Download presentation

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Published byYahir Dukes Modified about 1 year ago

1
The Effect of Markov Chain State Size for Synthetic Wind Speed Generation Fatih O. Hocaoğlu, Ömer N. Gerek and Mehmet Kurban

2
Presentation Plan Wind speed time series Markov chains Syntetic generation of wind speed Effect of Markov state size on wind speed data generation Results

3
Wind speed time series

4
Markov chains

5

6
Syntetic generation of wind speed data

7
Syntetic generation of wind speed data

8

9
Syntetic generation of wind speed data is transition probability in the i th row at the k th state

10

11
Syntetic generation of wind speed data

12
Syntetic wind speed data generation algorithm An initial state is determined randomly and then by using a uniform random number generator, a random value is produced between 0 and 1. The next state is found where this random value is greater than the cumulative probability of the previous state but less than or equal to the cumulative probability of the following state. The actual wind speed value in each state is determined by another uniform random number generator for intermediate states.

13
Syntetic wind speed data generation algorithm

14

15
Results

16
Observed Data Generated Data from Model-1 Generated Data from Model-2 Min Max Mean Median Std

17
Results

18
Thank You Fatih Onur Hocaoglu

Similar presentations

© 2016 SlidePlayer.com Inc.

All rights reserved.

Ads by Google