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São Paulo | Rio de Janeiro | Brasília | Curitiba | Porto Alegre | Recife London | Lisbon | Shanghai | Miami | Buenos Aires Durval de Noronha Goyos Jr.

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Presentation on theme: "São Paulo | Rio de Janeiro | Brasília | Curitiba | Porto Alegre | Recife London | Lisbon | Shanghai | Miami | Buenos Aires Durval de Noronha Goyos Jr."— Presentation transcript:

1 São Paulo | Rio de Janeiro | Brasília | Curitiba | Porto Alegre | Recife London | Lisbon | Shanghai | Miami | Buenos Aires Durval de Noronha Goyos Jr. Noronha Advogados São Paulo, 27 February 2008.

2 1.Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy 2.Brazil's external trade and trade with selected partners 3.Some Social Aspects of Brazil 4.General Aspects of Brazil's Foreign Policy POINTS OF PRESENTATION

3 Map of South America

4 Economic Growth % Source: IBGE * estimate Central Bank Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy

5 Brazil's GDP in purchase power parity Total purchase power parity is US$ trillion Total purchase power parity is US$ trillion Purchase power parity per capita is US$ (2006) Purchase power parity per capita is US$ (2006) Purchase power parity per capita is US$ (2007) Purchase power parity per capita is US$ (2007) Source: IMF Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy

6 Brazil’s GDP in US$ GDP(US$) 552 (billion) ,006 (trillion) 1,300 Population(million) GDP per capita (mil US$) 3,0853,6554,7545,388* 8,600 Source: IBGE and US Census database web site In yellow – IBGE’s new methodology. Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy * CIA World Factbook

7 Evolution of External Debt Year Value (US$ Billion) , , , , , , , , , ,3 * ,0 Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy Source: Central Bank*JAN/2008

8 Brazil: Inflation rate % Source: Central Bank * Estimate Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy

9 Foreign Direct Investment in Brazil Source: Central Bank. Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy YearTotal , , , , , ,5 * 20084,81 * JAN/2008 US$ Billion

10 Foreign Direct Investment in Brazil Source: Central Bank/Treasury Department US$ Billion Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy

11 YearTotal 20024, , , , , ,65 * 20082,54 Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy Brazilian Direct Investment Abroad Source: Central Bank *Only JAN US$ Billion

12 Brazilian Investment Abroad Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy Source: Central Bank US$ Billion

13 Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy Evolution R$ x US$ Source: Central Bank

14 External Debt/GPD x Liquid Debt/GPD % Source: Central Bank, Bulletin Focus, February RED: External Debt/GDP; YELLOW: Liquid Debt/GDP Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy

15 Main problems yet to be solved  taxes are not competitive;  interest rates are very high;  exchange rates are overestimated. Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy

16 Brazilian Agribusiness ProductsPosition between main exports % Total Global Exportations Orange juice1º81% Chicken Meat1º35% Sugar1º33% Coffee1º30% Tobacco1º27% Bovine Meat1º24% Ethanol1º13% Soy2º32% Soy Oil2º28% Pork Meet3º11% Cotton3º5% Source: Icone Brasil Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy

17 Brazilian Banking System: Net-Assets Evolution Source: FEBRABAN * September 2007 R$ Billion Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy

18 Automotive Production YearCars and light commercials TrucksBusesTotal 20031, ,93826,9901, , ,33828,7582, , ,89235,2662, , ,00133,8092, , ,98038,7852, * ,5923,710254,913 Source: ANFAVEA * JAN/2008 Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy

19  2005 – 1.85 million barrels a day  2006 – Brazil achieves self sufficiency in oil  2007 – Tupi hydrocarbon discovery estimated to have between 8 to 10 billion of BOE 1. The discovery could double the petroleum reserves.  2010 – 3.4 million barrels a day 2 Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy Source: Petrobrás 1 Barrels Oil Equivalent 2 Estimate Petrobrás Oil Production

20 Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy 500 million liters/years Increase in cultivated area by 67,000 hectares Creation of 20,000 direct jobs and 60,000 indirect jobs Investments in productive chain estimated at around USD 150 million/year CO2 emission reduction by 3.5 million tons/years Ethanol Production Source: UNICA

21 Airplane Trade (US$ Million FOB) Exports 2,799.22,050.03,371.33,302.83,442.54,367.5 Imports ,234.51,593,2 Balance 2,114.21,458.62,482.62,335.12,208.02, Flow of Commerce 3,484.22,641.34,260.04,270.54,676.05, Source: MDIC Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy

22 International Reserves/External Debt % Source: Central Bank, Bulletin Focus, February Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy

23 International Reserves YearUS$ Millions , , , , , ,308 Source: Central Bank * Position on 21 February 2008 Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy

24 International Reserves Source: Central Bank * Position on 21 February 2008 US$ Million Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy

25 ExportationImportation YearUS$ FOBVar.%US$ FOBVar.%Balance ,67732,0762,83530,0333, ,52922,6073,60017,1344, ,80716,2691,35024,1246, ,64916,58120,62432,0540, *13,276-12, ,015 Source: MDIC * JAN/2008 US$ Million Brazil's external trade and trade with selected partners Brazilian Trade

26 Source: MDIC * JAN/2008 Brazilian Trade US$ Million Brazil's external trade and trade with selected partners

27 Brazil’s Export Markets Source: MDIC * JAN/2008

28 Brazil's external trade and trade with selected partners Sources of Brazil’s Imports Source: MDIC * JAN/2008

29 Brazil's external trade and trade with selected partners 19% 35% 24% 10% 7%5% Flow of trade between Brazil and selected economic blocs Source: MDIC year: 2007

30 Countries Values Countries Values Nigeria 6,886 Libya 1,833 Angelia 2,735 Morocco 970 Botswana 2,726 Ghana 523 South Africa 2,280 Senegal 159 Angola 2,163 Côte d'Ivoire 123 Brazil's external trade and trade with selected partners Main African Countries: Flow of Trade with Brazil Source: MDIC year: 2007 US$ Million

31 Source: MDIC 2007 Brazil's external trade and trade with selected partners Main African Countries: Flow of Trade with Brazil

32 TotalProducts YearUS$ FOBVar.%Basics Var.% Semi Var.% Manufactured Var.% 20041,03741,3197,88-13,9351, ,37132,2010,60-20,5535, ,4646,68-12,94129,1442, ,75726,3914,3964,7426, * Source: MDIC * JAN/2008 Brazilian Products Exported to South Africa US$ Million Brazil's external trade and trade with selected partners

33 ProductsUS$ FOB 2008 (Jan/Jan) US$ FOB 2007 (Jan/Jan) Var. 08/07 Part (Jan/Jan) Oil Soy ,98% Other Sugars ,52%8,40% Chicken parts ,51%8,36% ,86%5,69% Other Engines ,94%3,56% Other parts of vehicles ,033,28% Source: MDIC * JAN/2008 Main Brazilian Products Exported to South Africa Brazil's external trade and trade with selected partners

34 South African Products Exported to Brazil Total YearUS$ Million FOBVar.% , , , , *66- Source: MDIC * JAN/2008

35 ProductsUS$ FOB 2008 (Jan/Jan) US$ FOB 2007 (Jan/Jan) Var. 08/07Part (Jan/Jan) Other Helicopters 12, ,83% Steel Blade6, ,58% Rhodium5, ,16% Tebuthiuron4, , ,80 %7,22% Bituminous coal3, , ,57 %5,01% Hydrocarbons2, ,49 %4,42% Source: MDIC * JAN/2008 Main products imported from South Africa Brazil's external trade and trade with selected partners

36 Source: MDIC * JAN/2008 Trade Between Brazil and South Africa US$ Million Brazil's external trade and trade with selected partners

37 Brazilian Products Exported to China TotalProducts YearUS$ FOBVar.%Basics Var.% Semi Var.% Manufactured Var.% 20045,44120,0342,6014,30-17, ,83425,6144,62-18,5718, ,40222,9332,9326,92-22, ,74827,9327,5951,87-1, *65417,150,2284,35-16,76 Source: MDIC * JAN/2008 US$ Million Brazil's external trade and trade with selected partners

38 Total YearUS$ Million FOBVar.% 20043,71072, ,35444, ,99049, ,61857, *1,536- Chinese Products Exported to Brazil Source: MDIC*JAN/2008

39 Trade Between Brazil and China Source: MDIC * JAN/2008 US$ Million Brazil's external trade and trade with selected partners

40 Brazilian Products Exported to India TotalProducts YearUS$ FOBVar.%Basics Var.% Semi Var.% Manufactured Var.% ,85-63,2795,88104, ,13774,3830,7164,21102, ,49180,14-61,02-28, ,02-6,0557,15-17, *6742,96272,0042,2411,07 Source: MDIC * JAN/2008 Brazil's external trade and trade with selected partners US$ Million

41 Indian Products Exported to Brazil Total YearValueVar.% , ,202116, ,47322, ,16546, *19433,37 Source: MDIC * JAN/2008 Brazil's external trade and trade with selected partners US$ Million

42 Trade Between Brazil and India Source: MDIC * JAN/2008 US$ Million Brazil's external trade and trade with selected partners

43 RegionHuman develop ment index (HDI value) Life expectancy at birth (years) Adult literacy rate (% aged 15 and above) Combined gross enrolment ratio for primary, secondary and terceary education Life expectancy index and education index Brazil ,5 th0.779 / Developing Countries ,1 th0.685 / Latin America and the Caribbean th0.797 / Sub-Saharan Africa th0.410 / World th / Source: Human Development Report 2007/2008, United Nations Some Social Aspects of Brazil

44 Infant mortality rate (per 1000 live births) Population using improved sanitation (%) Population using an improved water source Total Population 2015 (millions) Total fertility rate (births per woman) Brazil ,3 Developing Countries ,956.62,9 Latin America and the Caribbean ,52,5 Sub- Saharan Africa ,25,5 World ,2952,6 Source: Human Development Report 2007/2008, United Nations. Some Social Aspects of Brazil

45 General Aspects of Brazil's Foreign Policy Brazil’s prevailing foreign policy doctrine recognizes the country's: Economic; Technological; Political; Commercial; and Military vulnerabilities Source: Ministry of External Relations of Brazil

46 General Aspects of Brazil's Foreign Policy Brazil’s present foreign policy doctrine recommends alliances with other major developing countries such as: China; India; Russia; and South Africa Order to minimize such vulnerabilities. Source: Ministry of External Relations of Brazil

47 Durval de Noronha Goyos Jr.


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