Presentation on theme: "Analysis of the Financial Condition of Boston College"— Presentation transcript:
1Analysis of the Financial Condition of Boston College Howard BunsisProfessor of Accounting, Eastern Michigan UniversityChair: AAUP Collective Bargaining CongressMarch 2012
2Executive Summary Boston College is in excellent financial condition This conclusion is supported by:Strong reservesManageable debtRevenues exceeding expensesStrong cash flowsVery high bond ratingThere has been a larger increase in the number and dollars devoted to administration than to faculty and instructional costsIf there are cuts to be made, they should first be made to administration. If that cannot happen, then reserves should be utilized. There is no need to make any cuts to the core academic mission.
3Roadmap Analysis of Financial Performance Basic ratiosBond ratingsRevenues: Where is the money coming from? Tuition, grants, contracts, feds, state, endowment incomeExpenses: Are they devoting sufficient resources to the core academic mission? Focus on the number and salaries of administratorsOther metrics: Class size, tuition increases. Are students paying more and getting less?
4Main Data Sources Audited financial statements. Budgets. This is a loaded word. The key fact is this:Audited financial statements report what happened.Budgets predict what will happen.IRS 990: Publicly available only through 6/30/2010Timing:Audited financial statements are available for the year ended May of 2011.The budget for the current year ( ) is already done; the budget has just been approved for the academic year.The 990 is due 4 ½ months after the fiscal year end; an automatic 3-month extension is typically utilized, giving the administration until 1/15/ Any further extension beyond 1/15/2012 requires special circumstances. By now, the 990 for the year ended 5/30/11 has been filed.The administration claims that the 990 has not been filed yet; that is likely not the case
5Other Data SourcesOffice of Institutional Research. This office houses data on enrollment, number of faculty, administrators, tuition, degrees conferred, and graduation ratesIPEDS (Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System) for detailed revenue and expense analysisAAUP Salary SurveysCommon Data Set for class size and other employee informationEADA (Equity in Athletic Data Analysis) for athletic expensesUSA Today for athletic revenuesMoody’s and S&P bond rating
6Statement of Net Assets Summary The percentage of net assets (assets minus liabilities) is highThis percentage declined in 2009 due to the decline in the value of the endowment
8Asset CompositionInvestments are mostly the endowment, and are the dominant assetBC has over $2 billion in investmentsThe large decline in investments (endowment) from 2008 to 2009 is clear. The endowment has recovered from the prior loss. We will see how endowment income covers some expensesThe growth in capital assets is due to new buildings
10Investment Composition: Source: Notes to Audited Financial Statements Most private universities provide more detail than aboveThere are typically more categories, and the equities category is broken downThere is also a reporting of “alternative investments,” which is not reported by BC
11Investment Composition by Level Level 1 are stocks and mutual funds. Level 2 has a published net asset value. Level 3 investments (most risky; think Madoff) do not have an observable marketThe largest investments were in level 3 assets in 2009; that has now changed.Overall, this demonstrates that the administration is playing high finance, and feels good about its financial situation
12Endowments of Peer Institutions BC Endowment is $1.7 billion
13Liability Composition There are annual increases in debt in 2009 and 2011.In November of 2010 (in 2011 above), BC issued $195 million of debt to retire old debt, build a new academic building, and fund project costsWe will soon examine if this is too much debt:Can they make the principle and interest payments?Is the debt large relative to reserves?
14Net Asset CompositionAs we will see, not all of the unrestricted net assets are available as reserves.The decline in 2009 is due to stock market losses.It is healthy that there are over $2 billion of net assets – we will see how much in real reserves there are
15Unrestricted Net Asset Composition In 2011, of the $1.3 billion in unrestricted net assets, $396 million of the $1.3 billion is for the value of buildings, and is not a true reserveThere was a large decline in unrestricted reserves in 2009 due to paper losses on the endowmentThere is still over $900 million of unrestricted reserves at the end of We will compare these to total expenses next
16Definition of Net Asset Categories Source: Page 5 of 2011 Audited Financial Statements Unrestricted – Net assets that are not subject to donor-imposed stipulations. Unrestricted net assets may be designated for specific purposes by action of the Board of Trustees.Temporarily Restricted - Net assets whose use is limited by law or donor-imposed stipulations that will either expire with the passage of time or be fulfilled or removed by actions of the University.Permanently Restricted - Reflects the historical value of contributions (and in certain circumstances investment returns from those contributions), subject to donor-imposed stipulations, which require the corpus to be invested in perpetuity to produce income for general or specific purposes.
17More on Unrestricted Net Assets The unrestricted category overstates what is available to the administration, and we conservatively make an adjustment for this accounting construct.The amount that is invested in plant assets is not available for the university (the university is not going to sell the buildings), and this amount is subtracted when analyzing the net assets of a private university.Reserves are the numerical sum of temporarily restricted net assets and the portion of unrestricted net assets unrelated to plant (buildings that are free of debt)
18Reserves Total Net Assets Reserves or Expendable Net Assets Permanently RestrictedTemporarily Restricted Net AssetsUnrestricted Net Assets=++Independent of Property and equipmentRelated to property and equipmentReserves or Expendable Net AssetsTemporarily Restricted Expendable=Unrestricted independent of property and equipment+
19Primary Reserve Ratio: Reserves vs. Expenses The primary reserve ratio is defined as total reserves over total expensesA ratio of 210% indicates that BC could cover 25 months of expenses; 2-3 months is considered prudentThe decline in 2009 is due to paper losses on investmentsIf there is a temporary budget problem, reserves should be considered before any cuts to the core academic missionConclusion: BC has very high reserves
20Viability Ratio: Reserves vs. Debt The viability ratio is defined as total reserves over interest-bearing debtA ratio 175% is very strong, indicating that BC has the reserves to deal with the long term debt that it has issued.
21Revenues and Expenses: Big Picture The net income ratio is defined as the change in net assets divided by total revenuesWhat is more important is operating income, as non-operating items (mostly paper gains and losses on investments) have a large effect on the bottom lineOperating income is just slightly positive every year
23Discussion of Non-Operating Gains and Losses The effect of paper losses on the endowment is apparent, as there was a huge decline in 2009 (408 million), and a large gain in 2010 and 2011.For endowment spending, BC spends 5% of a 12-quarter moving average of the endowment.The endowment is about 1.5 billion, so 5% of that is about 75 million. The decline in the endowment affects spending, but not by large amounts as prior year spending adjusted by inflation is also considered.
24Investment Returns vs. S&P 500 The S&P 500 return is more volatile than BC’s returnBC has less negative and less positive returns than a pure equity portfolio
25Moody’s Ratio Analysis Moody’s uses three ratios to judge the financial condition of public universities. Though BC is private, the rating system is still very relevant.Then a composite score is compiled based on these 3 ratios:Primary Reserve RatioAre there sufficient reserves?Viability RatioIs there too much debt?Net Income RatioAre revenues and expenses in line with each other?
26Moody’s Ratio Definitions Primary reserve ratio: Expendable net assets divided by total operating expenses.Viability ratio: Expendable net assets divided by debt.Net Income Ratio: Change in total net assets divided by total revenues.Final Score =50% * Primary Reserve Ratio +30% * Viability Ratio +20% * Net Income Ratio
28Boston College Moody’s Scores To be in financial trouble, according to Moody’s, an institution must have a composite score of below 1.75 for two consecutive years5.0 is a perfect score4.7 is a very high rating, and is why BC has such a high bond rating, as we will see
29Other Ratios: Cash Flows Cash Flow Margin = Cash flows from operations divided by total revenuesA ratio of 13.2% is solid, and supports the conclusion that BC is in strong financial condition.Moody’s actually has this ratio at 18.3% for 2010, not 16.4% above
30Other Ratios: Debt Service A debt service coverage ratio of 2.7 also corresponds to a bond rating of Aa, which is what BC has.These metrics are per Moody’s Report: U.S. Not-for-Profit Private and Public Higher Education; August 26, 2011
31Boston College Bond Ratings Aa3 per Moody’s on February 24, 2010Aa3 is the 4th highest possible rating out of 23 ratingsOutlook The stable outlook incorporates the College's history of operating stability and healthy market presence. Although the College's balance sheet strength is somewhat weak for its rating category, we believe operating consistency and the strong planning and management focus offset this relative weakness and expect the College to manage future debt and capital in line with growth in balance sheet resources and cash flow.
32Strengths Per Moody’s Report Excellent student market position as a Catholic Jesuit institution with growing enrollment of over 13,600 full-time equivalent students and healthy selectivity rate of 31% in fall The University's well regarded academic reputation and location in Boston bolster student demand, although the relatively modest yield rate on admitted students of 25% in fall 2010 demonstrates the highly competitive environment in which the College operates.Highly consistent and favorable operating results. The College's operating margin has improved in recent years, resulting in a three-year average operating margin of 6.3% in FY 2010 based on Moody's methodology. A strong operating cash flow margin of 18.3% in FY 2010 produced debt service coverage of 3.2 times and would cover projected maximum annual debt service following the current issuances by 2.4 times.Growth in financial resources in FY 2010, following declines stemming from an investment loss in FY 2009 and increase in outstanding debt. Total financial resources of $1.8 billion in FY 2010 resulted from fundraising success during the current capital campaign and an investment return of 13. 5% for the year. The College's fully fixed rate debt structure provides stability and predictability in budgeting, and liquidity is robust with 563 days cash on hand provided by unrestricted assets that can be accessed within one month.
33Challenges per Moody’s Report Higher leverage than similarly-rated peer institutions, with expendable financial resources cushioning pro-forma debt by 1.5 times in FY 2010 compared to the FY 2009 median for Aa-rated private colleges and universities of 2.3 times. In addition, expendable financial resources to operations are lower versus peers at 1.8 times in FY 2010 versus the Aa-rated median of 2.2 times in FY 2009.Relatively high reliance on tuition and auxiliary revenues (73% of operating revenues in FY 2010 as calculated by Moody's). Slower growth in net tuition revenue per student may persist as the College implemented muted increases in tuition and fees for FY 2010 and FY 2011 while tuition discounting has increased slightly.The College has identified a substantial number of strategic capital projects during a previously completed strategic and facilities master plan. Based on the College's current forecasts, we expect the College to prudently phase these efforts in light of the economic environment and ongoing discussions with the community regarding specific projects.
34Summary of BC Ratios and Bond Ratings Based on ratio analysis and bond ratings, it is clear that BC is in strong financial conditionStrong reservesManageable debtOperating revenues exceed operating expenses every yearStrong cash flowsThe next question is this: Are they spending their money in the appropriate manner?First, we will examine where the money comes from – revenues.
35Revenue Dollar Analysis Source: Audited Financial Statements and Office of Institutional Research, Planning, and Assessment (IRPA)Total operating revenues increase each yearThis is driven by tuition and fee increasesWe will examine percentage changes, as well as tuition discounting
37Dollar and Revenue Percentage Change Analysis The changes in total revenues are driven by tuition changesThe overall growth is healthy
38Tuition Discounting Source: Audited Financial Statements The discount rate is increasing over time, and is highest in 2011.There are other forms of aid, such as Pell Grants. This aid is given by the institution
39Federal and State Dollars to Undergrad Students Source: IPEDS 2010 Data BC is a private universityBut there are lots of taxpayer dollars that make their way to BC
40Financial Aid Breakdown: 2009-10 per IPEDS 1st column is family income level2nd column: Of students who receive Federal aid, what percent are in each income category. Therefore, 43% of BC students who receive federal aid have family income greater than $110,001
41Expense Dollar Analysis Source: Audited Financial Statements
42Expense Percentage Analysis Source: Audited Financial Statements Instruction is less than 40% of total expenses. We will break down instruction via IPEDS to show how much of instruction is not related to salaryGeneral administration is down from 2009, but higher than in 2003Academic support also has significant administrative costs (deans)
43Expense Percentage Changes Instruction is not going up as much as general administration over the two sup-periods, as well as over the 8-year periodThis is a test of whether the administration is being true to the core academic missionIt demonstrates that if cuts are to be made, administration should come before academicsWe will see if IPEDS data supports these conclusions
44IPEDS CategoriesThe next several slides reports the definitions of the different expense categories.Instruction contains more than faculty salaries, as we will seeThe main administrative category is institutional supportAcademic support contains most of the academic administration, as well as other student-oriented costs.
45Definition of Instruction Expense Per IPEDS http://nces. ed A functional expense category that includes expenses of the colleges, schools, departments, and other instructional divisions of the institution and expenses for departmental research and public service that are not separately budgeted. Includes general academic instruction, occupational and vocational instruction, community education, preparatory and adult basic education, and regular, special, and extension sessions. Also includes expenses for both credit and non-credit activities.Excludes expenses for academic administration where the primary function is administration (e.g., academic deans).Information technology expenses related to instructional activities if the institution separately budgets and expenses information technology resources are included (otherwise these expenses are included in academic support).Institutions include actual or allocated costs for operation and maintenance of plant, interest, and depreciation.
46Definition of Research Expense Per IPEDS A functional expense category that includes expenses for activities specifically organized to produce research outcomes and commissioned by an agency either external to the institution or separately budgeted by an organizational unit within the institution.The category includes institutes and research centers, and individual and project research. This function does not include non-research sponsored programs (e.g., training programs).
47Definition of Public Service Expense Per IPEDS A functional expense category that includes expenses for activities established primarily to provide non-instructional services beneficial to individuals and groups external to the institution.Examples are conferences, institutes, general advisory service, reference bureaus, and similar services provided to particular sectors of the community.This function includes expenses for community services, cooperative extension services, and public broadcasting services.Also includes information technology expenses related to the public service activities if the institution separately budgets and expenses information technology resources (otherwise these expenses are included in academic support).
48Definition of Academic Support Expense Per IPEDS A functional expense category that includes expenses of activities and services that support the institution's primary missions of instruction, research, and public service.It includes the retention, preservation, and display of educational materials (for example, libraries, museums, and galleries); organized activities that provide support services to the academic functions of the institution (such as a demonstration school associated with a college of education or veterinary and dental clinics if their primary purpose is to support the instructional program); media such as audiovisual services; academic administration (including academic deans but not department chairpersons); and formally organized and separately budgeted academic personnel development and course and curriculum development expenses.Also included are information technology expenses related to academic support activities; if an institution does not separately budget and expense information technology resources, the costs associated with the three primary programs will be applied to this function and the remainder to institutional support.Institutions include actual or allocated costs for operation and maintenance of plant, interest, and depreciation.
49Definition of Student Services Expense Per IPEDS A functional expense category that includes expenses for admissions, registrar activities, and activities whose primary purpose is to contribute to students emotional and physical well - being and to their intellectual, cultural, and social development outside the context of the formal instructional program.Examples include student activities, cultural events, student newspapers, intramural athletics, student organizations, supplemental instruction outside the normal administration, and student records.Intercollegiate athletics and student health services may also be included except when operated as self - supporting auxiliary enterprises.Institutions include actual or allocated costs for operation and maintenance of plant, interest, and depreciation.
50Definition of Institutional Support Expense Per IPEDS A functional expense category that includes expenses for the day-to-day operational support of the institution.Includes expenses for general administrative services, central executive-level activities concerned with management and long range planning, legal and fiscal operations, space management, employee personnel and records, logistical services such as purchasing and printing, and public relations and development.Also includes information technology expenses related to institutional support activities. If an institution does not separately budget and expense information technology resources, the IT costs associated with student services and operation and maintenance of plant will also be applied to this function.
51Expenses Per IPEDS: 2002-03 vs. 2009-10 There are significant differences in categories per IPEDS and the audited statementsis the most recent year IPEDS data is available; is the most distant year that can be compared to based on categorizationInstitutional support is called General Administration in the financial statements; we will compare the details of that account vs. instruction
52$$ and Percentage Changes in IPEDS Categories: 2003 vs. 2010
53Percentage Changes in IPEDS Expenses: 2003 to 2010
56Percent Changes in Salary Component of IPEDS Expenses: 2002-03 to 2009-10
57Conclusions from IPEDS Data On a percentage basis, the broad categories have shown a smaller increase in instruction than the administrative categories; instruction has gone up the least of all the categories. Tops is academic support, which has significant administrative components (deans)Within instruction (everyone who teaches), the salary component is slightly more than ½ of this cost; there is a large “other” component to instruction and institutional support. There is a lot of movement within “other.” which should be explained.Institutional support salaries and benefits have gone up more on a % basis than instructional salaries and benefitsThe salary component of instruction has increased the least when compared to the other expense categories.Conclusion: The BC administration has not been true to the core academic mission.
58Faculty Salaries Source: AAUP Salary Surveys Boston College faculty salaries are generally below those of peer institutions, and BC faculty have lost significant ground versus their peers since 2006
59Faculty Salaries in Context Total instructional salaries and benefits are only 27% of total expensesThis is very typical of all types of universities
60Top 2010 Administrative Compensation Source: IRS 990 The football coach currently earns approximately $1.2 millionThis is the 2nd year for a new men’s basketball coach
61Top Administrator Compensation: 2009 vs. 2010 Source: IRS 990 This table excludes two administrators from the prior table, as there was no data for 2009 in the 990There was a large “other” payment to the Athletic Director in 2009Payments to former administrators was $2 million in 2008
62Top Administrators Salaries from 2009 vs Top Administrators Salaries from 2009 vs Source: Salary only from IRS 990This table looks only at the salary component of compensationPrior to 2009, the salary information in the 990 was very different
63Top Contractors/Consultants Per IRS 990 After 2008, the top 5 consultants were not required to be reportedOnly the top 5 independent contractors are reported in 2009 and 2010
64Other Information in the 990 Four individuals on the top compensation list receive an annual membership to a local country club, and the amount is included in their taxable incomeIn prior years, payments totaling $300,000 were made to a 457(f) plan on behalf of the VP of Human Resources. He was eligible to receive this benefit on May 31, 2010In prior years, payments totaling $735,430 were made to a 457(f) plan on behalf of the now former men’s basketball coach. The coach received this amount when his employment terminated in April of 2010.
65IRS 2010 990: Loans to and From Interested Persons
662010 IRS 990: Business Transactions Involving Interested Persons
77Class SizeClass size data is reported in the Common Data Set (CDS), which is reported to the US Department of EducationUnfortunately, the only CDS on the IRPA (Institutional Research, Planning, and Assessment) site is the CDS, and the data on class size on page 26 has no data.Prior year Common Data Sets are not publicly available.These should be made publicly available on the IRPA website
78Athletics Overview Sources: Equity in Athletics Data Analysis (EADA of US Dept. of Education)
83Changes In Athletics vs. Other Expenses What we cannot tell is how much of athletics is subsidized by the students in the form of a student fee or a direct General Fund subsidyUSA Today reports these items for public universities