAFT

1 Overview National Guidance Prompt Global Strike Common Aero Vehicle
DRAFT Overview National Guidance Prompt Global Strike Common Aero Vehicle Conventional Ballistic Missile Issues and mitigation DRAFT

2 Guidance Quadrennial Defense Review Range Global Precision
DRAFT Guidance Defenses Responsive Infrastructure ICBMs Bombers SLBMs C2, Intelligence & Planning - Nuclear and non nuclear strike capabilities Contend effectively with future challenges: Traditional Irregular Catastrophic Disruptive Projecting forces in distant anti-access environments Denying enemies sanctuary Nuclear Posture Review New Strategic Triad includes nuclear and non-nuclear capabilities Quadrennial Defense Review “The defense strategy rests on the assumption that U.S. forces have the ability to project power worldwide.” “…require the development and acquisition of robust capabilities to conduct persistent surveillance, precision strike, and maneuver at varying depths within denied areas.” “…emphasis must be placed on manned and unmanned long-range precision strike assets.” Range Global Precision Conventional DRAFT

3 Prompt Global Strike Analysis of Alternatives
DRAFT Prompt Global Strike Prompt Global Strike (PGS) Mission Need Statement Strike globally and rapidly with joint conventional forces against high-payoff targets In a timeframe reduced from weeks/days to hours/minutes Even when no permanent military presence or only limited infrastructure is in a region Regardless of anti-access threats In a single or multi-theater environment Analysis of Alternatives Determine the best method (means) to create desired effects: Responsively: hrs/mins Globally: anywhere Lethally: precision Engage Common Aero Vehicle Other Likely to produce… A force mix Not a single optimized solution Other Next Generation Bomber Sub Launched Missile DRAFT

4 Time Sensitive Strike Targets
DRAFT Time Sensitive Strike Targets Tae Po Dong Launch Pad “pre-boost phase missile defense” Study by ADVATECH PACIFIC found satellites vulnerable to ground based laser High pay off command and control “pre-boost phase missile defense” DRAFT

5 Campaign-Level Military Utility
DRAFT Campaign-Level Military Utility Two independent CAV Military Utility Analyses conducted using DoD validated scenarios…results indicate: “CAV provided significant military utility in a variety of scenarios and was the weapon of choice for a wide variety of target types.” “Results showed that CAV has value, not just as a “Silver Bullet”, but as part of a total munitions portfolio that cooperatively leverages each element” “Force application effect significant and increases as Blue reacts to access restrictions: 7% - 16% improvement” “Large CAV strikes early on [integrated air defense systems and high value targets]: “kick down door”” “Red [offensive counterspace] is a VERY lucrative target, more so if no replenishment: ‘An ounce of prevention…’” Primary utility derived from system timeliness and survivability Prompt conventional strike (60 minutes or less) on a global basis Virtually immune to enemy defensive capabilities Shortens military campaign Delays enemy advance, buying time until required assets in theater Allows more efficient use of other strike assets Savings not only in $, but loss of life Utility across a broad target set Time critical and fleeting targets Integrated air defenses Hard and deeply buried targets Command and control/leadership Offensive counterspace systems CAV has value as part of a total warfighting portfolio that leverages each element…CAV is more than just a “silver bullet” DRAFT

6 DRAFT Common Aero Vehicle Rapid conventional theater support and global strike on time critical targets Application across the spectrum of conflict Mission One hour from decision to done, worldwide Variety of payloads 3-meter accuracy Potential for in-flight re-planning CAPABILITIES DRAFT

7 DRAFT FALCON Joint Air Force/Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency demonstration program Hypersonic Test Vehicle Hypersonic technology development Long Range payload delivery vehicle technology Air Force /DARPA Hypersonic Cruise Vehicle Space vehicle to carry 12,000 lb payloads at hypersonic speeds Aircraft-like operations: reusable, recallable, launch-on-demand DARPA Small Launch Vehicle Spacelift booster capable of placing 1,000 lb spacecraft into low earth orbit 2-hour launch from alert <$5M recurring launch cost Air Force HTV HCV FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 Hypersonic Cruise Vehicle B Hypersonic Technology Vehicle (HTV-1) Hypersonic Technology Vehicle (HTV-2) Military Utility Analysis PDR CDR Concept Flt Demo FY10 FY11 Flight Demos PGS AoA Design & Development SLV DRAFT

8 Conventional Ballistic Missile
DRAFT Conventional Ballistic Missile Booster Guam Alaska Vandenberg AFB Basing Minotaur III Minuteman Weapons Peacekeeper Inert Mk 21 Triax PGSEV Mk 4e2 CAV DRAFT

9 Land Basing Attributes
DRAFT Land Basing Attributes Key attributes of a CONUS-based system Prompt response Low cost to operate and maintain High availability…capable of 24/7 operations High reliability Unambiguous launch location No co-location of nuclear and conventional capabilities* Minimizes risk of misinterpretation Clear intentions Best possible two-way communications… immediate, real-time, with immediate feedback Horizontal Coffin DRAFT

10 Overcoming the Nuclear Stigma
DRAFT Overcoming the Nuclear Stigma Precedence has been established START declarations help mitigate concerns Build trust through transparency Avoiding miscalculations Need to ensure no surprises-share Concept of Operations Engage in activities that demonstrate capabilities Participate in ongoing, continuous dialogue to share intentions Mitigating measures Develop Doctrine to reassure allies and adversaries concerning intentions Build confidence through gaming and exercises Dual role nuclear/conventional weapon systems B-52 SSGN F-16 B-1 B-2 TLAM ALCM Field Artillery DRAFT

11 DRAFT Mitigating Measures To ensure there is no misinterpretation of the intent or use of the FALCON/CAV programs (conventional vice nuclear), a credible “package” of tailored mitigating measures is required…elements of the package could include: Conventional-nuclear firewall Separate basing Unique trajectories and flight paths Cooperative signature enhancement Distinct CONOPs and mission planning Shared early warning and on site inspections Strategic Dialogue and advance notifications Doctrine, Exercises, Gaming Intended to represent advantage of trajectory planning (not an actual trajectory) DRAFT

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