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Utah Cost of Service and Rate Design Task Force Seasonality in Costs and Loads Maurice Brubaker June 15, 2005 Salt Lake City, Utah.

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Presentation on theme: "Utah Cost of Service and Rate Design Task Force Seasonality in Costs and Loads Maurice Brubaker June 15, 2005 Salt Lake City, Utah."— Presentation transcript:

1 Utah Cost of Service and Rate Design Task Force Seasonality in Costs and Loads Maurice Brubaker June 15, 2005 Salt Lake City, Utah

2 PacifiCorp-Utah Comparison of Monthly Peaks for Years 1994 and 2006 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Month Megawatts 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Percentage Change 1994 Percentage Change 2006

3 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% PacifiCorp Comparison of Monthly Peaks for Years 1994 and 2006 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Month 1994 Percentage Change 2006 Megawatts Percentage Change

4 0 400 800 1,200 1,600 2,000 2,400 2,800 3,200 3,600 4,000 1337673100913451681201723532689302533613697403343694705504153775713604963856721705773937729806584018737 Hourly Load Data - Utah PacifiCorp Hour MW

5 0 400 800 1,200 1,600 2,000 2,400 2,800 3,200 3,600 4,000 Apr-05MayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar-06 Month MW Total Total Residential Schedule 6 PacifiCorp-Utah Contribution of Major Classes to Coincident Peak Schedule 8 Schedule 9 Schedule 23

6 0 400 800 1,200 1,600 2,000 2,400 2,800 3,200 3,600 4,000 Hour 116824487296120144 PacifiCorp-Utah Hourly Load Data for Total Utah and Large Industrial Customers Maximum Winter Week Total Utah Large Industrial Customers MW % Increase = 48%

7 116824487296120144 MW PacifiCorp-Utah Hourly Load Data for Total Utah and Large Industrial Customers Maximum Summer Week Hour Total Utah Large Industrial Customers % Increase = 72%

8 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 $45 $50 $55 $60 $65 $70 ($/MWh) Jan-04FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec Peak Off-Peak COB Average Monthly On-Peak Prices 2004

9 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 $45 $50 $55 $60 $65 $70 Jan-04FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec ($/MWh) Peak Off-Peak Palo Verde Average Monthly On-Peak Prices 2004

10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 1/2/2004 1/16/20041/30/20042/13/20042/27/20043/12/20043/26/2004 4/9/2004 4/23/2004 5/7/2004 5/21/2004 6/4/2004 6/18/2004 7/2/2004 7/16/20047/30/20048/13/20048/27/20049/10/20049/24/200410/8/2004 10/22/2004 11/5/2004 11/19/2004 12/3/2004 12/17/200412/31/2004 COB Day Ahead On-Peak Prices 2004 ($/MWh)

11 1/2/2004 1/16/20041/30/20042/13/20042/27/20043/12/20043/26/2004 4/9/2004 4/23/2004 5/7/2004 5/21/2004 6/4/2004 6/18/2004 7/2/2004 7/16/20047/30/20048/13/20048/27/20049/10/20049/24/200410/8/2004 10/22/2004 11/5/2004 11/19/2004 12/3/2004 12/17/200412/31/2004 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 ($/MWh) Palo Verde Day Ahead On-Peak Prices 2004

12 0 400 800 1,200 1,600 2,000 2,400 2,800 3,200 3,600 4,000 Apr-05MayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar-06 Month MW Total Total Residential Schedule 6 Schedule 8 Schedule 9 Schedule 23 PacifiCorp-Utah Allocations Based on Peaks (Vertical Slices) ?

13 Resource Portfolio  Base Load Coal  Combined Cycle – Gas Fired  Peaking Units – Gas Fired  24 x 7 x 52 Purchases  Seasonal On-Peak Purchases  Seasonal Off-Peak Purchases  Hourly Purchases PacifiCorp-Utah

14 Block Purchases Day 1 Load Midnight 6 AMNoon10 PM 6 x 16 Purchase Surplus

15 PacifiCorp-Utah Block Purchases Day 2 Load Midnight 6 AMNoon10 PM 6 x 16 Purchase Surplus

16 0 400 800 1,200 1,600 2,000 2,400 2,800 3,200 3,600 4,000 Apr-05MayJunJulSepOctNovDecJanFebMar-06 Month MW PacifiCorp-Utah Horizontal Analysis - Industrial Total Industrial Aug Base

17 0 400 800 1,200 1,600 2,000 2,400 2,800 3,200 3,600 4,000 Apr-05MayJunJulSepOctNovDecJanFebMar-06 Month MW Horizontal Analysis – Peaking Classes PacifiCorp-Utah Base Intermediate Peaking Super Peak Total Estimate Aug


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