Presentation on theme: "Xiaoyi Jin1,2 Shuzhuo Li (Principal Investigator)1"— Presentation transcript:
1Xiaoyi Jin1,2 Shuzhuo Li (Principal Investigator)1 Elder-care, Gender, and Son Preference: The role of cultural transmission and diffusion during the process of rural-urban migration in ChinaXiaoyi Jin1,2 Shuzhuo Li (Principal Investigator)1Marcus W. Feldman 2 andHaifeng Du1,21Institute for Population and Development Studies Xi’an Jiaotong University2Morrison Institute for Population and Resource Studies Stanford University
2CONTENTS 1. Background 2. Study Design 3. Survey & Data 4. Results 4.1 Brief characteristics of respondents4.2 General features of out-migrating children and parents4.3 Impact of social network on attitude evolution4.4 Impact of out-migration on financial support4.5 Summary5. Analysis in progress
31. BACKGROUND Rural-urban migration Household registration system (hukou) before 1978, confined most Chinese citizens to their place of birth;Economic reforms since 1978 caused a significant rural labor surplus (the real unemployment rate is 34.8% for rural areas);Urban-biased and pro-coastal development policy enabled cities to achieve rapid economic growth and attracted labor migration from rural to urban areas since the mid-1980s;140 million rural migrants residing in cities without required permanent legal status, 30% of rural labor force;Circular migrants, moving back and forth frequently between rural and urban areas.Increasingly important in Chinese demographic change and social development.
4FeaturesUrban population grows much faster than total population, especially in ;Rural-urban migration turns out to be the dominant source of Chinese urban growth in ;Most migration takes place across provinces, from inland rural areas to coastal urban areas;Distances matter in the migration;Provinces having the highest proportion of emigration:Sichuan (19%), Henan (14%), Anhui (11%),Hunan (8%), and Jianxi (6%);Provinces having the highest proportion of immigration:Guangdong (31%), Zhejiang (10%), and Fujian (6%).
51. BACKGROUND Evolution of attitudes and behaviors Rural areas: Strict patrilineal family system, low economic development level & strong son preference;Urban areas:Son preference has been weakened by the process of modernization and improvement of the social security system;Rural-urban migrants:Dramatic change of lifestyle and formation of new social networks have influenced their attitudes and behaviors.
7Rural-urban migrants at a city railway station Strange environment: Eager eyes
8Walking on the downtown street Rural-urban migrants and a permanent urban resident
91. BACKGROUND Phenomena: The original, strongly male-biased culture and behaviors are influenced by the modern culture in cities (evidence from two survey: “A Survey of Female Migrants in Pudong, Shanghai”, 2002; “A Survey of Rural-urban Migrants in Shenzhen”, 2005)Later marriage1,2;Later childbearing1;Weakened son preference1,3 but still with high SRB (Sex Ratio at Birth) in short term1,4;Aging & old-age supportIncreased problems for elderly non-migrants5Source:1. Research report, “A survey of rural-urban migrants in Shenzhen, China”, Dec. 20052. Jin, Xiaoyi, et. al Impacts of social network and integration on first marriage of female rural-urban immigrants: Evidence from survey in Pudong, Shanghai, Population and Economics (4):3. Li Shuzhuo, Wu Haixia, and Marcus W. Feldman “Social network and son preference of rural-urban migrants in China: The case of Shenzhen”. Seminar on Female Deficit in Asia: Trends and Perspectives, December 5-7. Singapore4 . Wu Haixia, Li Shuzhuo, and Yang Xusong “Rural-urban migration and sex ratio at birth in urban China.” Population and Economics (6):5. Zeng, Yi and James Vaupel The impact of urbanization and delayed childbearing on population growth and aging in China. Population and Development Review 15 (3):
101. BACKGROUND Questions: Old-age support & son preference How does the restructured social network influence migrants’ attitudes and behaviors towards aging life and son preference?How does gender of the migrants influence intergenerational transfer?Will the out-migration of females influence the traditional patrilineal pattern of old-age support?Do the migrants give more financial help to their parents remaining in rural areas?How much emotional support do elderly non-migrants receive from their out-migrating children?Is the intergenerational transfer reciprocal?
112. STUDY DESIGN 2.1 Objectives Migrants’ social networks in urban areas and integration into urban societies;Evolution of attitudes and behaviors and their socio-demographic implications;Complex network models;Policy suggestions to improve social integration and sustainable development.
122.2 MethodsMethodology:Combining methods of sociology, demography, statistics, and complexity science, etc.Quantitative methodsSocial surveyStatistical analysisSocial network analysisSimulationPublic policy analysis
143.1 Selection of Survey Sites 3. SURVEY & DATAShenzhen, Guangdong provinceLocation: South of Guangdong;History: Set up in 1979, established as “special economic region” in 1980;Features: Representative of coastal and well-developed cities in China;Six districts: Luohu, Futian, Nanshan, Yantian, Bao’an and Longgang;Economy: High-tech, advanced manufacturing and service industries; the 4th highest GDP among Chinese cities in 2003.Population (2000 census)Total number: 7,008,800Average age: 30.8Ratio of migrants to permanent urban residents: 4.3:1Features: High density, Rapid increase, Low education level of labor force
173.2 Survey Components and Sampling Survey Community investigation, in-depth interviews and focus group discussionRandom street interviewsRespondents: Permanent urban residents and rural-urban migrants4 survey sites: Commercial streetsImplementation: April 18, 2005, 1 dayNumber of qualifying questionnaires: 1,011Sampling survey (details are shown as follows)Respondents: Rural-urban migrants
183.2.2 Sampling SurveyClassification of the respondents in sampling surveyScattered residence: rural-urban migrants living in communities with high or medium proportion of permanent urban residents;Concentrated residence: rural-urban migrants living together within a relatively concentrated community, with few permanent urban residents.
19Sampling SurveyDuration of the sampling survey: April 20-27, 2005Composition of the sampling survey:Sampling surveySurvey sitesSample typesSizeRemarksNanshanScattered residence in a village209Survey sites of concentrated residence: 3Survey sites of scattered residence: 5Total samples:1739Concentrated residence in 2 construction companies13647Scattered residence224Luohu252250Yantian253LonggangConcentrated residence in 1 company200Bao’anConcentrated residence in 2 companies7692
20Survey sites(1): Concentrated residence Entrance of Airmate Co.Dormitory of Airmate company, most of the workers living togetherRespondents of Airmate are from one of the buildings, they live in the same floor and undertake the same kind of work.
243.2.2 Sampling Survey Sampling: methods and principles Scattered residence: Systematic sampling4 townships of 3 districts: Luohu, Yantian, and NanshanConcentrated residence: Cluster sampling2 construction companies and 3 manufacturing companies in 3 districts: Nanshan, Longgang and Bao’an
253.2.2 Sampling Survey Network data collection Ego Network-Data collected from “Scattered & Concentrated Residence”Respondents from Scattered Residence live dispersed among various communities, most of them have no contact with each other;Data for statistical analysis.Whole Network-Data collected from “Concentrated Residence”Respondents from Concentrated Residence live in the same community or dormitory (factories or construction sites) ;they are likely to know each other_ socio-matrix can be structured;Data for social network analysis, and complexity studies.
294. RESULTS 4.1 Brief characteristics of respondents Demographics of the samples from sampling surveyTotal No. of Samples: 1739Percent (%)GenderNationalityMale (888 samples)51.1Han96.5Female (851 samples)48.9Minority3.5AgeMarriage15-2427.0Never-married32.025-3440.0Ever-married68.035+32.9Average monthly income (yuan)Situation before entering Shenzhen4.0Temporary laborers in other cities19. 61-79920.2Farmers50.8800～99915.0Rural students25.91000～149932.5No. of jobs ever hadsince entering Shenzhen1500～199911.82000～29997.44.13000+9.2155.4Average years in Shenzhen6.78(years)220.6Way of entering Shenzhen310.6With fellow-villagers, family members or others62.94+9.3Alone37.1
314. RESULTS 4.2 General features of out-migrating children and parents Basic information of parentsIntergenerational support(financial, grandchild-care, emotional support)Discussion network about aging life(network size, basic information of network members)Attitudes toward future aging lifeComparison between migrants and city residents
394. RESULTS 4.3 Impact of social network on attitude evolution Analysis FrameworkOverall effect of network members =Ii: degree of intimacy of network member i,Ai: attitude of network member i;Weak ties:Network members are Managers, Owners of private enterprise, Professional and technical personnel, and Officers.
424. RESULTS 4.4 Impact of out-migration on financial support Analysis Framework
434. RESULTS 4.4 Impact of out-migration on financial support Regression modelsDependent variablesWhether increase the amount of financial support to parents after migration(Logistic Regression Model)2. Amount of financial support to parents after migration(OLS Regression Model)Independent variableGender of out-migrating childrenControl variablesMigration experiences:Years since first out-migration, times back home per yearIndividual characteristics:Age, education, number of offspring, spouse living in home town, income, spouse’s income, current financial help to other set of parentsParents’ characteristics:Survival status, age, physical status, coresiding with individual’s children, coresiding with other married children, main source of income, current financial help to child
474. RESULTS 4.5 Summary Basic characteristics of parents: Parents of married children, especially parents of husbands, are older, more likely to live with grandchildren and rely on their children financially;Gender difference: Consequence of Patrilineal family systemStronger financial transfer between unmarried sons and parents;Husbands’ parents receive more financial help and provide more childcare;Unmarried daughters give more emotional support to parents;Married daughters give balanced emotional support to two sets of parents.Impact of children’s out-migration on old parents:Increasing financial helpDecreasing emotional support and excess burden of child-care;
484. RESULTS 4.5 Summary Discussion network about aging life Smaller than marriage and childbearing discussion networks;Strong ties (blood and geographical relations) are dominant but not in marriage and contraceptive use discussion networks.Attitudes toward future aging lifeMore options for aging life after migration;Females are influenced more significantly by urban culture.Comparison of migrants and permanent urban residentsRural migrants are more likely to rely on saving and children.
494. RESULTS4.5 SummaryImpact of discussion network on attitude evolutionAttitudes of discussion network members significantly influence migrants’ attitudes towards old-age life and son preference;Migration increases the likelihood of having a plan for living apart from children;Weak ties in the discussion network and longer duration of living in cities weaken individual’s son preference;→Rural-urban migration helps to accelerate the process of attitude evolution.
504. RESULTS4.5 SummaryImpact of out-migration of married children on financial support to parentsBoth males and females provide more financial help to natal parents after migration→ Out-migration of females could change the traditional pattern of old-age support and weaken son preference in rural China;Gender difference:Females are likely to give parents-in-law more financial support→ Patrilineal family system is still dominant;Grandparents receive more remittance when they take care of grandchildren→ Intergenerational transfer between parents and their migrant children is reciprocal.
515. Analysis in progressImpacts of network on individuals’ plans for old-age support:Preference of living arrangements: Gender differencePreference of old-age support patternImpacts of out-migration on pattern of old-age support:Family structure of the elderlyPattern of intergenerational transfer: Before and after migrationImpacts of out-migration on migrant’s parents:Emotional well-being and health statusExcess burden of childcareImplications of female out-migration:New pattern of old-age support?Mitigating son preference? Relaxing patrilineal family system?Policy suggestions