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Project Procedures Key to success! Define how we interact, share information, make decisions and run the project Highly visible project! – Need for transparency.

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Presentation on theme: "Project Procedures Key to success! Define how we interact, share information, make decisions and run the project Highly visible project! – Need for transparency."— Presentation transcript:

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2 Project Procedures Key to success! Define how we interact, share information, make decisions and run the project Highly visible project! – Need for transparency and single source for info Six different groups – NWSFO, SPC, CAPS, SSWIM, ESRL, NSSL – Must be accountable to each other

3 The Washington Post's Mensa Invitational once again invited readers to take any word from the dictionary, alter it by adding, subtracting, or changing one letter, and supply a new definition.

4 Dopeler Effect: The tendency of stupid ideas to seem smarter when they come at you rapidly.

5 The Washington Post's Mensa Invitational once again invited readers to take any word from the dictionary, alter it by adding, subtracting, or changing one letter, and supply a new definition. Dopeler Effect: The tendency of stupid ideas to seem smarter when they come at you rapidly. Thankfully, we are about to break for lunch!

6 Proposed Procedures Project Leader: David Stensrud – Oversees all parts of project Science Advisory Board: – Stan Benjamin – Mike Foster – Russ Schneider – Ming Xue – Kevin Kelleher – Lou Wicker – NSSL Science Lead – Others?

7 Yearly plans from each group with funding – 2-3 pages long, including goals, deliverables and total cost – Must be accepted by Project Leader, who receives input guidance from the SAB – Progress reports every 6 months sent to Project Leader. These are consolidated and disseminated. – Additional requests filled as needed (occasional monthly news item, input on topic from HQ, etc)

8 Working groups formed as needed Develop a warn-on-forecast web page – Project Plan – Consolidated yearly work plans, 6 month reports, and year end report – Monthly news items – List of publications Yearly warn-on-forecast workshop – Meeting of SAB – Present results, revise science plan, etc – Assess risks, address new challenges and concerns

9 Expectations Highest standards – Report good results and bad results with equal candor – Share code and data sets to advance project goals – Collegial and positive attitude – Encourage collaborations and build team unity – Remain focused upon project goals – Be honest and open to considering alternative viewpoints

10 Measures of Success Accuracy of analysis (rmse, bias, mae, correlation) Forecast accuracy and reliability Speed of calculation Formal publications Forecaster assessment, public assessment Percentage of data corrected Collaborations produced Generation of external funding for project Timeliness of task completion Budget tracking

11 “I would rather be right than consistent.” – Winston S. Churchill Important to agree with the project procedures, as these will define how we operate. We need to get them right, or at least as close to right as possible.


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