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Chapter 15 Comparing Two Populations: Dependent samples.

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1 Chapter 15 Comparing Two Populations: Dependent samples

2 Dependent Samples Dependent Samples - measurements are somehow related to one another either because: –The measurements came from the same subject (Within-subjects design), or –Subjects were paired or matched (Matched-pairs design) May also be called a “Repeated- measures” designs

3 Why use dependent samples? Advantages –Fewer subjects required with a within- subjects design (each subject is measured twice) –Increased power through decreased variability Disadvantages –“Carry-over” effects

4 Carry-over Effects Let’s say we are interested in methods to teach reading to pre-schoolers We –introduce the whole-language method, measure, –then use the phonics method, and measure We have a repeated-measures (within- subjects design), but

5 Carry-over Effects How can we remove the effects of teaching reading with the whole- language method? There is a “carry-over” to the next condition (phonics) condition, because the preschoolers may have learned to read Do we expect to forget how to read once they learn to?

6 Carry-over Effects Matched-pairs designs will eliminate the carry-over effect problem Matching, though, must be done well, without respect to the obtained scores, –matching is done before the experiment Along a dimension that is relevant to the study

7 Dependent Samples t-test With pairs of scores, either the result of matching or taking multiple measurements from the same subject Calculate the difference (D) between the two scores (maintaining positive and negative values) Calculate the mean difference, standard error, and then t

8 Dependent Samples t-test

9 M D is the mean of the differences s D is the standard deviation of the differences s M D is the estimated standard error of the sampling distribution of M D Δ 0 is the difference between the population means (parameter)

10 Example of a Dependent Samples t-test Example of a Dependent Samples t-test We want to compare a new teaching method with a traditional method on math 2 groups th grades in each, Group “Old” receives old method, Group “New” gets new method Subjects are matched on their IQ

11 Hypothesis test of Old vs. New (teaching math) 1. State and Check Assumptions –About the population Normally distributed? - don’t know Homogeneity of variance – we’ll check – About the sample Independent Random sample? – yes Dependent samples –About the sample Interval level

12 Hypothesis test of Old vs. New (teaching math) 2.Hypotheses H O : μ Old = μ New (the effectiveness of the old and new method are the same) μ Old - μ New = 0 (the difference between the effectiveness of Old and New is 0) H A : μ 1 ≠ μ 2 (the effectiveness of Old and New are not equal) μ 1 - μ 2 ≠ 0 (there is a difference between the effectiveness the Old and New)

13 Hypothesis test of Old vs. New (teaching math) 3.Choose test statistic –2 groups dependent samples Dependent-sample t-test

14 Hypothesis test of Old vs. New (teaching math) 4.Set Significance Level α =.05 Critical Value Non-directional Hypothesis with df = n p - 1 = = 9 From Table C, critical value of α /2 =.025 t crit = 2.262, so we reject H O if t ≤ or t ≥ 2.262

15 Hypothesis test of Old vs. New (teaching math) 5.Compute Statistic –We need:

16 Scores on the WAT (Wisconsin Achievement test) OldNewD Need: Δ M D s D s M D

17 Scores on the WAT OldNewD ΣD = ΣD 2 = M D = SS(D) = s 2 D = s D = n p = s M D = s D /√n p = 6.833/ √ = 2.161

18 Example (non- directional H A ) t is greater than t crit, reject H O

19 Hypothesis test of Old vs. New (teaching math) 6. Draw Conclusions –because our t falls within the rejection region, we reject the H O, and –conclude that the old and new method differ in their effectiveness in teaching math, with the old method superior

20 Comparing Dependent and Independent Samples t-tests Suppose, instead of pairing subjects based on IQ, we compared the mean of the two groups using a 2- independent samples t-test

21 Scores on the WAT Old 78 ΣX O = ΣX 2 O = M O = SS(X O ) = s 2 O = s O = n O = New 74ΣX N = ΣX 2 N = M N = SS(X N ) = s 2 N = s N = n N =

22 Independent Samples t-test Cannot reject H O

23 Comparison (cont.) By matching subjects, a priori (prior to the experiment) the variance is reduced substantially, thereby Allowing us to find a difference that was obscured

24 Ranking When completing a Wilcoxon, ranking must be done with the smallest difference receiving the lowest rank (1) The biggest difference gets a rank of n p

25 Hypothesis Test with non- parametric alternative to t-test Nicotine patches supposedly reduces smoking A psychologist records the number of cigarettes each of 9 patients smokes per day without a patch and with a nicotine patch.

26 OOPS!

27 Hypothesis Test 1.State and Check assumptions –Random Sample - yes –Dependent Sample (Within-subjects design) measures come from the same person (wearing the patch, and not wearing the patch) –Number of cigarettes smokes normally distributed? - not sure –Homogeneity of Variance - nope

28 Hypothesis Test 2.State Hypotheses H O : μ BEFORE = μ AFTER H A : μ BEFORE > μ AFTER

29 Hypothesis Test 3.Choose Test –2 dependent samples –H of V - no Wilcoxon T m (Wilcoxon signed-ranks test)

30 Hypothesis Test 4.Set Significance level α =.05 with n p > 8, the Wilcoxon T m approaches a z directional alternative at.05, using Table A z = 1.65 if obtained z ≥ 1.65, Reject H O

31 Hypothesis Test 5.Compute Test Statistic

32 Wilcoxon Test Non-parametric alternative to dependent sample t-test –Calculate the differences between paired scores (D) –Calculate the absolute value of each (|D|) –Rank |D| –“Sign” the ranks using the sign from D –Add all positive Ranks (T + )

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35 Hypothesis Test 6.Draw conclusions –Since the obtained z was greater that the critical z of +1.65, H O is rejected, and –Conclude that the distributions are different with the before values greater than the after values

36 Review Procedure for calculating t Independent samples Compute (for each group):

37 Calculating t - Independent Samples To find t, the estimated standard error of the sampling distribution is calculated:

38 Computing t The t statistic ( a family of distributions which varies with df) is computed using:

39 Review Procedure for finding t Dependent Samples –matched-pairs, correlated samples, repeated-measures, etc. (2 samples) –Compute D (the difference between pairs of scores) n p (the number of pairs of scores M D (the mean of the differences)

40 Dependent Samples t (cont.) –Compute s D (the standard deviation of the differences) s M D (the estimated standard error)

41 Estimated Standard Error and t

42 Conceptually, what is the t statistic? In both tests, the numerator is a measure of the observed difference between scores (either unpaired or paired) The denominator, of both tests, is an estimate of the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of M 1 - M 2 (we call it “standard error”)

43 Error Terms When a sample is taken from a population, statistics computed from the sample are estimates of parameters, however, A certain amount of variability is expected (no two sample means are exactly alike) This variability from sample to sample is called “error”

44 Error and t-tests The amount of error obtained from a sample is used to estimate the “standard” error that might be expected in the situation (given n, etc.) This error can produce large (significant) differences between sample statistics, just by chance, because no two sample means are exactly alike

45 t statistic as a ratio Therefore, obtained difference t = ———————————————— difference expected by chance (“error”) We will return to this type of conception again

46 Can’t tell the difference between independent and dependent samples? If measurements are related to one another - dependent samples You will not be told when to use independent or dependent samples t- tests You have to decide

47 Example A psychologist believes that environment is more important than genetics in influencing intelligence. She locates 12 pairs of identical twins that have been reared apart, one twin in each pair in an enriched environment and the other in an impoverished one. Independent or Dependent Samples?

48 Another A new experimental drug, ABZ, is thought to have beneficial effects on AIDS. 20 AIDS patients are randomly selected and assigned to one of two conditions: ABZ for 90 days or Placebo for 90 days. Independent or Dependent Samples?

49 A third example A researcher suspects that increasing the level of lighting during the winter months will increase mood. The researcher selects 36 students, tests their mood, then replaces the light bulbs in the dorm from 75-W to 100-W for 1 month, then tests each student again Independent or Dependent Sample?


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