1. IFIC meeting 01/Feb/2012 Agustín Sánchez Losa

2. BEST LASER vs OFFICIAL OFFSETS

6. Last Fitted Signal > nsig0: 0.115321 > nsig1: 0.959034 > nsig3: 2.869490 > nsig5: 4.768660 > nsig7: 6.777240 > nsig9: 8.693610 Means Declination: 0°; Fixed Search; Systematics ON; Original code and ingredients;

7. Last Q stat Declination: 0°; Fixed Search; Systematics ON; Original code and ingredients; Mine: > th(3s): 4.65 > th(5s): 12.05 Internal note: > th(3s): 3.53 > th(5s): 15.24 Thresholds:

8. PEX structure Simulating experiments: – add_background from DATA histograms: Bgr& bgr.f_per_sindecl_vs_sindecl->GetRandom() (background rate for sin(δ))) TH1* nhits_atm_histogram (nhits in data) – add_signal_psfhistogram3d from MC histograms: TH3& psf_3d_histogram (3d histogram of log(α), sin(δ)and nhits for E-2 neutrinos) Computing likelihood: – lik_sb_with_hits with: Psf& psf.per_sr_vs_a(alpha) (psf for sin(δ)) Bgr& bgr.per_sr_vs_decl(decl) (background rate for sin(δ))) TH1* hist_E2 (nhits in MC) TH1* hist_atm (nhits in data) – Likelihood: r = SUM[log(ls + lb)]- nsig ls = nsig * psf.per_sr_vs_a(dist(ev.decl, ev.ra, decl, ra)) * prob_hit_E2; lb = bgr.per_sr_vs_decl(ev.decl) * prob_hit_atm; prob_hit_E2 = hist_E2->GetBinContent(hist_E2->FindBin(ev.nhits)); prob_hit_atm = hist_atm->GetBinContent(hist_atm->FindBin(ev.nhits));

9. PEX structure Simulating background: – add_background (from DATA histograms) – add_signal_psfhistogram3d (from MC histograms) Likelihood: – TH3& psf_3d_histogram[log(alpha),sin(δ),nhits] – lik_sb_with_hits: r = log(ls+lb)+µ TOT lb = B(TH2[]) · N hits (TH2[δ,nhits])

10. Adding beta Likelihood?: