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Identifying Non-Cooperative Behavior Among Spouses: Child Outcomes in Migrant-Sending Households Session 4E: Growth, Jobs and Earnings May 15, 2008 Joyce.

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Presentation on theme: "Identifying Non-Cooperative Behavior Among Spouses: Child Outcomes in Migrant-Sending Households Session 4E: Growth, Jobs and Earnings May 15, 2008 Joyce."— Presentation transcript:

1 Identifying Non-Cooperative Behavior Among Spouses: Child Outcomes in Migrant-Sending Households Session 4E: Growth, Jobs and Earnings May 15, 2008 Joyce Chen Ohio State University

2 When monitoring is imperfect, allocations can only be coordinated to the extent that they can be verified Household decision-making may not be fully cooperative – individuals may attempt to conceal allocations from each other Migration increases the scope for such behavior in so far as it induces household members to maintain separate residences

3 Motivation Determine how transparency of income affects intra-household allocation –Improve targeting of development programs –Better understand the consequences of migration on sending households Examine another, less commonly studied dimension of migration – migration with the intent to rejoin the sending household

4 Non-Cooperative Decision-Making When transaction costs of cooperation are high, households revert to non-cooperation (Lundberg and Pollak, 1993) This will not affect provision of household public goods unless production is organized along “separate spheres” Migration increases cost of monitoring allocations and forces household production into a separate sphere

5 A Simple Example A household consists of two decision-makers, a husband and a wife Individuals consume two public goods, x and y When the husband migrates, he must rely on his wife for the provision of public goods x is easily observable, but y is difficult to monitor

6 A Simple Example When migration occurs, the husband and wife can still reach a cooperative agreement on x But determination of y is more likely to default to a non-cooperative process Non-cooperative behavior implies –Shift in consumption towards goods preferred by the wife, but only if those goods are difficult to monitor –Magnitude of these changes will be responsive to the efficacy/intensity of monitoring

7 Data and Specification China Health and Nutrition Survey –5 rounds (1989, 1991, 1993, 1997, 2000) –approx households and 15,000 individuals –Observable outcomes – height, weight, schooling –Less observable inputs – individual time allocation, nutritional intake 1990s were a period of rapid growth in intra- national migration in China, fueled by relaxation of migration restrictions and increased openness and marketization

8 Data and Specification Migration defined as living away from home for at least one month in the last year Most outcomes defined over the previous one week – restrict sample to dads away during the entire week preceding the survey To distinguish non-cooperative behavior from income effects, control for full income with wages and productive assets

9 Data and Specification Migration is endogenous - individual fixed effects included to control for unobserved characteristics correlated with migration Community-year fixed effects included to control for time-varying factors correlated with migration Estimate reduced-form demand equations for schooling, health and household labor

10 Data and Specification Include number of months away –Proxy for intensity of monitoring –Outcomes may require time to adjust Allow child’s age and number of sibling, by gender, to vary with father’s migration status Additional controls for parents’ ages, household size and month and year of survey

11 Identifying the Counterfactual Direct effects of migration –Reduction in father’s household labor –Increase in household income –Possible change in bargaining power Appropriate counterfactual is the set of allocations that would have been chosen, conditional on these changes, if spouses could costlessly commit to cooperation

12 Identifying the Counterfactual Reduction in father’s household labor: increases mother’s household labor, ambiguous effect on child household labor Increase in household income: increases mother’s household labor and decreases child household labor Increase in father’s bargaining power: also increases mother’s household labor and decreases child household labor

13 Distinguishing Non-Cooperation Migration in a cooperative model should increase mother’s household labor, unless migration increases mother’s bargaining power Non-cooperative model suggests that the mother will decrease own household labor when the father migrates because time allocation is difficult to monitor

14 Mothers’ labor, both in the household and in income-generating activities, is decreasing in months the father is away Decrease in mother’s household labor is not consistent with a model in which decision-making is cooperative and time allocation adjusts to compensate for the father’s absence

15 Probability that girls do either chore is increasing in months away, and the opposite for boys Statistically significant only for laundry, but average marginal effects are quite large

16 The level of household production is observable, but the inputs to production are not – substitute children’s time for mom’s Results may be consistent with a cooperative model of the household if migration increases mothers’ bargaining power Should lead to changes in other goods favored by mothers, e.g. child health (Duflo, 2003; Thomas 1990)

17 No significant effects on child health - not consistent with an increase in mother’s bargaining power But large changes in calorie intake - changes in time allocation must be balanced with changes in nutrition in order to maintain health

18 Changes in time allocation are larger for –Children who are more productive –Activities that provide higher disutility to mothers Siblings have a reinforcing effect on the extensive margin and an offsetting effect on the intensive margin Mothers’ BMI appears stable –In fact, mothers consume less calories and protein to conceal the reduction in their household labor –Suggests that non-cooperative behavior occurs in equilibrium because an incentive-compatible contract must give moms higher consumption of private goods

19 Conclusion Mothers do engage in non-cooperative behavior, in a surprising way –Not consistent with change in bargaining power –Not consistent with reallocation of time to compensate for father’s absence But, in this case, it is largely innocuous - does not appear to affect children’s human capital accumulation

20 Further Research Need data on both migrants and sending households to provide a complete picture of migration and its economic impact –Importance of transparency, monitoring and enforcement… for both parties –Policies that affect migration decisions and circumstances Improve data collection for temporary migrants, e.g. income vs. remittances, travel and visitation patterns, individual expenditures

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