Presentation on theme: "Modeling the Effects of Invasive Species on the International Trade of Forest Products Joseph Buongiorno, Shushuai Zu, Ruhong Li U.W. Madison James Turner."— Presentation transcript:
Modeling the Effects of Invasive Species on the International Trade of Forest Products Joseph Buongiorno, Shushuai Zu, Ruhong Li U.W. Madison James Turner Forest Research, Rotorua, NZ Jeff Prestemon USDA-FS, SO
Background U.S. forests at risk –Chestnut blight, early 1900s –Dutch Elm Disease, mid-1900s –Balsam and Hemlock Woolly Adelgids –Sudden Oak Death –Gypsy Moth –Spruce budworm –Oak wilt U.S. is largest producer, consumer, importer Globalization –GATT-WTO –NAFTA –FTAA Growing trade => growing threat Other countries face same issues
Objectives Losses incurred by producers and consumers due to timber supply reductions caused by invasive species Effects of regulations (phytosanitary rules and import bans) on producer and consumer welfare
Global Forest Products Model Dynamic Competitive equilibrium Demand Supply Trade 14 forest products 180 countries
GFPM Product Flow Raw materialIntermediate productFinal product Fuelwood Industrial roundwood Other roundwood Other fiber pulp Waste paper Fuelwood Other industrial roundwood Sawnwood Plywood Particleboard Fiberboard Newsprint Printing & writing paper Other paper & paperboard Mechanical pulp Chemical pulp
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