2. Why Are We Here? Michael S. Repass Major General Commander, Special Operations Command Europe 15 Jan 2013 1 As of 14 Jan 2013

3. Ends…#1 Scene Setter American are “to do”; Europeans are “to be” Americans and “closure” Feb 1998: Predictable Consequences How does this briefing end? 2

4. Ends…#2 Strategy “Begin with an End in mind…” Strategy: – Ends: What is to be accomplished – Ways: Methods to employ the assets – Means: Assets available Actions lead to outcomes Strategy organizes actions to achieve Ends 3

5. IC GR Russia BU CRO MK AL Russia Strategic engagement Influence on Europe & Caucus Region Narco-, Weapons, & Human trafficking Economic & Energy Development Defense Reforms Terrorism / Insurgent Activity Eastern Europe & Balkans Ethnic tensions Narco-, Weapons, & Human trafficking Islamic Fundamentalism Fragile Democracies Tensions Energy Concerns A GG AZ Serbia Africa Near East & Caucasus Frozen Conflicts / Ethnic Tensions Narco-, Weapons, & Human trafficking Islamic Fundamentalism Foreign Terrorist Networks Tensions Energy Concerns Europe’s Unresolved Conflicts Serbia-Kosovo Issue Georgia’s Internal Sovereignty Issue (South Ossetia & Abkhazia) Azerbaijan-Armenia Unresolved Conflict Moldova-Transdniestria Issue SP P UK FR IT GE NO SWE CZ SLO PL HU SK LV EN LH UKR RO TU Western & Central Europe Islamic Fundamentalism Foreign Terrorist Networks Immigration Changing demographics Narco- & Human trafficking External Tensions Energy Concerns ISR LEB MLT SOCEUR Strategy 4

6. SOCEUR Strategy Compared To… 5

7. Ends…#3 War Outcome, 1945 Outcome, 1975 Outcome, 2001 Outcome, 2014 Outcome…TBD 6

8. 1945 7 May 1938 7

9. ORIGINAL KASERNE AREA OFFICERS CLUB 1945 PHOTO Original Kaserne Weicht 1954 Van Steuben (Florida Strasse) 1961 Commissary New Craig 1955 Swabian Sp Events Ctr and BOQs Kefurt 1950-51 Old Craig 1950-51 Kefurt Village on Patch Barracks is named for SSgt. Gus J. Kefurt, 15th Infantry, 3d Infantry Division. He was awarded the Medal of Honor posthumously for valor on 23-24 December 1944 in the Vosges region of eastern France. He is interred in the American military cemetery in Epinal, France, 8

10. Saigon, 1975 9

11. Berlin, 1989 10

12. Bosnia, 1994 - 1995 11

13. Israel-Gaza-Hizballah, 2007-2012 12

14. Georgia, 2008 13

15. Tripoli, 2011 14

16. Iraq, Dec 2011 15

17. Afghanistan, 2014…? 16

18. Ends…#4 Alternatives NATO 1.0: Cold War NATO 1.5: Balkans NATO 2.0: WoT and ISAF NATO 3.0: Post-2014 17