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My Secret Weapon: The Best Technical Indicator in the World

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Presentation on theme: "My Secret Weapon: The Best Technical Indicator in the World"— Presentation transcript:

1 My Secret Weapon: The Best Technical Indicator in the World
Presented by Andrew Keene Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2 Andrew Keene - From 2006-2010 I Turned $50,000 into $5.5 Million
Have Turned 1000’s of Students to Full Time Traders Active Trader in Futures, FX, Stocks & Commodities Regular Contributor to CNBC & Bloomberg, Fox Business, CBOE and more

3 RISK DISCLAIMER Day trading, short term trading, options trading, and futures trading are extremely risky undertakings. They generally are not appropriate for someone with limited capital, little or no trading experience, and/ or a low tolerance for risk. Never execute a trade unless you can afford to and are prepared to lose your entire investment. All trading operations involve serious risks, and you can lose your entire investment.

4 How I found the Cloud In 2006 I blew out my account while trading on the floor in Chicago. After, I took a trip to Asia to clear my head and regroup before going back to the floor. While travelling I met traders living in Asia and we began to talk about how we trade and our favorite strategies. These people introduced me to what was their, and is now my, favorite technical indicator. The Ichimoku Cloud. Upon returning I spent the next few years deepening my understanding of the Cloud and how to best apply it to my trading plan as an options trader. I have read every piece of literature on the cloud and have learned from practical experience which setups are the best and how to most efficiently apply the cloud to any trading plan.

5 What is the Ichimoku Cloud?
The Ichimoku cloud is a technical analysis method that uses the past, present, and future to help traders identify at a single glance if a security is in bullish or bearish territory. Ichimoku Kinko Hyo actually translates to “One Glance Equilibrium Chart” The cloud is made up of 6 key components, each of which we will examine individually. When combined, these components construct the Ichimoku Cloud.

6 Trading Using the Ichimoku Cloud
What is the Ichimoku Cloud? The different components of the cloud Using the cloud as levels of support and resistance The cloud and trend Using the cloud for options

7 AAPL Daily

8 The 6 Components of the Ichimoku Cloud
Tenkan-Sen Line Kinjun-Sen Line Senkou Span A Line Senkou Span B Line Kumo Chinkou Span Line

9 Chinkou Span Line Senkou Span A Line Tenkan-Sen Line Kinjun-Sen Line Kumo Senkou Span B Line

10 Components of the Cloud
The Tenkan-sen Line: Short Term Trend: Similar to 10 Period MA = (highest high + lowest low)/2 over the last 9 periods tenken-sen line

11 Components of the Cloud
The Kinjun-sen Line: Longer Term Trend: Similar to 30 DMA = (highest high + lowest low)/2 over the past 26 periods Kinjun-sen line

12 Components of the Cloud
Senkou Span A: Future Short Term Trend = (tenkan-sen + kinjun-sen)/2 plotted 26 bars in the future Senkou Span A

13 Components of the Cloud
Senkou Span B: Future Long Term Trend: Fib 50% Retracement = (highest high + lowest low)/2 over the past 52 bars plotted 26 bars in the future Senkou Span B

14 Components of the Cloud
Kumo “the cloud”: How Hard or Easy it is to Break the Trend Kumo

15 Components of the Cloud
Chinkou Span Line: How does the Today’s Price compare to last Month = current bar’s closing price plotted 26 bars back Chinkou Span Line

If I can make money trading like this, so can YOU! I’m just like everyone here, no special indicator, algo, no Harvard Business school It is simple, easy from Beginner to expert

17 So Why Use the Cloud? The cloud is my favorite indicator because it is forward looking unlike moving averages, fib levels or other popular technical analysis methods. The cloud takes into account more data than simple or exponential moving averages do. This gives us clearer levels of support and resistance for setting profit targets or stops. The cloud can be a tool to any trader trading ANY plan on any product.

18 The Cloud for All Traders
The cloud for the day trader: Using the cloud on a intraday basis can show a trader where intraday levels of support and resistance are. A day trader can also use the cloud to find the highest probability setups. The cloud for the swing trader: Using the cloud can help the swing trader avoid trading against trends and can help steer them away from stocks that are in neutral territory. Using the cloud can also point them to stocks that are near breakout points. The cloud for the long term trader: Using cloud pullbacks can point out opportunities to enter or add to positions. The long term trader can use the cloud to determine when it is time to exit a position. Since the cloud is forward looking, the cloud can also give a heads up before trend might turn the other way.

19 Applications for the Cloud
TIME FRAME: The cloud will work best on different time scales depending on the security. Faster time scales will produce more traps in some assets while providing good signals in others. How fast is too fast? Stocks- The best signals come from the daily. Anything faster produces too many traps. Currencies and Currency Futures- Trades best on a 4 hour bar, anything faster than that will produce many traps. Crude Oil Futures- Trade very fast. Can actually be used with the cloud on a chart as fast as the 5 min. Treasury Futures- Treasury futures tend to trend well intraday. Day trading them with the cloud can be successful.

20 Questions to Ask a Mentor/Trader
3 Questions to Ask a Mentor or Trader 1. Do you Trade Real Money? 2. Do you have proven P&L Statements and can I see them? 3. How often do you trade during the Day

21 My P&L Trading Career Have Traded over 5 Million Equity Options and 25 Million Shares of Stock I have Made Over $5.5 Million in my Trading Career I have made over $1 Million Trading AAPL in 2 Separate Years - This Year I am currently up $220,000

22 Five Strategies Using the Ichimoku Cloud February 27, 2014 / 8pm ET
Stop Guessing and Using Consistently Profitable Set-ups Identifying the Best Cloud Setups for Profitable Trades Are You a Day Trader, Pullback, Aggressive, or Swing Stocks, Options, Futures, and Forex You don’t need a Big account to start making money tomorrow!!! CALL US: $97

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