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CSME Integration Possibilities - An Oil and Gas Perspective T. M. Boopsingh Sherbourne Conference Centre Barbados, 29 th June 2006.

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Presentation on theme: "CSME Integration Possibilities - An Oil and Gas Perspective T. M. Boopsingh Sherbourne Conference Centre Barbados, 29 th June 2006."— Presentation transcript:

1 CSME Integration Possibilities - An Oil and Gas Perspective T. M. Boopsingh Sherbourne Conference Centre Barbados, 29 th June 2006

2 Outline International Energy Overview - Geographic, Economic and Global Realities  A Brief Review of Inputs - Geographic and Regional Overview - The Trinidad and Tobago Downstream industry - A Regional demand Analysis The Way Forward – Regional & National Issues -The Opportunities

3 International Energy Overview Section 1

4 International Perspectives - The Region in the World Western Energy Security World Economic Growth China & India make the new difference Saudi vs Iraqi Resources US vs European/Japanese Interests Russian Oil and now GAS Other US Needs, Interests & Inputs Imports, Transportation, Sales, Technology

5 The Caribbean’s Energy Needs Bulk vs Supplemental Urban vs Rural Primary vs Secondary Energy Electricity vs Transportation Medium term vs Long term

6

7 World Energy Demand to 2025 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2004; EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004

8 Projected Contributions from "New" Renewable Energy Sources in 2020 ETW "Minimum"ETW "Maximum" Mtoe% of total Mtoe% of total Modern biomass Solar Other (wind, geothermal, small hydro, waste) Total % of Total Primary Energy Consumption Source: WEC’s ETW NB. In 1990 new renewables contributed 164 Mtoe (1.9% to total energy demand).

9 The Coming Age of Natural Gas è Infrastructure issues è Gas Hydrates è Fuel Cells

10 Sources of Production for the Caribbean Sections 2a & 2b

11 The Sources of Energy - Geographically US Gulf Coast Venezuela* Trinidad and Tobago# - CSME member Colombia Mexico* West Africa# Other, inc. Brazil, Ecuador, Middle East, etc. * Oil Exporter # Oil & Gas Exporter

12 Petroleum Products Oil, Products & LNG Oil & Petroleum Products

13 T&T - Existing Gas Based Plants 1 Natural Gas Liquids Processing Facility 4 LNG Trains (2300 MMscfd) 9 Ammonia Plants (4,485 MTPA) 1 Urea Plant (550 MTPA) 5 Methanol Plants (2,960 MTPA) 4 Iron and Steel Mills (2,560 MTPA) 4 Power Generation Plants - Powergen (3) & Inncogen 1 Offshore Platform Fabrication Yard Other Refinery Cement Manufacture Light Industrial/Commercial Consumers Gas Fired Air Cooling Projects 4000 CNG powered vehicles

14 4 LNG Trains

15 Liquefying Natural Gas

16 TT / Venezuelan Cross-Border Drilling

17 Pricing Natural Gas in T&T Net back Pricing based on Product sales prices – LNG, Methanol, Ammonia, Alternate Fuel Pricing e.g. Fuel Oil/Crude Oil Net back Pricing based on Product sales prices - Steel; Aluminium ? Domestic Pricing - TTEC, Small Manufacturers.

18 Proposed New Plants in Trinidad Alutrint Aluminium Smelter Aluminium Wire, Rods, Wheels, Parts AnsaMcal/Terra UAN Ammonia complex Clico Energy et. al. UAM Ammonia complex Eastern Caribbean Gas Pipeline Alcoa Smelter New Refinery at Pointe-a-Pierre Westlake Ethylene Complex, etc,

19 A Demand Analysis in the Caribbean Section 2c

20 Role of Indigenous Resources in Meeting Energy Demand Country/ItemHydro in Power Generation % Oil/Gas Production in Petroleum Demand % Suriname Dominica 50 - Haiti 47 - St. Vincent 32 - Dominican Rep. 8 - Jamaica 2 - Cuba 1 31 (55% by 2004) Barbados - 19 Trinidad & Tobago Source: T.A. Byer

21 Petroleum Product Demand in 2000 (BBls/Day) – North Caribbean Markets Product/ Country GasolineDistillateRFOTotalOf which Power-% Cuba10,80043,80093,100160,50037 Jamaica11,50010,90040,15065,60041 Haiti2,4006, ,33013 Dom. Rep. 27,27052,60024,800125,06031 Puerto Rico 62,95024,25060,000170,00045 Source: T.A. Byer

22 Petroleum Product Demand in 2000 (BBls/day) – Eastern Caribbean Markets Product/ Country GasolineDistillateRFOTotalOf which Power-% Guadeloupe3,1504,8003,20012,40031 Dominica Martinique2,7505,7004,05013,40033 St. Lucia8501,950202,95040 St. Vincent ,20023 Barbados1,9005,7502,70010,80031 Grenada ,46030 Source: T.A. Byer

23 Conclusions of Macro-Economic & Petroleum Demand Analysis Power Sector is the prime activity for displacing liquid fuels – represented by few corporate entities which facilitates implementation Transport sector fuels – gasoline, Avjet and diesel oil – substitution more difficult. Source: T.A. Byer

24 The Eastern Caribbean Pipeline

25 Final System Layout Technical Considerations Larger markets and less risky service via Eastern segment to Barbados Western segment’s small diameter (5”) facilitates minimizing impact of geo-technical hazards in servicing Grenada and St Vincent. Not Commercial. Interconnect point in Martinique to re-distribute to Central & Northern systems Access to Fort de France markets More difficult subsea terrain characterizes Northern route to Guadeloupe and Dominica Central Eastern Western Northern

26 T&T – Its Role in the Hemisphere  US LNG Imports  Largest world Ammonia and Methanol exporter  Deep Water Prospects

27 U.S. LNG Imports BCFD Projected Range of Imports Cambridge Energy Research Associates “New Realities, New Risks: North American Gas and Power Scenarios Through 2020”

28 Slide 21 of 31

29 T&T - Its Role in the Region  US LNG Imports  US Ammonia & Methanol Imports  Deep Water Prospects  Location re Venezuela  Caribbean Refining Center  Small and Strategically positioned

30 Regional Structures and Issues Section 3

31 The Way Forward Long Term – 1. Solar inc. Photo Voltaic 2. Other inc. Conservation, Energy Security, Diversification Private Capital - The key to prioritization Medium Term – Natural Gas & Bio-fuels a) Eastern Caribbean Pipeline b) LNG for Northern Caribbean Domestic Demand Management inc. Price Differentiation, Supply Diversification, Affordability, Trade Cooperation, Conservation

32 Regional and National Structures  REAP – a critical Institutional product  Cooperating within the ACS  Using Market related pricing  Partnering J/V’s and/with IOC’s  Facilitate Refining, Shipping & Trading  Establish credible Regulatory Agencies

33 New downstream potential  Steel and Steel products  Aluminium and its products  Gas based Petroleum Products  Natural Gas in Cooling  CNG in land transportation  Ethylene based Plastics

34 New Trading potential  Alumina and Aluminium products  Forest and wood products  New Petroleum Products  Fertilisers and by-products  Plastics

35 THE END Oh to be like this! Oh to be like this! Thank Thank you for your attention. ur attention.


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