Presentation on theme: "New Congress, New Governors, New Research: Same Education Policy? Noelle Ellerson American Association of School Administrators National Conference on."— Presentation transcript:
New Congress, New Governors, New Research: Same Education Policy? Noelle Ellerson American Association of School Administrators National Conference on Education 2011
2010 Elections: Change! The last time federal leadership was a Democratic President, a Democratic Senate and a Republican House was 1858. The last time this many Republicans were elected to state legislatures was 1928. The last time Republicans had a House majority of this size was 1938. The last time there was as much turnover in Governors was in the 1920s.
State Elections Nearly 30 new Governors have taken office. Dems lost 8 Governor seats Impact on state commitment to federal initiatives? –Race to the Top –Common Core 19 state legislative chambers switched leadership –Both Houses: AL, ME, MN, NH, NC and WI –House: CO, IN, IA, MI, MT, OH and PA
Overarching Debate: Fiscal & International Stability Federal deficit: Republicans elected on their promise to act NOW Debt ceiling: Likely to be reached by late April — leverage for spending cuts? National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform: “Our nation is on an unsustainable fiscal path... neither political party is without blame.” Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, Defense on chopping block for cuts
Unrest in the Middle East Huge implications, many not yet clear Could overshadow domestic issues — including education Potential economic impact — higher prices for oil, gasoline, other petroleum- based fuels Big question: Will instability subside? Spread beyond Egypt?
Congressional Demographics Democratic Administration Just down the street, on the Hill: –HOUSE: 242 Republicans, 193 Democrats –SENATE: 53 Democrats, 47 Republicans
House Speaker John Boehner One of the four authors of No Child Left Behind 21 days after taking oath: With Sen. Lieberman (CT), introduced bill to revive DC voucher program — could be the only bill he authors all year, staff told POLITICO Vouchers = area of agreement among vast majority of GOP caucus So far: no major comments about ESEA, no appearances with Duncan
More Republican House Leaders Left to right: Majority Leader Eric Cantor (VA), Budget Committee Chair Paul Ryan (WI), former Republican Conference Chair Mike Pence (IN), Appropriations Committee Chair Hal Rogers (KY)
Republican Leadership Goals Cut federal spending — back to 2008 levels? 2006 levels? Repeal health care reform Roll back federal regulations More tax cuts Issue subpoenas, hold oversight hearings to undermine and discredit Administration Goal: tarnish and diminish accomplishments of 111th Congress
Budget Cuts Proposed by GOP Leadership Roll back non-security spending to 2008 levels Cut up to $9.4 billion from pre-K to post-graduate education programs; would reduce or eliminate services for up to 8.2 million students, including up to 10,900 fewer teachers to reduce class sizes in Title I schools Repeal increase in federal Medicaid match in education jobs bill; would devastate state budgets Eliminate all remaining ARRA funding Remember: their customer base is GOP governors, GOP presidential hopefuls
Big 8 in Education: House Side Education & the Workforce Committee Early Childhood, Elementary and Secondary Education Subcommittee Note: Chairs were not in Congress when No Child Left Behind was written! John Kline (MN) Chair George Miller (CA) Ranking Member Duncan D. Hunter (CA) Chair Dale Kildee (MI) Ranking Member
Big 8 in Education: Senate Side Health, Education, Labor & Pensions Committee Children and Families Subcommittee Tom Harkin (IA) Chair Mike Enzi (WY) Ranking Member Jeff Bingaman (NM) Chair Lamar Alexander (TN) Ranking Member Note: Strong awareness of rural concerns!
House of Oversight…er…Representatives First hearing: TARP and the foreclosure crisis, January 26 To come: Federal regulation, WikiLeaks, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Afghanistan, FDA recalls, Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission American Recovery and Reinvestment Act: Where did the money go? Representative Darrell Issa (CA) Chair, House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform
Republicans and ESEA: They Are on Our Side John Kline: “There is common bipartisan concern that we must do something [about fixing NCLB] … I appreciate much of what Secretary Duncan is trying to accomplish with the Race to the Top Fund, but I continue to have doubts about some of the specific tactics being used to get there.” Duncan D. Hunter: “We have a lot of common ground. We also see a major need. It’s time to get it done.” Mike Enzi: “We’re trying to make the law more simple and put in state and local control.” Lamar Alexander: “We need to get away from Washington announcing whether schools are passing or failing.”
ESEA….It’s About Time! House Education and Workforce Committee: –First hearing February last week Rep. Kline: Piecemeal. B –Big bill = political liability for House members Senate HELP Committee: No more hearings — 10 held last year Sen. Harkin: Would like to get a bill ready to mark up by the Easter recess, on the floor by the summer — Education Week, January 26, 2011
Research Disconnect between research rhetoric and research reality Unfortunate tendency to dismiss/avoid friction Budget proposal includes funding for research Need for research, especially rural research
State Legislatures Let’s Have a Conversation –Vouchers –Union-bashing –Collective Bargaining –Superintendent Salaries –Credentialing –Teacher Training –Tenure Monthly State Advocacy Call
Questions? Noelle Ellerson Assistant Director, Policy Analysis & Advocacy American Association of School Administrators email@example.com 703-875-0764