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The Extreme Future by James Canton Are WE Prepared for the “Extreme Future”

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1 The Extreme Future by James Canton Are WE Prepared for the “Extreme Future”

2 Overview from Dr. James Canton..\My Documents\The extreme futures.htm..\My Documents\The extreme futures.htm..\My Documents\The extreme futures.htm..\My Documents\The extreme futures.htm

3 Ten Trends of the Extreme Future Copyright © 2007 Dr. James Canton & IGF

4 The Top 10 Trends of The Extreme Future 1. Fueling the Future - The escalating energy crisis, the post-oil future, and the prospect of energy alternatives like hydrogen will play a crucial role in the lives 21 st century individuals.

5 Five things everyone needs to know about energy… The era of cheap oil is over. The era of cheap oil is over. Alternative energy, though promising, is not ready to produce adequate supply. Alternative energy, though promising, is not ready to produce adequate supply. We need to invest quickly in new energy sources. We need to invest quickly in new energy sources. We need to learn to conserve energy. We need to learn to conserve energy. Energy is a national security issue. Energy is a national security issue.

6 The Top 10 Trends of The Extreme Future 2. The Innovation Economy - The changing of the global economy based on the union of free trade and technology and democracy. These forces combine to drive new jobs, new markets, globalization, competition, and ultimately peace and security.

7 The formula of the Innovation Economy I + C + D = P2 (Innovation + Capitalism + Democracy = Prosperity and Peace)

8 The Top 10 Trends of The Extreme Future 3. The Next Workforce - The workforce of the U.S. is undergoing tremendous changes including becoming more multicultural, more female, and more Hispanic. In order for the future U.S. workforce to be competitive globally, the workforce must embrace innovation.

9 Why education must change to prepare the future workforce… 1. The current education system has failed to complete its most vital and strategic mandate: preparing the workforce for the future. 2. Education does not have the leadership, guts or vision to reinvent itself. 3. Most schools, kindergarten through college, are not in sync with changes in the marketplace—more competitive, more complex, more global, more innovation—driven. 4. Without educational change, more companies will outsource to find skilled talent offshore, creating unemployment in the U.S. 5. Teachers are not the problem. Pay teachers double and retrain them for the Innovation Economy. Measure their performance, hire the best, and fire the slackers. 6. Political leaders have lacked the courage to create a Future-Ready national innovation curriculum: more science, more innovation, more high-tech, a more global outlook, more entrepreneurial skills. 7. We are teaching kids about the past. We need to teach kids about the future. How to survive in the Extreme Future.

10 The Top 10 Trends of The Extreme Future 4. Longevity Medicine – People in the future will live longer and feel better doing so. Medicine will move from treatment based to prevention based. Mapping of DNA cells will lead to preventing disease, biotech, stem cells, and genomic drugs will enhance life for all humans. Cyber technology will allow more specialized doctors…cyber docs. Robots will be trained for surgery making it more precise.

11 ..\My Documents\The future of healthcare.htm..\My Documents\The future of healthcare.htm..\My Documents\The future of healthcare.htm..\My Documents\The future of healthcare.htm

12 Seven reasons longevity medicine will transform humanity… 1. Personal Liberty: Predictive forecasts will provide individuals with customized health plans so they can choose health enhancement and longer life. 2. Desire: People have always wanted to live longer, taking control over their destiny, cheating death if they can. 3. Money: A large concentration of baby-boomer wealth will be invested in what most boomer want: to live longer, healthier, and more active lives. 4. Productivity: As birth rates drop, nations and employers will come to support longevity of their citizens and workers to preserve a productive population. 5. Social Investment: Health-care costs for healthy people are lower than they are for the sick, reducing the burden on government and individuals. 6. Genomics: The science of the human genome will make it possible to understand the genetic origin of disease and to take action to extend life. 7. Healing Tech: A host a new restoration therapies, using stem cells, genetic vaccines, nanotechnology, and advanced medical devices will be deployed to extend life.

13 The Top 10 Trends of The Extreme Future 5. Weird Science – The goal of science is to make the world a better place. Science will transform every aspect of our lives, culture and economy—from teleportation to nanobiology to multiple universes. Weird Science is a combination of breakthroughs that may seem weird at first, but eventually become our norm.

14 ..\My Documents\NANODOC 2015.htm..\My Documents\NANODOC 2015.htm..\My Documents\NANODOC 2015.htm..\My Documents\NANODOC 2015.htm

15 Today’s weird science points to the extreme future… NASA is using nanobio materials to build space vehicles with nervous systems that function as human beings. NASA is using nanobio materials to build space vehicles with nervous systems that function as human beings. Cassini and other deep-space probes have advanced computer intelligence that guides a craft’s journey into the mysterious cosmos. Cassini and other deep-space probes have advanced computer intelligence that guides a craft’s journey into the mysterious cosmos. The Internet already exhibits self-healing skills. Like humans, it can diagnose problems and reason out solutions to keep working, even optimizing itself, all on its own. The Internet already exhibits self-healing skills. Like humans, it can diagnose problems and reason out solutions to keep working, even optimizing itself, all on its own. Honda’s robots can walk stairs, play soccer, and work industrial equipment as they learn, reason, and navigate our world. They are advertised as future members of the family. Honda’s robots can walk stairs, play soccer, and work industrial equipment as they learn, reason, and navigate our world. They are advertised as future members of the family. Robot swarms, form a company called iRobot, are linked and communicate together via one mind. Robot swarms, form a company called iRobot, are linked and communicate together via one mind. SETI (Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence) has harness the thinking power of thousands of personal computers via its Web site, organizing this awesome resource into one global brain to search for signals from space, 24/7. SETI (Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence) has harness the thinking power of thousands of personal computers via its Web site, organizing this awesome resource into one global brain to search for signals from space, 24/7. Internet 2, the new version of the Net, offers a test mode of superfast connections, multimedia streaming, video-conferencing, virtual reality applications, and pervasive mobility. Internet 2, the new version of the Net, offers a test mode of superfast connections, multimedia streaming, video-conferencing, virtual reality applications, and pervasive mobility. The teleportation of photons—bits of light from one place to another—is common practice. Next is teleporting objects. The teleportation of photons—bits of light from one place to another—is common practice. Next is teleporting objects.

16 The Top 10 Trends of The Extreme Future 6. Securing the Future – Threats to the freedom we have come to love and take for granted will be more common. Threats in the form of technology terrorist, mind control, and bioterrorism. No longer will military institutions be the target, ‘regular’ citizens in ordinary places-ball parks, malls, schools, water supplies, etc will be. Weapons of the future: neurowar, biological, quantum, infectious disease, toxic chemicals, dirty bombs, pulse energy, satellites, internet (wireless), GPS networks, & human biology.

17 The future surveillance society: 2015 By 2015, the United States will have more than ten million closed-circuit television cameras, more than half operated by government agencies, the rest by private security and corporations. The average citizen in New York City will be photographed 500 times a day. By 2015, the United States will have more than ten million closed-circuit television cameras, more than half operated by government agencies, the rest by private security and corporations. The average citizen in New York City will be photographed 500 times a day. All TVs will be two-way interactive. They will watch us as we watch them. All TVs will be two-way interactive. They will watch us as we watch them. Biometrics will be used to capture facial, iris, fingerprint, voice, or breath scans before you can enter or leave a room or building. Biometrics will be used to capture facial, iris, fingerprint, voice, or breath scans before you can enter or leave a room or building. Genomic personal-identity cards will be required to enter or leave areas in a city or town. They will have unique DNA markers for each individual. Genomic personal-identity cards will be required to enter or leave areas in a city or town. They will have unique DNA markers for each individual. Mobile Autonomous Robots will sniff out hazards, toxins, and even people using advanced “smell radar” to authenticate our identities. Mobile Autonomous Robots will sniff out hazards, toxins, and even people using advanced “smell radar” to authenticate our identities. Global Positioning Systems will signal satellites, authenticating our true identity and registering who we are, where we’re going—and perhaps wondering why? Global Positioning Systems will signal satellites, authenticating our true identity and registering who we are, where we’re going—and perhaps wondering why? Every chip in every product will be online, linked to GPS satellites that can track every human on the planet. Every chip in every product will be online, linked to GPS satellites that can track every human on the planet. Security chips will be embedded in our skin and used to buy, sell, and authenticate our identity. Security chips will be embedded in our skin and used to buy, sell, and authenticate our identity.

18 The Top 10 Trends of The Extreme Future 7. The Future of Globalization – It “is about a new synthesis of ideas, trade, communication, and collaboration that should promote future global prosperity, freedom, and opportunity.” (Canton, p. 193) It requires deep collaborative efforts from all nations of the world. The 5 wars of globalization: terrorism, crime, drug trafficking, counterfeiting, and poverty. Globalization will not succeed if the above are still in place.

19 Barriers to globalization’s future High unemployment High unemployment Global terrorism Global terrorism Trade barriers Trade barriers Depressed local economies Depressed local economies Threats to energy and climate Threats to energy and climate Tyranny Tyranny No rule of law No rule of law A controlled press A controlled press War War Poor education and health care Poor education and health care Anticonsumerism Anticonsumerism

20 The Top 10 Trends of The Extreme Future 8. The Future of Climate Change – It is a “game changer” meaning if the environment goes…all other trends will be upset. Climate change threatens business, society, and security. We must take care of our environment and better prepare for the changes that have already taken place. In the future ‘clean tech’ industry will be large and profitable. Laws will be made to protect the environment.

21 What everyone needs to know about climate futures… Climate is changing in fundamental and dangerous ways that may affect the balance of power on the planet. Climate is changing in fundamental and dangerous ways that may affect the balance of power on the planet. There is overwhelming evidence that humankind is harming the environment. There is overwhelming evidence that humankind is harming the environment. Consumer’s buying choices will be affected by green corporate policies. Consumer’s buying choices will be affected by green corporate policies. Aligning one’s business with saving the environment is smart business. Aligning one’s business with saving the environment is smart business. Consumers will not buy from polluting companies and will avoid products that contribute to environmental destruction. Consumers will not buy from polluting companies and will avoid products that contribute to environmental destruction. Extreme climate changes, including extreme storms and global warming, should be factored into every strategic plan. Extreme climate changes, including extreme storms and global warming, should be factored into every strategic plan. Competitive advantages can be leveraged by identifying and adopting a more pro- environment strategy. Competitive advantages can be leveraged by identifying and adopting a more pro- environment strategy. Conduct a long-term risk assessment of you business to determine how much you could benefit from integrating green corporate policies of nonpollution, using renewable energy, and adopting clean-technology business. Conduct a long-term risk assessment of you business to determine how much you could benefit from integrating green corporate policies of nonpollution, using renewable energy, and adopting clean-technology business. Increasing the ability of your business to leverage the environment as a value in customer service, product design, and marketing is an intelligent, profitable decision. Increasing the ability of your business to leverage the environment as a value in customer service, product design, and marketing is an intelligent, profitable decision. Develop a green corporate policy to guide your company’s appropriate use technology, investments, and practices that will support the environment. Develop a green corporate policy to guide your company’s appropriate use technology, investments, and practices that will support the environment.

22 The Top 10 Trends of The Extreme Future 9. The Future of the Individual - The risks and challenges from institutions, governments, and ideologies in the struggle for human rights and the freedom of the individual in the 21st century. The individual is at risk today and this will only get worse in the Extreme Future.

23 Top Threats to Individuals by 2015 Brain implants to modify behavior. Brain implants to modify behavior. EKG brain-scanning for thought control. EKG brain-scanning for thought control. Pharmaceuticals to adjust behavior. Pharmaceuticals to adjust behavior. Illegal wiretaps that capture personal identities and desires. Illegal wiretaps that capture personal identities and desires. Personal DNA theft. Personal DNA theft. Neuro-advertising, direct to the retina or brain. Neuro-advertising, direct to the retina or brain. Gene vaccines that eliminate undesired behaviors. Gene vaccines that eliminate undesired behaviors. Chip-tagging to control and track individual mobility. Chip-tagging to control and track individual mobility. Surveillance technology that watches you everywhere. Surveillance technology that watches you everywhere. Interactive TV, computer, cars, and phones that signal who you are and what you desire. Interactive TV, computer, cars, and phones that signal who you are and what you desire. Smart-chip citizen ID cards. Smart-chip citizen ID cards. Consumer databases that reveal predictive personal information about what you will believe, buy, and think. Consumer databases that reveal predictive personal information about what you will believe, buy, and think. Wireless bots that embed in our clothing to monitor behavior. Wireless bots that embed in our clothing to monitor behavior. Religion fundamentalists who preach intolerance. Religion fundamentalists who preach intolerance.

24 The Top 10 Trends of The Extreme Future 10. The Future of America and China- The power of America and its destiny to champion global democracy, innovation, human rights and free markets. The providence of these two great nations will shape the future.

25 ..\My Documents\CNBC Asia.htm..\My Documents\CNBC Asia.htm..\My Documents\CNBC Asia.htm..\My Documents\CNBC Asia.htm

26 How are YOU preparing for the extreme future?

27 References: Canton, J. (2006) The Extreme Future. Dutton, New York. Canton, J. (2006) The Extreme Future. Dutton, New York. Canton, J. Institute for Global Futures. Retrieved July 18, 2008, from Canton, J. Institute for Global Futures. Retrieved July 18, 2008, from


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