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THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS.

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Presentation on theme: "THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS."— Presentation transcript:

1 THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.

2  Competition  Earnings  China: hard or soft landing…

3  $10 to enter  $9.99 commission for trades  No Margin/ No Options  5 min delay on trades  $1 minimum on stock share price  50% diversification rule  1% interest on cash

4  S&P up 1.14% on the week  Positive Earning Results  Mixed Economic Data

5 “There is still a dichotomy between robust earnings growth and global economic uncertainty”

6 Rockets to Planet Stability in Europe Thu 20 Oct 11 | 01:17 PM ET

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9 CompanyEstimateActualPercent Surprise IBM 3.223.28+2% Citi 0.811.23+51% Goldman Sachs -0.16-0.82-435% Yahoo 0.170.23+35% Freeport 1.021.10+8%

10 CompanyEstimateActualPercent Surprise Apple 7.397.05-5% Ebay 0.48 In-Line Morgan Stanley 0.301.14+280% AT&T 0.61 In-Line GE 0.320.31-1%

11  Wireless customers spent lessthan expected in the quarter  The No. 2 U.S. mobile provideradded 319,000 subscribers in the quarter, compared withexpectation of 406,000  This could reflect people waitingfor the new iPhone  wireless profit margin wasbetter than expected

12  Meets Earnings Expectationsbut Shares Fall  beat expectations for revenuedriven by:  Increased activity on the onlinemarketplaces  Rising transactions through itsPayPal payments network  Shares fall on restrainedoutlook for rest of year

13  Earnings top estimates aided byaccounting  Debit Value Adjustment (DVA)-allowed the company to push creditspreads out  Core revenue in trading, bankingand wealth managementoperations all fell  Gross exposure to Greece,Ireland, Italy, Spain and Portugalwas $5.69 billion, while thebank's equity was about $60billion.

14  Revenue rose across its:  Big energy  Aviation  Healthcare  Transportation arms.  Expects to increase operatingearnings per share at a double-digit percentage rate next year General Electric

15  Macau Casinos Post SolidEarnings, Shares Fall onOutlook  Wynn Macau logged an 84percent gain in third-quarternet profit  “Macau's thriving industrywould suffer a blow in theevent of a hard landing forChina”

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17  Miss stunned Wall Street  It was the first earnings miss forthe company since 2004  Sales were hurt by customerswaiting for the new version ofthe iPhone.  Product performance  iPad sales more than doubled  Mac sales jumped 26 percent  iPod sales fell 27 percent

18 The shortfall underscores the growing importance to Apple for the iPhone, which accounted for 39 percent of revenue last quarter Apple says that while iPhone sales fell off last quarter, the holiday quarter will be its best yet

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22 Union Pacific Railroads The rails are generally a pure play on the U.S. economy

23  Earnings rose 16 percent as therailroad charged higher prices  The nation's largest railroadsaid it expects business tocontinue to grow despite anuncertain view of broader U.S.economy  Amount of cars and partsmoved on its lines grew themost of any category

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26  Reported a third-quarter profit,helped by accounting gains andasset sales  The bank's main businessesshowed signs of weakness aslending profit fell and expensesrose  Mortgage unit lost $1.1 billionin the quarter, nearly triple the$392 million loss a year ago.

27 Halliburton: the world's second-largest oilfield services company

28  Halliburton profit tops views ongas drilling demand  Demand for shale energycontinues to climb across the U.S.despite low natural gas prices  shale boom expected to last at leastthrough 2012

29  Changes in earnings estimates may just be catching up to sentiment already priced into stocks.  Much of the third-quarter profit strength stems from still-strong international revenue growth  Prospects for corporate earnings are dimmer in the coming quarters, even though reports so far this quarter have been relatively bright

30  Copper and Gold miner  Market Cap: $32 Billion  Hit 52 week low last Tuesday

31 Buy the Dip in Freeport? Thu 20 Oct 11 | 05:40 PM ET

32 Soft Landing A term used to describe a rate of economic growth high enough to avoid recession, but slow enough to avoid high inflation. When the economy is growing at a strong rate, the Fed will try to engineer a soft landing by raising interest rates enough to slow the economy down without putting it into recession. Alan Greenspan, the former chairman of the Federal Reserve Board, was a master at the soft landing. http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/softlanding.asp#ixzz1bdyRRYrs

33 Hard Landing A term used to describe an economy going into recession as the government attempts to slow down inflation. The Fed will try to avoid a hard landing by raising interest rates only enough to slow the economy down without putting it into recession (a soft landing). http://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/hardlanding.asp#ixzz1bdz84bXH

34  Growth in China’s economy slowed to an annual 9.1 percent in the third quarter from 9.5 percent in the three months through June  Can slowing down to 8% be considered a soft landing?

35  American Economist  NYU Professor  Chairman and co- founder of Roubini Global Economics LLC.  Most known for publications predicting the U.S. housing bubble

36  China’s efforts to prop up economic growth won’t help it escape the hard landing that will probably arrive in 2013 or 2014  The prospect of a soft landing in China is a “mission impossible”  Policy makers will “do anything possible” to keep growth in national output at rates above 8 percent and ensure a “delicate” political transition isn’t hampered by an economic downturn


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