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PERFECT STORM To Hit Job Markets!. 2 Aging Population Population 3 Upskilling of Jobs 4 Unprepared Workforce Storm Warnings 4 Converging Megatrends 1.

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Presentation on theme: "PERFECT STORM To Hit Job Markets!. 2 Aging Population Population 3 Upskilling of Jobs 4 Unprepared Workforce Storm Warnings 4 Converging Megatrends 1."— Presentation transcript:

1 PERFECT STORM To Hit Job Markets!

2 2 Aging Population Population 3 Upskilling of Jobs 4 Unprepared Workforce Storm Warnings 4 Converging Megatrends 1 Great Recession Recession

3 The global economy is recovering from The global economy is recovering from the worst economic storm in a century the worst economic storm in a century Mass layoffs, many jobs in jeopardy Mass layoffs, many jobs in jeopardy Despite massive stimulus, recovery is Despite massive stimulus, recovery is slow and faltering slow and faltering The economy is vulnerable The economy is vulnerable The global economy is recovering from The global economy is recovering from the worst economic storm in a century the worst economic storm in a century Mass layoffs, many jobs in jeopardy Mass layoffs, many jobs in jeopardy Despite massive stimulus, recovery is Despite massive stimulus, recovery is slow and faltering slow and faltering The economy is vulnerable The economy is vulnerable Megatrend 1: The Great Recession Megatrend 1: The Great Recession

4 Megatrend 2: Aging Population Predictable Demographics Megatrend 2: Aging Population Predictable Demographics Birth rate declining since 1967 Marriage & childbirth later, fewer children Boomers who can are retiring ( ) Labour force participation rate declining Immigration can’t offset natural decline Birth rate declining since 1967 Marriage & childbirth later, fewer children Boomers who can are retiring ( ) Labour force participation rate declining Immigration can’t offset natural decline

5 Percent of Canadian Population Years of Age Percent of Canadian Population Years of Age

6 , , ,552, ,079, ,763, , , ,552, ,079, ,763,000 Projected Worker Shortfall Rick Miner, February 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People [Figures projected nationally from Miner’s Ontario (38%) medium growth estimates] Rick Miner, February 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People [Figures projected nationally from Miner’s Ontario (38%) medium growth estimates] Vast majority of 2031 work force has already been born Immigration 2010 – 280,000 (family, credentials, competition) Under-represented - poor, aboriginals, women, disabled Vast majority of 2031 work force has already been born Immigration 2010 – 280,000 (family, credentials, competition) Under-represented - poor, aboriginals, women, disabled

7 Megatrend 3: Upskilling of Jobs Accelerating Knowledge Economy Megatrend 3: Upskilling of Jobs Accelerating Knowledge Economy Estimated that 80% of all jobs in Canada now require some post-secondary education or training Rick Miner, February 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People Estimated that 80% of all jobs in Canada now require some post-secondary education or training Rick Miner, February 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People

8 New & Changing Jobs There’s never been a better time to imagine career prospects! New & Changing Jobs There’s never been a better time to imagine career prospects! Nano-mechanic Old age wellness manager Old age wellness manager Memory augmentation surgeon Memory augmentation surgeon Weather modification police Weather modification police Waste data handler Waste data handler Social networking worker Social networking worker Personal brander/communications advisor Personal brander/communications advisor Stem cell bank manager Stem cell bank manager Adam Gordon, August 2009, Jobs of the Future, Science and Technology Enabled Employment Nano-mechanic Old age wellness manager Old age wellness manager Memory augmentation surgeon Memory augmentation surgeon Weather modification police Weather modification police Waste data handler Waste data handler Social networking worker Social networking worker Personal brander/communications advisor Personal brander/communications advisor Stem cell bank manager Stem cell bank manager Adam Gordon, August 2009, Jobs of the Future, Science and Technology Enabled Employment

9 Megatrend 4: Unprepared Workforce Education System and Employers Megatrend 4: Unprepared Workforce Education System and Employers The Talent Pipeline

10 Destinations of Students in Ontario ( to Fall 2004) (King, Phase 4) Destinations of Students in Ontario ( to Fall 2004) (King, Phase 4) End of the Pipeline Saskatchewan-72.4% graduation rate for males, 71.5% for females (2006/07)

11 In addition… 25% of post-secondary students drop out by the end of the first year. A similar number change programs or majors 50% will not be in jobs directly related to their majors 2 years after graduation 70% of adults would seek more career information if they could start over In addition… 25% of post-secondary students drop out by the end of the first year. A similar number change programs or majors 50% will not be in jobs directly related to their majors 2 years after graduation 70% of adults would seek more career information if they could start over End of the Pipeline

12 “Too many students can’t see a clear connection between their program of study and labor market opportunities.” Pathways to Prosperity, February 2011, Harvard Graduate School of Education

13 “ Many drop out because they struggle academically. But large numbers say they drop out because they felt their classes were not interesting, and that high school was unrelentingly boring. In other words, they didn’t believe high school was relevant, or providing a pathway to achieving their dreams.”

14 In recent work out of the OISE, Student rated the sources of career information as follows: 1.Spending time ‘on the job’ exploring what a career involves on a day-to-day basis 2.Talking to people working in the career area you are interested in 3.A web-based tool that provides all the information you need to select a future career 4.Video clips of people talking about what they do in their career. 5.Interactive web sites (e.g. surveys, quizzes, careers game etc.)

15 Provision of career development has been in decline in many North American schools despite evidence of its effectiveness. There is a strong body of evidence which demonstrates that career development activity in schools can help young people to experience academic achievement, successfully transition to the labor market and live happier and more productive lives.

16 Choosing Occupation Work Information Lists Choosing Occupation Work Information Lists Career and Workforce Development Paradigm Shift Career and Workforce Development Paradigm Shift Learning Skills Life Imagination Introductions Learning Skills Life Imagination Introductions

17 SolutionSolution To avoid being victims of the perfect storm, communities must equip students with the knowledge, skills, attitudes, and life-long tools necessary in a world where change is the only constant

18 SolutionSolution Implement in all education and training sites the best available: 1.experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post- secondary students

19 SolutionSolution Implement in all education and training sites the best available: 1.experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post- secondary students 2.career exploration and planning system

20 SolutionSolution Implement in all education and training sites the best available: 1.experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post- secondary students 2.career exploration and planning system 3.electronic portfolio system (6-12)

21 SolutionSolution Implement in all education and training sites the best available: 1.experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post- secondary students 2.career exploration and planning system 3.electronic portfolio system (6-12) 4.course planning system

22 SolutionSolution Implement in all education and training sites the best available: 1.experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post- secondary students 2.career exploration and planning system 3.electronic portfolio system (6-12) 4.course planning system 5.online networking system to connect students with informed dreams to employers seeking talent

23 SolutionSolution Implement in all education and training sites the best available: 1.experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post- secondary students 2.career exploration and education planning system 3.electronic portfolio system (6-12) 4.course planning system 5.online networking system to connect students with informed dreams to employers seeking talent Then mobilize the entire community to optimize utilization of all of the above.

24 Helping students imagine the future they want to create “Your imagination is a preview of life’s coming attractions.” Albert Einstein “I wish The Real Game was MANDATORY for all students. The information and life experience it provides are more valuable than some required coursework. Giving our students the tools they need to be successful in “the real world” should be our first priority.” Tanya McKay, First Northern Bank, Woodland, CA, April 2011

25 Career Cruising Career and Education Information Portfolio Course Planner Career Cruising Network Career and Education Information Portfolio Course Planner Career Cruising Network

26 How We Engage and Inspire

27 K-5 elementary version Parent portal Complete interface redesign Matching system research Re-branding Real Game acquisition Connection to social media Current Projects

28 A Peek into the Future

29 Case Study 9 th grade NC student - bright, but hated school 9 th grade NC student - bright, but hated school Couldn’t wait for school day to end to drop Couldn’t wait for school day to end to drop another transmission another transmission Exposed to F4K, Career Cruising, Real Game Exposed to F4K, Career Cruising, Real Game Passion and talents for things mechanical Passion and talents for things mechanical becomes evident becomes evident Receives invitation from companies Receives invitation from companies John Deere relationship evolves (mentorship, John Deere relationship evolves (mentorship, job shadowing, summer jobs) job shadowing, summer jobs)

30 Case Study 9 th grade NC student - bright, but hated school 9 th grade NC student - bright, but hated school Couldn’t wait for school day to end to drop Couldn’t wait for school day to end to drop another transmission another transmission Exposed to F4K, Career Cruising, Real Game Exposed to F4K, Career Cruising, Real Game Passion and talents for things mechanical Passion and talents for things mechanical becomes evident becomes evident Receives invitation from companies Receives invitation from companies John Deere relationship evolves (mentorship, John Deere relationship evolves (mentorship, job shadowing, summer jobs) job shadowing, summer jobs) Happy Ending John Deere paid tuition for 2-year Small Engine Repair course at Community College then hired student at $50K, loan free.

31 Expected Results To be measured Expected Results To be measured More informed, purposeful, engaged, and higher More informed, purposeful, engaged, and higher achieving students, thus happier teachers and achieving students, thus happier teachers and parents parents Reduced truancy and bullying Reduced truancy and bullying Higher productivity with reduced recruiting and Higher productivity with reduced recruiting and retention costs for employers retention costs for employers Reduced costs for support programs (alternative Reduced costs for support programs (alternative education, drug and substance abuse, social education, drug and substance abuse, social assistance, welfare, corrections) assistance, welfare, corrections) More engaged, self-reliant, resilient citizens More engaged, self-reliant, resilient citizens Pride of accomplishment shared by community Pride of accomplishment shared by community

32 Consequences of staying the course Consequences Ongoing unacceptable levels of student Ongoing unacceptable levels of student underachievement and disengagement underachievement and disengagement Continued faltering in school to work transitions Continued faltering in school to work transitions Continued out-migration of talent Continued out-migration of talent Increasing recruitment challenges for employers Increasing recruitment challenges for employers Increasing number of storm victims of all ages in Increasing number of storm victims of all ages in the job market the job market Reduced community prosperity (ripples) Reduced community prosperity (ripples) Provincial Budget Impact: Government revenues (personal income and Business taxes, HST), education, social assistance, corrections, health

33 Career Cruising Whole-Community Solution All education/training institutions, employers & community agencies Career Cruising Whole-Community Solution All education/training institutions, employers & community agencies Jumpstart (K-5) Jumpstart (K-5) Career Cruising and Portfolio System Career Cruising and Portfolio System Real Game Series (all levels) Real Game Series (all levels) Course Planner Course Planner Network Software and Implementation Network Software and Implementation

34 PERFECT STORM Together, let’s implement a whole- community career navigation and workforce development strategy to weather the …


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