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Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 1 Perception survey Catalonia / Spain MAIN RESULTS Research by Universitat Oberta de Catalunya. Director: Miquel.

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Presentation on theme: "Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 1 Perception survey Catalonia / Spain MAIN RESULTS Research by Universitat Oberta de Catalunya. Director: Miquel."— Presentation transcript:

1 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 1 Perception survey Catalonia / Spain MAIN RESULTS Research by Universitat Oberta de Catalunya. Director: Miquel Strubell (Identi.Cat research group)Miquel Strubell Field work and data analysis: Instituto DYM With the support of the Centre of Contemporary Studies of Catalonia (CETC) NOTE: this document has been translated by volunteers. If in doubt refer to the Catalan original file.Ref.: November 2009

2 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 2 REFERENDUM REACTIONS INDEPENDENT CATALONIA SCENARIO PERCEPTION OF INDEPENDENCE TECHNICAL FILE FULFILLMENT AND TIMING FOR INDEPENDENCE DEMOCRACY, LAW AND SELF-DETERMINATION TECHNICAL FILE DEMOCRACY, LAW AND SELF-DETERMINATION

3 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 3 Technical File Data collection Interviews with Computer Aided Technology Inc (C.A.T.I.). Fieldwork dates From September 14 to October 2, Questionnaire Designed by the working team, and thereafter revised and adpated by Instituto DYM to C.A.T.I. methodology Language preference Questions have been formulated in Catalan or Spanish according to preference of interviewed person. Universe Population between15 and 74 (both included). Span Catalonia Sample selection Random sampling stratified by vegueries (regions) and habitat size. The person to be interviewed within the household was chosen randomly among household members, according to established quotas. Quotas Quotas crossed by region (vegueries), habitat, gender and age, proportional to actual population. Final Sample 2614 interviews Sample error margin +2,0% calculated for a reliability level of 95,5%, under the assumption of maximum statistical indetermination (p=q=50%) according to the sample error formula for infinite universes. Data weighting The weighting of interviews have been equated to the established distribution, so as to correct little deviations. Extra weighting has been introduced according to place of birth, equating it to actual proportion in present demographic data.

4 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 4 REFERENDUM REACTIONS INDEPENDENT CATALONIA SCENARIO PERCEPTION OF INDEPENDENCE TECHNICAL FILE FULFILLMENT AND TIMING FOR INDEPENDENCE DEMOCRACY, LAW AND SELF-DETERMINATION

5 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 5 DEMOCRACY, LAW AND SELF-DETERMINATION In case a democratic decision clashed against the current laws, which do you think should prevail? Base: Total interviews (2.614) NC = No Choice NA= No Answer DEMOCRACY, LAW AND SELF-DETERMINATION

6 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 6 Do you think the peoples of the world have the right of self-determination, ie to choose freely and democratically their own political future? Base: Total interviews (2.614) NC = No Choice NA= No Answer SELF-DETERMINATION IN GENERAL

7 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 7 Do the peoples of the world have the right of self-determination, ie. deciding their own political future freely and democratically? Base: Total interviews (2.614) NC = No Choice NA= No Answer SELF-DETERMINATION IN GENERAL And in the case of Catalonia, does it have the right of deciding freely and democratically its own political future? Base: Total interviews (2.614) NC = No Choice NA= No Answer

8 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 8 REFERENDUM REACTIONS INDEPENDENT CATALONIA SCENARIO PERCEPTION OF INDEPENDENCE TECHNICAL FILE FULFILLMENT AND TIMING FOR INDEPENDENCE DEMOCRACY, LAW AND SELF-DETERMINATION

9 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 9 In a democratic Referendum to decide the independence of Catalonia, what would you do? Base: Total interviews (2.614) REFERENDUM BEHAVIOUR

10 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 10 Base: Total interviews (2.614) In a democratic Referendum to decide the independence of Catalonia, what would you do? REFERENDUM BEHAVIOUR Percentages voting for independence

11 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 11 Over averageUnder average Base: Total interviews (2.614) In a democratic Referendum to decide the independence of Catalonia, what would you do? REFERENDUM BEHAVIOUR BY VEGUERIES OR REGIONS

12 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 12 Base: Total interviews (2.614) In a democratic Referendum to decide the independence of Catalonia, what would you do? REFERENDUM BEHAVIOUR BY PLACE OF BIRTH Over averageUnder average

13 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 13 Which of the following motives would you allege to vote for / vote against / abstain in a democratic referendum to decide Catalan independence? Base: Vote for (1.376) MOTIVES BEHIND REFERENDUM BEHAVIOUR MOTIVES TO VOTE FOR

14 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 14 Which of the following motives would you allege to vote for / vote against / abstain in a democratic referendum to decide Catalan independence? Base: Vote for (1.376)Base: Vote against (438) MOTIVES BEHIND REFERENDUM BEHAVIOUR MOTIVES TO VOTE FOR MOTIVES TO VOTE AGAINST

15 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 15 Which of the following motives would you allege to vote for / vote against / abstain in a democratic referendum to decide Catalan independence? Base: Vote for (1.376)Base: Vote against (438)Base: Abstention (607) MOTIVES BEHIND REFERENDUM BEHAVIOUR MOTIVES TO VOTE FOR MOTIVES TO VOTE AGAINSTMOTIVES TO ABSTAIN

16 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 16 REFERENDUM REACTIONS INDEPENDENT CATALONIA SCENARIO PERCEPTION OF INDEPENDENCE TECHNICAL FILE FULFILLMENT AND TIMING FOR INDEPENDENCE DEMOCRACY, LAW AND SELF-DETERMINATION

17 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 17 Base: Total interviews (2.614) In the case Catalonia became independent... INDEPENDENT CATALONIA SCENARIO

18 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 18 INDEPENDENT CATALONIA SCENARIO Do you agree with the expression: “An independent Catalonia could keep good relations with Spain?”

19 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 19 Base: Total interviews (2.614) EUROPEAN UNION Would you be for or against Catalonia being part of the European Union as any other member state? Base: Total entrevistes (2.614) Pensa que una Catalunya independent que formés part de la Unió Europea defensaria millor els interessos dels catalans que en la situació actual? INDEPENDENT CATALONIA SCENARIO

20 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 20 Base: Total interviews (2.614) EUROPEAN UNION Would you be for or against Catalonia being part of the European Union as any other member state? Base: Total interviews (2.614) Do you think that an independent Catalonia which were part of the European Union would sustain Catalan interests better? INDEPENDENT CATALONIA SCENARIO

21 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 21 REFERENDUM REACTIONS INDEPENDENT CATALONIA SCENARIO PERCEPTION OF INDEPENDENCE TECHNICAL FILE FULFILLMENT AND TIMING FOR INDEPENDENCE DEMOCRACY, LAW AND SELF-DETERMINATION

22 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 22 Would you say the majority of citizens of Catalonia are rather in favour or against its independence? Base: Total interviews (2.614) PERCEPTION OF INDEPENDENCE

23 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 23 Would you say the majority of citizens of Catalonia are rather in favour or against its independence? Base: Total interviews (2.614) PERCEPTION OF INDEPENDENCE DISTRIBUTION ACCORDING TO REFERENDUM BEHAVIOUR

24 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 24 REFERENDUM REACTIONS INDEPENDENT CATALONIA SCENARIO PERCEPTION OF INDEPENDENCE TECHNICAL FILE FULFILLMENT AND TIMING FOR INDEPENDENCE DEMOCRACY, LAW AND SELF-DETERMINATION

25 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 25 Base: Total interviews (2.614) Do you think Catalonia will become independent some day? FULFILLMENT AND TIMING FOR INDEPENDENCE

26 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 26 DISTRIBUTION BY VEGUERIES OR REGIONS Base: Total interviews (2.614) Do you think Catalonia will become independent some day? FULFILLMENT AND TIMING FOR INDEPENDENCE

27 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 27 BIRTHPLACE DISTRIBUTION Base: Total interviews (2.614) Do you think Catalonia will become independent some day? FULFILLMENT AND TIMING FOR INDEPENDENCE

28 Diagnòstic percepcions Catalunya – Espanya 28 When do you think Catalonia could become independent? Base: will be independent some day (768) TIMING FOR INDEPENDENCE


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