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2 0 0 3 STATE OF THE FUTURE IN EGYPT SUMMER REPORT OF CAIRO NODE MP / UNU [ SAN FRANCISCO, USA ] July 17-20, 2003.

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Presentation on theme: "2 0 0 3 STATE OF THE FUTURE IN EGYPT SUMMER REPORT OF CAIRO NODE MP / UNU [ SAN FRANCISCO, USA ] July 17-20, 2003."— Presentation transcript:

1 STATE OF THE FUTURE IN EGYPT SUMMER REPORT OF CAIRO NODE MP / UNU [ SAN FRANCISCO, USA ] July 17-20, 2003

2 SOFIE OUTLINE 2003  IMPLEMENTING THE FUTURE The Franco-Egyptian Partnership (Sensing the Future in Communication and Information Systems)  CONTINUED INTERACTIONS The Millennium Project – Cairo Node Partnership The Middle East Peace Scenarios  THE MIDDLE EAST ROAD MAP  WAR ON IRAQ

3 IMPLEMENTING THE FUTURE FRANCO – EGYPTIAN PARTNERSHIP e uroProaspctive – FRSC “FUTURIBLES

4 FRANCO - EGYPTIAN MODEL IN SENSING AND HARMONIZING THE FUTURES نموذج فرنسى مصرى فى استشعار وتوافقية المستقبليات  COMMUNICATION AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES (October 9-10, 2002)  ENERGY (December 16-17, 2003)  GOVERNANCE (2004)  BIOTECHNOLOGY  CULTURAL HERITAGE  ENVIRONMENT  PEACE AND CONFLICTS

5 MILLENNIUM PROJECT- CAIRO NODE Partnership

6 MILLENNIUM PROJECT- CAIRO NODE INTERACTIONS ON  Future Science and Technology.. Management and Policy Implications,  Counterterrorism Scenarios,  Global Goals for 2050,  Environmenal Security and Military Request  SOF – ARABIC VERSION  MIDDLE EAST PEACE SCENARIOS

7 Millennium Project - Cairo Node Partnership on Middle East Peace Scenarios Study Round 1 Questionnaire

8 THE MIDDLE EAST ROAD MAP

9 LATEST DIPLOMATIC PLAN TO ENDING THE ISRAELI - PALESTINIAN CONFLICT

10 PALESTINIAN AUTHORITY, ACCEPTED THE MAP, AS IS

11 ISRAEL PRIME MINISTER SAID : HIS GOVERNMENT CANNOT AGREE TO IT AS WRITTEN BEING MISLEAD, HE WOULD GO TO WASHINGTON FOR “UNDERSTANDINGS” ON ISRAEL’S RESERVATIONS ABOUT THE PLAN

12 ACCORDING TO THE MAP :

13 WITH PROVISIONAL BORDERS, BY THE END OF THIS YEAR, ISRAEL PRIME MINISTER WANTS PALESTINIANS FORMALLY RENOUNCE THE RIGHT OF RETURN FOR THE 4 MILLION PALESTINIANS NOW IN REFUGEE CAMPS (1) RECOGNITION OF A PALESTINIAN STATE

14 ISRAEL PRIME MINISTER WANTS TO DEFER ANY TALK ABOUT UNTIL PLANNED NEGOTIATIONS ON A FINAL SETTLEMENT IN (2) SETTLEMENT FREEZE, SHOULD TAKE PLACE THIS YEAR,

15 INSTEAD TIGHT BLOCKADE WAS IMPOSED IN GAZA BARRING PALESTINIANS, JOURNALISTS, AND DIPLOMATS (3) LIGTING THE “GENERAL” CLOSURE IN THE OCCUPIED TERRITORIES

16 (4) SOUNDED MORE LIBERAL THAN IT TURNED OUT, ISRAEL FREED 180 OF A 5000 PALESTINIAN PRISONERS, BEEN DETAINED FOR PETTY OFFENCES SUCH AS WORKING ILLEGAL, MANY WERE DUE FOR RELEASE.

17 PALESTINIAN PRIME MINISTER, HAS VOWED FOR TO END THE ARMED INTIFADA THROUGH CEASEFIRE, AND VOLUNTARY DISARMAMENT IF POSSIBLE, BUT BY FORCE IF NECESSARY.

18 THAT VISION DISSOLVES ON THE FACE OF ISRAELI PRIME MINISTER’S  NEVER ENDING SETTLEMENT -  BUILDING SECURITY FENCE OF VAST WALLS BARRIER, PATROL ROADS, ELECTRONIC FENCES, EARTH TRENCHES - BETWEEN ISRAEL AND THE WEST BANK,  ABSORBING CHUNKS OF PALESTINIAN LAND,  AND THREATENING TO SWALLOW MUCH MORE

19 MAKES IT A CREDIBLE EXPRESSION OF SERIOUS INTENT, ITS TARGET DATES FOR PARALLEL MOVES, MAKE IT A SENSIBLE ACTION PLAN, WITH A CLEARLY DEFINED END-GAME MIDDLE EAST ROAD MAP THE STANDING OF ITS ARCHITECTS,

20 TO RESOLVE ISRAEL’S CONFLICT, NOT ONLY WITH THE PALESTINIANS, BUT ALSO WITH SYRIA AND LEBANON. MIDDLE EAST ROAD MAP VIEWING THE ROAD MAP AS AN UNPRECEDENTED OPPORTUNITY,

21 MUCH HARDER, OR IMPOSSIBLE TO SEE THAT ISRAEL CARRIES OUT THE INSTRUCTIONS OF THE ROAD MAP MIDDLE EAST ROAD MAP WITHOUT AMERICAN INTERVENTION,

22

23 THE WAR ON IRAQ

24

25 REQUIRE A REASSESSMENT OF THE FUTURE, OF THE INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS REGARDING LEGITIMACY OF THE WAR ON IRAQ, THE MANY QUESTIONS RAISED

26 GENERAL ASSEMBLY WAS CONFUSED AND INTIMIDATED, PEOPLES AROUND THE WORLD, TEGETHER WITH MOST OF THEIR GOVERNMENTS, STOOD VEHEMENTLY OPPOSED TO THE USE OF FORCE.

27 UN SECURITY COUNCIL, USED BY US SECRETARY OF STATE COLIN POWELL AT THE LANDMARK SESSION IT URGED THE SECUNITY COUNCIL TO FOCUS EXCLUSIVELY ON THE WMD ISSUE AS OPPOSED TO REGIME CHANGE

28 THE ILLEGAL WEAPONS, FOLLOWING THE END OF THE WAR ON IRAQ, WITH ITS WANTON DESTRUCTION OF LIVES AND PROPERTY, THE INVADING FORCES, WHICH HAVE NOW BECOME FORCES OF OCCUPATION, HAVE FAILED TO FIND ANY TRACE OF THE ILLEGAL WEAPONS, THAT THE BRITISH AND AMERICAN PUBLIC WERE ASSURED COULD BE ACTIVATED WITHIN 45 MINUTES, AND WHICH WERE USED AS THE PRETEXT FOR WAR, AND THE DISREGARD OF UN RESOLUTIONS,

29 THE ISSUE OF WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION HAS EMERGED FROM THE SHADOWY WORLD OF INTELLIGENCE AGENCIES TO TAKE CENTER STAGE IN THE POLITICAL ARENA, MAINLY ON THE UK, THOUGH ALSO IN THE US

30 THE HOUSE OF COMMONS, IS NOW CALLING FOR AN INDEPENDENT INQUIRY, INTO THE FAKED EVIDENCE, AND THE AMERICAN SENATORS TOO.

31 THE PREEMPTIVE WAR / STRIKE POLICY, WHO IS NEXT ? THE WORLD IS NOT A SAFER PLACE NOW

32 WHAT NEXT ? WHO WILL RULE IRAQ AFTER SADDAM ? A BIG CONTROVERSY OVER WHAT WILL HAPPEN. NEOCONSERVATIVES LIKE DONALD RUMSFELD, PAUL WOLFOWITZ, AND RICHARD PERLE, ENVISION A LONGER US OCCUPATION DIRECTED ENTIRELY BY THE PENTAGON WITH ONLY MINIMAL PARTICIPATION BY OTHER COUNTRIES AND THE UN.

33 IN ESSENCE, THEY WANT TO WIN THE PEACE THE WAY US HAS PUSHED FOR WAR : ALONE

34 IN SHORT, SECURITY COUNCIL RESOLUTION 1483 HAS CONFERRED A GLOSS OF INTERNATIONAL LEGITIMACY ON THE ILLEGAL US - BRITAIN OCCUPATION OF IRAQ. IN ALLOWING IT TO PASS, THE UN HAS COMMITTED A MORAL AND LEGAL FAULT OF GREATEST MAGNITUDE

35 THE US, FOR ITS PART, IS NOW IN A POSITION, TO DO EXACTLY WHAT IT WANTS, WHEREVER IT WANTS, TO WHOEVER IT WANTS. AFTER 1441 FEARS FOR THE FUTURE

36 شــــــــــــــكــرا THANK YOU


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