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UNCLASSIFIED PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate TASK ASSESSMENT CNAVFOR Conduct Mar interdiction; enforce MEZ Conduct / support.

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Presentation on theme: "UNCLASSIFIED PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate TASK ASSESSMENT CNAVFOR Conduct Mar interdiction; enforce MEZ Conduct / support."— Presentation transcript:

1 UNCLASSIFIED PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate TASK ASSESSMENT CNAVFOR Conduct Mar interdiction; enforce MEZ Conduct / support HA ops CJSOTF Enable Coalition Support Team for SR/DA CFACC Conduct ISR / Aerial monitoring of International border Conduct Intra-theater airlift Enforce AEZ CARFOR / CMARFOR / Defeat ARC forces in zone / Compel ARC forces withdrawal in zone / Re-establish International Border / Support HN restoration of essential services / Support IDP management on order SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY D-+9 Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed CONDITION ASSESSMENT Decision Point 4: Transit to PH 4 1. ARC forces in KUH & FM have been defeated 2. ARC forces withdrawn from KUH & FM 3. Int’l border restored 4. Readiness of component forces for stabilization 5. Cross-border hostility has ceased PH 5 Transition Status of Assessment: Offensive actions are progressing on plan Issues remain: Increase in IDP Recommendation: Continue planning for transition to PH 4 3 Phase 3 to 4 Transition Assessment

2 UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12

3 UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to compel the Arcadian Forces to cease all military actions and withdraw from Kuhistan and Free Mojave; when conditions allow transition security operations to Royal Kuhistan Armed Forces, and Free Mojave National Army, and/or a UN authorized force in order to restore stability and security in Pacifica. THREAT - Arcadian forces are withdrawn from Kuhistan and Free Mojave FRIENDLY - MNF has transitioned security operations To Royal Kuhistan Armed Forces and Free Mojave National Army and/ Or a UN authorized force; ENVIRONMENT - restore stability & security in Pacifica Region. 2. Arcadia cease all military actions and withdraw in Free Mojava 7. UN Mission readiness for transition 1. Arcadia cease all military actions and withdraw in Kuhistan Peace Enforcement /Security Governance Humanitarian Assistance MNF’s Legitimacy/Communication Integration 9. Maintain International Support. 8. Civil Populace supports MNF PEO and Transition to HN and/or UN control 5. RKAF readiness for transition 6. FMNA readiness for transition 10. Maintain Regional Support. 4. Indirect fire from Arcadia 3. Sonora does not support Arcadia military operations Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

4 UNCLASSIFIED END STATE 1: Arcadian forces are withdrawn from Kuhistan and Free Mojave to positions in Arcadia. Arcadian armed forces remain deployed to oppose MNF operations. ARC will continue to use diplomacy to deter MNF involvement in the Pacifica. ARC Military focus is to improve defenses and logistics posture. END STATE 2: The MNF has transitioned security operations to Royal Kuhistan Armed forces and Free Mojave National Army and/or a United Nations-authorized force. The RKAF, FMNA and UN force are unable to receive and sustain security operations at this Phase of the PEO operations. END STATE 3: The CTF has restored stability and security in the Pacifica Region. Arcadia’s aggression is the cause of the instability in the region. MNF operations are on plan to restore stability and security in the Pacifica Region. Campaign End State Status 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

5 UNCLASSIFIED Findings & Recommendations FINDINGS:RISKS: OPPORTUNITIES:RECOMMENDATIONS: FINDINGS: UN Authorized Force readiness NGOs & IHC supporting HA efforts OPPORTUNITIES: None to report RISKS: CMARFOR may be incapable of preventing civilian interference due to insufficient CA forces RECOMMENDATION: Integrate KUH military forces for CMO in CMARFOR AO Conduct PH IV activities where conditions permit

6 UNCLASSIFIED TRANSITION ASSESSMENT DRILL DOWN

7 UNCLASSIFIED PLANS (D+26 onwards) FOPS (D+12 to D+25) KEY FOCUS AREAS CURRENT OPS (C3) (D+8  D+11) Focus: Phase 2 - Posturing of forces PHASE 2 SEIZE THE INITIATIVE D TO D + 10 DAY PHASE 3 DOMINATE D + 10 TO D + 40 DAY PHASE 4 STABILIZE D + 40 TO D DAY FOPS (C35) (D+12  D+25) Focus: Phase 2 to 3 - Decision Pt 3 - Campaign Assessment - Task Assessment - Contingency Planning - ARC counter-attack PLANS (C5) (D+26 onwards) Focus: Phase 3 onwards - Decision Pt 4 - Campaign Assessment - Task Assessment - Contingency Planning - ARC counter-attack - Stability and Transition Plans - Decision Pt 5 - Campaign Assessment for Transition/ Redeployment DP 2. Launch Phase 2 (kinetic ops) Conditions. a. IO successful; gaining legitimacy for MNF Ops b. MNF postured, ready for Phase 2; APOD/SPOD secured c. Comprehensive and responsive ISR capability d. Battlefield shaped for MNF Ops DP 2A. Continue kinetic ops / shape conditions for Phase 3 Conditions. a. Campaign and task assessments b. Contingency plans for ARC cattk CONDUCT IO BY PHASES ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE CUT ARC LOC FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO OFFENSIVE OPS COORD & CONDUCT CMO RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY DP 4. Launch Phase 4 (Stabilization ops after hostility) Conditions. a. ARC forces in KUH & FM have been defeated b. ARC forces withdrawn from KUH & FM 3. Int’l border restored 4. Readiness of component forces for stablization 5. Cross-border hostility has ceased DP 5. Transit to Phase 5 (Redeployment) Conditions. a. ARC no longer in KUH/FM b. Security in AO maintained c. UNSUPFORPAC postured for stability ops d. Strong support from govt and populace f. KUH and FM govermt remain effective DP 3. Launch Phase 3 (expel ARC from KUH/FM) Conditions. a. ARC TBM, SAM, C2 and airfields rendered ineffective b. AEZ/MEZ enforced; air/naval superiority c. ARC LOCs cut d. KELOWNA Port captured DP 3A. Continue offensive ops / shape conditions for Phase 4 Conditions. a. Campaign and task assessments b. Plans for Stabilization and Transition PEACE ENFORCEMENT/SECURITY LEGITIMACY GOVERNANCE HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE OPS SYN MATRIX PHASE 5 TRANSIT D DAY onwards UNSUPFORPAC IN AO SECURITY/ STABILITY OPS SUPPORT TO HOST NATION RECOVERY OPS STRATCOMMS SECURITY/ STABILITY OPS D+8

8 UNCLASSIFIED Phase 2 to 3 Transition Assessment PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate CNAVFOR Kelowna Port Seizure (MEU) MEZ maintained CJSOTF Ready to Support Strategic Strike CFACC Strategic Strike on TBMs, SAM and C2 sites. AEZ maintained Air Superiority in Decisive Area CARFOR Conduct POL with JSDF Establish Attack Position CMARFOR Establish Attack Position ARC combat pwr degraded SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY D-+6 Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed Decision Point 3: -Transit to Phase 3 Conditions: a.MNF ready to escalate offensive ops b.ARC combat power projection and sustainment capabilities degraded c.JSDF redeploy out of AO 3 PH 5 Transition Status of Assessment: -Assessment on plan to transit to PH 3 on D+7 Issues remain: TBM sites Recommendation: Plan for transition to PH 3 on D+7

9 UNCLASSIFIED END STATES Proposed MNF Mission Statement – Phase IV ON ORDER, MNF IS TO CONDUCT SECURITY AND STABILITY OPERATIONS THROUGHOUT KUH AND FM, RENDER SUPPORT TO HN RECOVERY EFFORTS AND SET THE CONDITIONS FOR A FOLLOW ON UN AUTHORIZED FORCE IN ORDER TO ENABLE A STABLE NORTHERN PACIFICA. - ARC forces are withdrawn to positions in Arcadia as determined by UNSCR MNF has established stability in Kuhistan and Free Mojave. – The conditions are set for transition to a United Nations authorized force. On Plan Partially On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed Security Humanitarian Assistance Governance MNF Legitimacy Condition 1: Security in AO established / maintained Condition 4: Govt/NGO postured for HA Ops Condition 3: KUH and FM governments remain effective Condition 2: Peace agreement has been established / signed Condition 5: Strong support from government and populace Condition 6: International and regional support

10 UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF Mission Statement On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to compel the Arcadian Forces to cease all military actions and withdraw from Kuhistan and Free Mojave; when conditions allow transition security operations to Royal Kuhistan Armed Forces, and Free Mojave National Army, and/or a UN authorized force in order to restore stability and security in Pacifica. On Plan Partially On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed THREAT - Arcadian forces are withdrawn from Kuhistan and Free Mojave FRIENDLY - MNF has transitioned security operations To Royal Kuhistan Armed Forces and Free Mojave National Army and/ Or a UN authorized force; ENVIRONMENT - restore stability & security in Pacifica Region. Mission Success For Phase III ARC forces Have been defeated ARC forces Have withdrawn from KUH & FM Garrison of all Strategic strike Assets w/in ARC Readiness of Component forces For stabilization Cease-fire Agreement signed MNF FLOT Restored at International border

11 UNCLASSIFIED MNF Comd’s Guidance

12 UNCLASSIFIED 1) Campaign Assessment - Decision Point 4 Assessment (Transition to Stabilization) 2) Ops Contingency Planning -Update on Arcadia Counter Attack -Update on Stabilization Ops 3) CCB Forecast 4) MNF Comd's Guidance CCB Agenda (15 Feb D+9)

13 UNCLASSIFIED Condition 1 Condition 1: ARC forces in KUH & FM have been defeated OVERALL ASSESSMENT: RECOMMENDATIONS: MOE 1-1 (CARFOR) MR1 10 th Armr Bde: C2 Critical Assets Orbat MR1 22 nd Mech Bde: C2 Critical Assets Orbat MR2 20 th Mech Bde: C2 Critical Assets Orbat MR2 20 th Inf Bde: C2 Critical Assets Orbat MOE 1-2 (CMARFOR) MR3 30 th Mech Bde: C2 Critical Assets Orbat MR3 31 st Inf Bde: C2 Critical Assets Orbat 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

14 UNCLASSIFIED Condition 2 Condition 2: ARC forces withdrawn from KUH & FM OVERALL ASSESSMENT: RECOMMENDATIONS: MOE 2-1 (CARFOR) MR1 10 th Armr Bde: withdrawn MR1 22 nd Mech Bde: withdrawn MR2 20 th Mech Bde: withdrawn MR2 20 th Inf Bde: withdrawn MOE 2-2 (CMARFOR) MR3 30 th Mech Bde: withdrawn MR3 31 st Inf Bde: withdrawn 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

15 UNCLASSIFIED Condition 3 Condition 3: Int’l border restored OVERALL ASSESSMENT: RECOMMENDATIONS: MOE 3-1 (CARFOR) CARFOR positioned at border MOE 3-2 (CMARFOR) CMARFOR positioned at border 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

16 UNCLASSIFIED Condition 4 Condition 4: Readiness of component forces for stabilization OVERALL ASSESSMENT: RECOMMENDATIONS: MOE 4-1 (CARFOR) Stabilisation plan approved Completed PH 3 tasks MOE 3-2 (CMARFOR) Stabilisation plan approved Completed PH 3 tasks 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

17 UNCLASSIFIED Condition 5 Condition 5: Cross-border hostility has ceased OVERALL ASSESSMENT: RECOMMENDATIONS: MOE 5-1 Military–Military cease-fire agreement 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

18 UNCLASSIFIED ASSESSMENT DRILL DOWN

19 UNCLASSIFIED X 30 3 X 3 X 20 2 X 10 1 X 22 2 X 21 2 X 20 2 X 2 X X X 10 1 X 21 2 FLOT as of 12 Feb 2012 Capital City APOD SPOD Oil Field LOC FLOT SF I II Army Region 2 76% Army Region 2 76% Army Region 3 69% Army Region 3 69% Artillery Command 70% Artillery Command 70% Missile Command 60% Missile Command 60% Naval Command 80% Naval Command 80% Coastal Defense 20% Coastal Defense 20% Aviation Command 78% Aviation Command 78% Army Region 1 72% Army Region 1 72% Battle Damage Assessment

20 UNCLASSIFIED MOE1.1 1: ARC no longer in KUH and FM OVERALL ASSESSMENT: ARC Forces are being severely degraded, but still occupy territory in KUH and FM. Also ARC still maintains robust offensive capability. RECOMMENDATION: MOE 1-1-1: I/D Arcadian armed forces (MR 1) (OPR: C2) I/D Arcadian military operating in Kuhistan air space: No ARC Air forces within KUH space I/D Arcadian military operating in Kuhistan territorial waters: See MR 3 I/D Arcadian military operating within the borders of Kuhistan: ARC still occupy KUH and FM I/D Arcadian attacks on Kuhistan from outside Kuhistan (indirect fire): ARC still launching TBMs I/D Cyber attacks against Kuhistan systems (enabler) (OPR: C6) MOE 1-1-2: I/D Arcadian armed forces (MR 2) (OPR: C2) Arcadia continues to launch TBMs MOE 1-1-3: I/D Arcadian armed forces (MR 3) (OPR: C2) ARC SAG continues to operate within its MEZ 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

21 UNCLASSIFIED IO TASKS Linked to (Effect 1) Arcadia forces ceases all military actions and withdraw from Kuhistan. OVERALL ASSESSMENT: ARC Ground Forces continue to prepare and resupply forward elements within ARC and MOJ, and improve defensive positions. ARC has launched TBM at three different targets. RECOMMENDATION: IO MOP 1: Disrupt, degrade, or destroy C4ISR of ARC forces in KUH (OPR: C39) IO MOP 2: Discourage ARC of targeting civilians and infrastructure (OPR: C39) IO MOP 4: Degrade Arcadian morale and combat effectiveness (OPR: C39) IO MOP 3: Manage expectations of mission accomplishment timeline and subsequent reconstruction within the AO (OPR: C39) IO MOP 8: (both tangentially) Protect MNF C4I through electronic protect and CND (OPR: C39) 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

22 UNCLASSIFIED MOE1.1 Condition 2: Security in AO established / maintained OVERALL ASSESSMENT: Security in AO are being established / maintained RECOMMENDATIONS: MOE : ARC agreed unconditional withdrawal of all ARC forces. (Issue of orders) (OPR: C2) MOE 1-2-2: Accounting of remaining ARC units and coordinated exit plan. (OPR: C2) MOE 1-2-3: I/D Arcadian attacks on FM from outside FM (indirect fire) (OPR: C2) Arcadia continues to launch TBMs from MR 2 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

23 UNCLASSIFIED IO TASKS Linked to (Effect 2) Arcadia ceases all military actions and withdraw from Free Mojave OVERALL ASSESSMENT: ARC Ground Forces continue to prepare and resupply forward elements within ARC and MOJ, and improve defensive positions. ARC has launched TBM at three different targets. RECOMMENDATION: IO MOP 1: Disrupt, degrade or destroy C4ISR of ARC forces in FM (OPR: C39) IO MOP 2: Discourage ARC of targeting civilians and infrastructure (OPR: C39) IO MOP 4: Degrade Arcadian morale and combat effectiveness (OPR: C39) IO MOP 3: Manage expectations of mission accomplishment timeline and subsequent reconstruction within the AO (OPR: C39) IO MOP 8: (both tangentially) Protect MNF C4I through electronic protect and CND (OPR: C39) 9 Feb 11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

24 UNCLASSIFIED MOE1.2 Cease-fire has been established OVERALL ASSESSMENT: Peace agreement being established and signed. RECOMMENDATIONS: MOE 1-2-1: Arty Missiles system out of DMZ (OPR: C2) MOE 1-2-2: Buffer zone established between ARC & KUH and ARC & FM borders (15km each side). (OPR: C2) MOE 1-2-3:Cease-fire agreement signed between ARC, KUH and FM (POLAD) 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

25 UNCLASSIFIED MOE 2.1 KUH and FM governments remain effective OVERALL ASSESSMENT:KUH and FM government remains effective. RECOMMENDATIONS: MOE 2-1-1: Governance leadership back in the AO (OPR: POLAD) MOE 2-1-2: Government services restored in AO (OPR: POLAD) MOE 2-1-3: Judicial system restored in AO (OPR: POLAD) MOE 2-1-4: Law enforcement agency ready in AO (OPR: POLAD) 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

26 UNCLASSIFIED MOE 3.1 Regional partners support MNF operations OVERALL ASSESSMENT: Forces reconfig and postured for Stability Ops RECOMMENDATIONS: MOE 3-1-1: MOE 3-1-2: I/D Kuhistan support to MNF operations (OPR: POLAD, C2) KUH have offered use of their facilities and infrastructure for MNF operations MOE 3-1-3: I/D Free Mojave support to MNF operations(OPR: POLAD, C2) FM have offered use of their facilities and infrastructure for MNF operations MOE 3-1-4: I/D Isla Del Sol support to MNF operations(OPR: POLAD, C2) 9 Feb10 Feb 11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

27 UNCLASSIFIED IO TASKS Linked to Effect 9 Regional partners support MNF operations OVERALL ASSESSMENT: TDO, KUH and FM continue to support MNF operations RECOMMENDATIONS: IO MOP 6: Maintain international support for MNF Operations (OPR: C39) IO MOP 3: Manage expectations of mission accomplishment timeline and subsequent reconstruction within the AO (OPR: C39) 9 Feb10 Feb 11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

28 UNCLASSIFIED MOE3.1.2 Cathay does not support Arcadia military operations OVERALL ASSESSMENT: Cathay continues to provide logistics and intelligence support to ARC, and continues to train ARC forces in country RECOMMENDATIONS: C ontinued diplomatic pressure to discourage support of ARC aggression MOE : I/D Diplomatic support to Arcadia (OPR: POLAD, C2) Unknown at this time MOE : I/D Intelligence support to Arcadia (OPR: POLAD, C2) Unknown at this time MOE : I/D Military support to Arcadia (OPR: POLAD, C2) Cathay remains ARC’s main source of sophisticated arms MOE : I/D Economic support to Arcadia (OPR: POLAD, C2) Unknown at this time 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

29 UNCLASSIFIED MOE3.1 Govt/NGO postured for HA Ops OVERALL ASSESSMENT: Increased nos. of IDPs along LOCs. CMARFOR may be incapable of preventing civilian interference due to insufficient CA forces. RECOMMENDATIONS: Integrate KUH military forces to conduct CMO in CMARFOR AO. MOE 3-1-1: Capacity of IDP camps to meet the demand of IDP (OPR: CMO) Currently awaiting IDP camp capacity information from UN through CMCM. MOE 3-1-2: Capacity of HA resources to meet projected demands of affected KUH populace. (OPR: CMO) Unknown at this time. Also awaiting confirmation from UN & IHC. 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

30 UNCLASSIFIED IO TASKS Linked to Effect 8 Civil populace supports MNF PEO and transition to HN and/or UN Control OVERALL ASSESSMENT : Impending humanitarian crisis developing at 2 IDP camps i.e. JUNTARA & PULLMAN (overcrowding, inadequate medical facilities & petty crime issues). No request for military assistance as yet. RECOMMENDATIONS: IO MOP: Minimize civilians interference within the AO and garner local support for the MNF-CG mission (OPR: C39) 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

31 UNCLASSIFIED MOE 4.1 Strong support from government and populace OVERALL ASSESSMENT: Forces reconfig and postured for Stability Ops RECOMMENDATIONS: MOE 4-1-1: 9 Feb10 Feb 11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

32 UNCLASSIFIED MOE 4.2 Strong support from government and populace OVERALL ASSESSMENT: Maintain International and regional support RECOMMENDATIONS: MOE 4-2-1: UNSCR remains valid in Ph IV (OPR: POLAD) MOE 4-2-2: Peace agreement established (OPR: POLAD) MOE 4-2-3: Mandate of UN Mission with UNSUPFORPAC (OPR: POLAD) 9 Feb10 Feb 11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

33 UNCLASSIFIED Lines of Operations & Key Tasks

34 UNCLASSIFIED CJSOTF Key Tasks (PH 2) NSWTG T1: Conduct limited SR (TGO), DA, and limited UW P1: Degrade ARC IADS, C4ISR, and logistics P2: Motivate ARC forces to depart KUH SOTF KUH T1: Conduct limited SR (TGO), DA, and limited UW P1: Degrade ARC IADS, C4ISR, and logistics P2: Motivate ARC forces to depart KUH SOTF FM T1: Conduct limited SR (TGO), DA, and limited UW P1: Degrade ARC IADS, C4ISR, and logistics P2: Motivate ARC forces to depart FM Supporting Efforts CJSOAD CPOTF PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY D-+6 3 PH 5 Transition Status of Assessment: 1. xxxxx 2. xxxxxx. 3. xxxxxx Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

35 UNCLASSIFIED CJSOTF Key Tasks (PH 3) NSWTG T1: Provide support to seizure of Kelowna via SR, DA, and UW P1: Degrade ARC IADS, C4ISR, and logistics P2: Enable conventional forces clearing in North KUH SOTF KUH T1: Conduct SR (TGO), DA, and limited UW P1: Degrade ARC IADS, C4ISR, and logistics P2: Enable conventional forces clearing in Central KUH SOTF FM T1: Conduct limited SR (TGO), DA, and limited UW P1: Degrade ARC IADS, C4ISR, and logistics P2: Enable conventional forces clearing in FM Supporting Efforts CJSOAD CPOTF Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY PH 5 Transition 3 Status of Assessment: 1. xxxxx 2. xxxxxx. 3. xxxxxx D-+8

36 UNCLASSIFIED CJSOTF Key Tasks (PH 4) NSWTG T1: Conduct counter ARC SOF operations P1: Defeat Arcadian SOF in KUH and FM T2: Enable DDR of UW forces P2: Support transition of UW forces to pre-conflict roles SOTF KUH T1: Conduct counter ARC SOF operations P1: Defeat Arcadian SOF in KUH T2: Enable DDR of UW forces P2: Support transition of UW forces to pre-conflict roles SOTF FM T1: Conduct counter ARC SOF operations P1: Defeat Arcadian SOF in FM T2: Enable DDR of UW forces P2: Support transition of UW forces to pre-conflict roles Supporting Efforts: CJSOAD CPOTF Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY PH 5 Transition 3 Status of Assessment: 1. xxxxx 2. xxxxxx. 3. xxxxxx D-+8

37 UNCLASSIFIED CFACC Key Tasks (PH 2) MAIN EFFORT T1: Gain/Maintain Air Superiority (AS) in decisive locs P1: Enable MNF freedom of operations T2: Interdict ARC LOCs P2: Degrade ARC fielded forces resupply; isolate T3: Shape force entry operations P3: Enable friendly ground force offensive operations SUPPORTING EFFORT: T1: Enforce AEZ / Support MEZ enforcement P1: Compel ARC withdrawal / isolate ARC T2: Conduct ISR P2: Find, Fix, Track and Target ARC forces T3: Support SC and IO P3: Compel ARC withdrawal Supporting Efforts: CJSOAD CPOTF AI Air Refueling AEZ PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY D-+6 3 PH 5 Transition Status of Assessment: 1.F-22 Grounded. 2.ROE precluding strikes w/in ARC, prevents CFACC from attaining objectives against enemy SAM, C2 sites, and airfields Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed D-+8

38 UNCLASSIFIED CFACC Key Tasks (PH 3) MAIN EFFORT T1: Expand Air Superiority (AS) over KUH and FM P1: Enable MNF freedom of operations T2: Destroy ARC fielded forces P2: Attrit ARC fielded forces and force withdrawal SUPPORTING EFFORT: T1: Enforce AEZ / Support MEZ enforcement P1: Compel ARC withdrawal / isolate ARC T2: Conduct ISR P2: Find, Fix, Track and Target ARC forces T3: Intra-Theater airlift P3: Maintain resupply of MNF forces.. Supporting Efforts: DCA C2/ISR AI Air Refueling AEZ On Plan Partially On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed Status of Assessment: 1.CFACC cannot attain strategic objectives under current ROE (ARC border crossing and engagement restrictions) PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY PH 5 Transition 3 D-+8

39 UNCLASSIFIED CFACC Key Tasks (PH 4) MAIN EFFORT T1: Maintain Air Superiority (AS) over KUH and FM P1: Enable MNF freedom of operations T2: ISR operations to monitor ARC forces P2: Ensure ARC forces withdrawal from KUH T3: Enforce AEZ P3: Deter ARC aggression SUPPORTING EFFORT: T1: Support MEZ enforcement P1: Deter ARC aggression T2: Intra-Theater Airlift P2: Sustain MNF forces / Support HA.. Supporting Efforts: DCA C2/ISR AI Air Refueling AEZ Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY PH 5 Transition 3 Status of Assessment: 1. xxxxx 2. xxxxxx. 3. xxxxxx D-+8

40 UNCLASSIFIED CNAVFOR Key Tasks (PH 2) PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY D-+7 3 PH 5 Transition MAIN EFFORT Support aggressive IO plan Enforce MEZ Mine Sweeping Operations Conduct Port Seizure Conduct surface, anti-submarine operations RADC duties Conduct strategic strikes Cut off ARC lines of communications Seamless MNF partner integration Provide Logistics support to CNAVFOR forces Status of Assessment: -Mine Sweeping Operations completed -ROK RLT will land in Kelowna following the completion of mine clearance operations. -ROK RLT has completely off loaded from ROKN shipping in Kelowna Port. -CNAVFOR will have met all conditions to transition to Phase III. Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

41 UNCLASSIFIED CNAVFOR Key Tasks (PH 3) MAIN EFFORT Support aggressive IO plan Enforce MEZ Conduct amphibious assault Conduct offensive operations Conduct MIO Conduct/Support HA operations Seamless MNF partner integration PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY D-+9 3 PH 5 Transition Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed Status of Assessment: MEZ is secure MSA is secure 31MEU is available as MNF reserve Continue with robust ASW plan to defend against remaining ARC PTGs and SSs

42 UNCLASSIFIED CNAVFOR Key Tasks (PH 4) MAIN EFFORT Maintain security in AO Facilitate transition of KUH back to legitimate government Conduct/Support HA operations. Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY PH 5 Transition 3 Status of Assessment: 1. xxxxx 2. xxxxxx. 3. xxxxxx D-+8

43 UNCLASSIFIED CMARFOR Key Tasks (PH 2) CONOPS: Intel: Begin collection on NAI Fires: Support MNF/CFACC ATO generations IO: Support MNF Strat Comm messaging LOG: Establish FOB Spokane ICW KUH; Provide CSS FP: Continue AD/CAP coverage of SPOD & FOB Maneuver: RTMC Division USMC RCT-e ROK RLT-7 (CNAVFOR) MAG-36 CLR-3 PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY D-+6 3 PH 5 Transition Status of Assessment: 1. xxxxx 2. xxxxxx. 3. xxxxxx Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

44 UNCLASSIFIED CMARFOR Key Tasks (PH 3 – Stage A) CONOPS: Intel: Continue collection on NAI Fires: Shape enemy forces in CMARFOR AO IO: Target enemy commanders with withdrawal options LOG:Provide CSS from CSSA Spokane FP: Continue AD/CAP coverage of SPOD & FOB Maneuver: RTMC Division USMC RCT-3 ROK RLT-7 MAG-36 (ME) CLR-3 Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY PH 5 Transition 3 Status of Assessment: 1. xxxxx 2. xxxxxx. 3. xxxxxx D-+8

45 UNCLASSIFIED CMARFOR Key Tasks (PH 3 – Stage B) CONOPS: Intel: Collection on NAI Fires: Shape enemy forces vic CMF Obj 3. IO: Continue to target enemy commanders options LOG:Provide CSS from CSSA Spokane FP: Continue AD/CAP coverage of SPOD & FOB Maneuver: RTMC Division USMC RCT-3 (ME) ROK RLT-7 MAG-36 CLR-3 Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY PH 5 Transition 3 Status of Assessment: 1. xxxxx 2. xxxxxx. 3. xxxxxx D-+8

46 UNCLASSIFIED CMARFOR Key Tasks (PH 3 – Stage C) CONOPS: Intel: Collection on NAI Fires: Provide DS fires to ME, Target (C2, BAGs, Armor) IO: Confirm MNF intentions to restore KUH borders LOG:Provide CSS from CSSA Spokane FP: Continue AD/CAP coverage of SPOD & FOB Maneuver: RTMC Division (ME) USMC RCT-3 ROK RLT-7 MAG-36 CLR-3 Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY PH 5 Transition 3 Status of Assessment: 1. xxxxx 2. xxxxxx. 3. xxxxxx D-+8

47 UNCLASSIFIED CMARFOR Key Tasks (PH 4) CONOPS: Intel: Collection on ARC Ph IV actions/intentions Fires: Provide on-call CAS/IDF as required IO: Confirm MNF intentions to restore KUH borders LOG:Provide CSS from CSSA Spokane FP: Continue AD/CAP coverage of SPOD & FOB Maneuver: RTMC Division (ME) USMC RCT-3 ROK RLT-7 MAG-36 CLR-3 Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY PH 5 Transition 3 Status of Assessment: 1. xxxxx 2. xxxxxx. 3. xxxxxx D-+8

48 UNCLASSIFIED CARFOR Key Tasks (PH 2) CONOPS: Intel: Conduct ISR to detect ADA, TBM Fires: Destroy enemy ADA systems and ARC fire support FP: Protect units during move to Tactical AAs SUS: Occupy LSPs to support CARFOR attack in zone IO: Continue efforts to encourage ARC forces to W/D CARFOR HQ (ME) T1: Conduct FP vic AO T2: Conduct CMO Task Force West (SE) T1: Conduct FP vic Reno T2: Strategic strikes on TBM, SAM, C2 sites, airfields Task Force East (SE) T1: Conduct FP vic Boise PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY D-+6 3 PH 5 Transition Status of Assessment: 1. xxxxx 2. xxxxxx. 3. xxxxxx Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

49 UNCLASSIFIED CARFOR Key Tasks (PH 3A) CONOPS: Intel: Conduct ISR to id strategic & tactical EN assets Fires: Defeat enemy fire support FP: Patrol MSRs, insure FOM SUS: Establish LOCs and LSPs along MSR in AOR IO: Continue efforts to encourage ARC forces to W/D CARFOR HQ (SE) T1: Conduct PEO to include forcible entry operations Task Force West (ME) T1: Defeat ARC forces vic Obj 1 T2: Fix ARC forces vic Obj 2 Task Force East (SE) T1: Defeat ARC forces vic Obj 3 T2: Fix ARC forces vic Obj 4 Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY PH 5 Transition 3 Status of Assessment: 1. xxxxx 2. xxxxxx. 3. xxxxxx D-+8

50 UNCLASSIFIED CARFOR Key Tasks (PH 3B) CONOPS: Intel: Identify EN disposition, detect movement of reserve Fires: Isolate OBJs 2, 4; fix ARC reserve Bde FP: MMS, AS, IR, L&O, PIO SUS: Extend LOCs; establish LSA to spt offensive ops IO: CARFOR HQ (SE) T1: Conduct PEO Task Force West (ME) T1: Block ARC reserve forces north of OBJ 1 T2: Defeat ARC forces at OBJ 2 Task Force East (SE) T1: Block ARC reserve forces northeast of OBJ 3 T2: Defeat ARC forces at OBJ 4 Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY PH 5 Transition 3 Status of Assessment: 1. xxxxx 2. xxxxxx. 3. xxxxxx D-+8

51 UNCLASSIFIED CARFOR Key Tasks (PH 3C) CONOPS: Intel: Detect movement of reserve & IDPs Fires: Defeat EN fire support; Disrupt ARC attacks FP: MMS, AS, IR, L&O, PIO SUS: Provide CSS IO: Continue IO to encourage IDPs to remain in KUH CARFOR HQ (SE) T1: Conduct PEO Task Force West (ME) T1: Clear KUH territory to ARC border T2: O/O Defend KUH border Task Force East (SE) T1: Clear KUH territory to ARC border T2: O/O Defend KUH border Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY PH 5 Transition 3 Status of Assessment: 1. xxxxx 2. xxxxxx. 3. xxxxxx D-+8

52 UNCLASSIFIED CARFOR Key Tasks (PH 4) CONOPS: Intel: Identify remaining EN in KUH; monitor IDP movements Fires: Establish new FPOL along border FP: IR, L&O, MMS, AS, PIO SUS: Sustain the force; transition LOG to host nation IO: Increase support to Gov authorities in KUH and FM CARFOR HQ (ME) T1: Establishment of policy for transfer of authority Task Force West (SE) T1: Maintain presence in AO Task Force East (SE) T1: Maintain presence in AO Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed PH 0 Crisis PH 1 Deter PH 2 Seize The Initiative PH 3 Dominate SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ DEPLOY MNF CONDUCT ISR ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO CUT ARC LOC COORD & CONDUCT CMO OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER PH 4 Stabilize MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY PH 5 Transition 3 Status of Assessment: 1. xxxxx 2. xxxxxx. 3. xxxxxx D-+8

53 UNCLASSIFIED Back-ups

54 UNCLASSIFIED PHASE 1 DETER D – 45 TO D DAY PHASE 2 SEIZE THE INITIATIVE D TO D + 10 DAY PHASE 3 DOMINATE D + 10 TO D + 40 DAY PHASE 4 STABILIZE D + 40 TO D DAY This OP is designed to swiftly and decisively compel Arcadian forces to withdraw from KUH and FM using a short and aggressive IO campaign, followed by quick and effective application of overwhelming force. It will include the establishment of AEZ/MEZ, Strategic strikes in Arcadia to degrade Arcadian power projection, and cut off sustainment capabilities. Thereafter execute 3-pronged entry ops into the battlespace, rapidly defeating Arcadian combat power, choking off Arcadian LOCs and driving them out of KUH and FM. Once Arcadian forces are driven out of KUH and FM, the focus will be on security and stability, civil-military operations and transition operations. DECISIVE AND SWIFT COMBAT OPS TIMELINE DP 1. Conduct Strategic Strike (transit to Phase 2 Earlier) Conditions. a. ARC kinetic strikes disrupt MNF flow b. Permission from HHQ c. Sufficient assets in theatre DP 2. To continue Kinetic Ops / Transit to Phase 2 Conditions. a. IO not effective b. Diplomatic actions not successful c. MNF postured, ready for Phase 2 DEPLOY MNF SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ CONDUCT ISR CONDUCT IO BY PHASES ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE CUT ARC LOC FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO OFFENSIVE OPS COORD & CONDUCT CMO RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY DP 4. Transit to Phase 4 Conditions. a. ARC no longer in KUH and FM DP 5. Transit to Phase 5 Conditions. a. Security in AO is maintained b. CMO and IO is effective c. KUH and FM Forces and / or UN Forces ready to take over DP 3. Transit to Phase 3 Conditions. a. MNF ready to escalate offensive ops. b. ARC Combat Power Projection and sustainment capabilities degraded. DEPLOY MNF SECURE APOD / SPOD ESTB MEZ / AEZ CONDUCT ISR CONDUCT IO BY PHASES ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ STRATEGIC STRIKE CUT ARC LOC FORCIBLE ENTRY INTO AO OFFENSIVE OPS COORD & CONDUCT CMO RE-ESTB INT’L BORDER MAINTAIN SECUIRTY IN AO COUNTER SF / PSYOPS ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF AUTHORITY

55 UNCLASSIFIED EFFECT # 1 Cease all military actions & withdraw from Kuhistan & free Mojore MOE 1.1 Arcadia cease all military actions and withdraw from Kuhistan. MOE 1.2 Arcadia cease all military actions and withdraw from Free Mojave. MOE 1.3 Sonora does not support Arcadia military operations. MOE MR1 MOE MR2 MOE MR3 MOE 1.4 Indirect fire from Arcadia.


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