Presentation on theme: "THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS."— Presentation transcript:
THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.
Competition Earnings China: hard or soft landing…
$10 to enter $9.99 commission for trades No Margin/ No Options 5 min delay on trades $1 minimum on stock share price 50% diversification rule 1% interest on cash
S&P up 1.14% on the week Positive Earning Results Mixed Economic Data
“There is still a dichotomy between robust earnings growth and global economic uncertainty”
Rockets to Planet Stability in Europe Thu 20 Oct 11 | 01:17 PM ET
CompanyEstimateActualPercent Surprise IBM 3.223.28+2% Citi 0.811.23+51% Goldman Sachs -0.16-0.82-435% Yahoo 0.170.23+35% Freeport 1.021.10+8%
CompanyEstimateActualPercent Surprise Apple 7.397.05-5% Ebay 0.48 In-Line Morgan Stanley 0.301.14+280% AT&T 0.61 In-Line GE 0.320.31-1%
Wireless customers spent lessthan expected in the quarter The No. 2 U.S. mobile provideradded 319,000 subscribers in the quarter, compared withexpectation of 406,000 This could reflect people waitingfor the new iPhone wireless profit margin wasbetter than expected
Meets Earnings Expectationsbut Shares Fall beat expectations for revenuedriven by: Increased activity on the onlinemarketplaces Rising transactions through itsPayPal payments network Shares fall on restrainedoutlook for rest of year
Earnings top estimates aided byaccounting Debit Value Adjustment (DVA)-allowed the company to push creditspreads out Core revenue in trading, bankingand wealth managementoperations all fell Gross exposure to Greece,Ireland, Italy, Spain and Portugalwas $5.69 billion, while thebank's equity was about $60billion.
Revenue rose across its: Big energy Aviation Healthcare Transportation arms. Expects to increase operatingearnings per share at a double-digit percentage rate next year General Electric
Macau Casinos Post SolidEarnings, Shares Fall onOutlook Wynn Macau logged an 84percent gain in third-quarternet profit “Macau's thriving industrywould suffer a blow in theevent of a hard landing forChina”
Miss stunned Wall Street It was the first earnings miss forthe company since 2004 Sales were hurt by customerswaiting for the new version ofthe iPhone. Product performance iPad sales more than doubled Mac sales jumped 26 percent iPod sales fell 27 percent
The shortfall underscores the growing importance to Apple for the iPhone, which accounted for 39 percent of revenue last quarter Apple says that while iPhone sales fell off last quarter, the holiday quarter will be its best yet
Union Pacific Railroads The rails are generally a pure play on the U.S. economy
Earnings rose 16 percent as therailroad charged higher prices The nation's largest railroadsaid it expects business tocontinue to grow despite anuncertain view of broader U.S.economy Amount of cars and partsmoved on its lines grew themost of any category
Reported a third-quarter profit,helped by accounting gains andasset sales The bank's main businessesshowed signs of weakness aslending profit fell and expensesrose Mortgage unit lost $1.1 billionin the quarter, nearly triple the$392 million loss a year ago.
Halliburton: the world's second-largest oilfield services company
Halliburton profit tops views ongas drilling demand Demand for shale energycontinues to climb across the U.S.despite low natural gas prices shale boom expected to last at leastthrough 2012
Changes in earnings estimates may just be catching up to sentiment already priced into stocks. Much of the third-quarter profit strength stems from still-strong international revenue growth Prospects for corporate earnings are dimmer in the coming quarters, even though reports so far this quarter have been relatively bright
Copper and Gold miner Market Cap: $32 Billion Hit 52 week low last Tuesday
Buy the Dip in Freeport? Thu 20 Oct 11 | 05:40 PM ET
Soft Landing A term used to describe a rate of economic growth high enough to avoid recession, but slow enough to avoid high inflation. When the economy is growing at a strong rate, the Fed will try to engineer a soft landing by raising interest rates enough to slow the economy down without putting it into recession. Alan Greenspan, the former chairman of the Federal Reserve Board, was a master at the soft landing. http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/softlanding.asp#ixzz1bdyRRYrs
Hard Landing A term used to describe an economy going into recession as the government attempts to slow down inflation. The Fed will try to avoid a hard landing by raising interest rates only enough to slow the economy down without putting it into recession (a soft landing). http://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/hardlanding.asp#ixzz1bdz84bXH
Growth in China’s economy slowed to an annual 9.1 percent in the third quarter from 9.5 percent in the three months through June Can slowing down to 8% be considered a soft landing?
American Economist NYU Professor Chairman and co- founder of Roubini Global Economics LLC. Most known for publications predicting the U.S. housing bubble
China’s efforts to prop up economic growth won’t help it escape the hard landing that will probably arrive in 2013 or 2014 The prospect of a soft landing in China is a “mission impossible” Policy makers will “do anything possible” to keep growth in national output at rates above 8 percent and ensure a “delicate” political transition isn’t hampered by an economic downturn