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Vincent Connolly Clinical Lead ECIST. Emergency Care is a ‘wicked problem’ A social or cultural problem that is difficult or impossible to solve because:

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Presentation on theme: "Vincent Connolly Clinical Lead ECIST. Emergency Care is a ‘wicked problem’ A social or cultural problem that is difficult or impossible to solve because:"— Presentation transcript:

1 Vincent Connolly Clinical Lead ECIST

2 Emergency Care is a ‘wicked problem’ A social or cultural problem that is difficult or impossible to solve because: of incomplete or contradictory knowledge; of the number of people/opinions involved; of the large economic burden; and of the interconnected nature of this and other problems

3 Russell L. AckoffRussell L. Ackoff wrote about complex problems as: "Every problem interacts with other problems and is therefore part of a set of interrelated problems, a system of problems…. I choose to call such a system a mess."

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5 Care Coordination The health system delivered the required care, but was it in a time frame that suited the patient, carer or staff ?

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8 time Demand Capacity Queue Can’t pass unused capacity forward to next week Reducing waiting times in the NHS: is lack of capacity the problem? Bevan et al Clinician in Management (2004) 12:

9 When do medical patients arrive?

10 Arrange beds around patient streams: Clinical Decision Unit (CDU) / Ambulatory Emergency Care (AEC), Acute Assessment Unit (AAU), short stay, specialty, complex discharge Minimise handovers Combat outliers Organise beds to improve patient flow

11 New medical model for urgent care patients All non elective activity at the 85 th percentile

12 So How Many Beds? (50 Assessments and <40 patients sleeping over) Estimated Requirement Assessment16-20 spaces Short Stay60 beds Specialty total@ 10 nights = 200 @ eight nights = 160 @ seven nights = 140 @ six nights = 120

13 What type of system?

14 Admit – but where? Acute Bed Pool two nights Decision to admit Respiratory Unit Metabolic Unit Acute Rehabilitation Unit Gastro- Intestinal Unit Stroke Unit Critical care Cardiac Unit

15 ‘In-reach’ Case Management Acute Bed Pool two nights Decision to admit Respiratory Unit Metabolic Unit Acute Rehabilitation Unit Gastro- Intestinal Unit Strok e Unit Critical care Cardiac Unit Specialist “in- reach”

16 Outreach Model of Care Acute Bed Pool two nights Decision to admit Respiratory Unit Metabolic Unit Acute Rehabilitation Unit Gastro- Intestinal Unit Stroke Unit Critical care Cardiac Unit A&E PCT

17 The right people are more important than the right system as long as it is Well described Addresses patient care requirements Everybody understands their role Appropriate support from other services Location is fit for purpose Adequately scoped Supported by staff

18 Managing the Streams Identify the stream Short staySick specialtySick generalComplex Allocate early to teams skilled in that stream 0 50 100 150 200 250 1357911131517192123252729313335373941434547495153555759 Length of stay (days) Number of patients Clarity of specialty criteria Specialty case management plan at Handover – no delays Green bed days vs. red bed days Short stay – manage to the hour Maximise ambulatory care Complex needs – how much is decompensation? Detect early and design simple rules for discharge Minimise handover Decompensation risk Early assertive management Green bed days vs. red bed days

19 Pareto Analysis Glenday Sieve 30% 20 80 50% of demand = 7% of types: Green stream: ‘Runners’ \ 15% 5% of demand: Red stream: Rare Strangers Sick Specialty 0 100% Cumulative Demand LOS Sick General Short Stay Complex

20 LOS Cumulative Profile Excl Paeds, Obstetrics and Midwifery, Zero LOS ANHSTTop 25 50% = 3 midnights2 midnights 80% = 10 midnights7 midnights 95% = 29 midnights23 midnights

21 Cumulative OBD by LOS Excl Paeds, Obstetrics and Midwifery, Zero LOS ANHST%OBD <50% = 3 midnights10.8% <80% = 10 midnights35.3% <95% = 29 midnights69.4% >95% =>29 midnights30.6%

22 Consistently prioritising discharge activities can significantly reduce length of stay in elective or emergency clinical care pathways. Prioritising discharge activities only when beds are full may have little impact on patient throughput or average length of stay. Increasing beds may increase length of stay with no benefit to patient throughput. Focus on discharge Simulation of patient flows in A&E and elective surgery Discharge Priority: reducing length of stay and bed occupancy Michael Allen, Mathew Cooke & Steve Thornton, Clinical Systems Improvement 2010

23 Every patient should be reviewed every day by a senior decision maker Use expected date of discharge (EDD) to support case management for all inpatients Ensure all patients have criteria for discharge Implement morning check-outs so that patients are ‘home for coffee’ Focus on early supported discharge Focus on discharge

24 Which type of doctor? Acute Physician General Physician Specific training Focus on acute med Assessment & 1 st 48 hours Will develop acute med Out of hours Generic training Holistic approach Long ward rounds Office hours

25 The doctor needs to have: Team worker Humility Discipline Measures performance Service improvement Challenges the orthodoxy Accepts and embraces peer challenge Concerned about quality not volume Can describe the system Builds service around the needs of patients

26 Redesign Focus on decisions, tasks and workflows to optimise care Sort out the high variation Reconfigure the supporting infrastructure to match the redesigned clinical processes Design structures and processes to help learning from daily work Fixing Healthcare from Inside and Out, Harvard Business Review

27 Twice weekly consultant ward rounds compared with twice daily ward rounds Impact: Over study period, no change in length of stay on ‘control’ wards Average length of stay (ALOS) on study wards fell from 10.4 – 5.3 The impact of twice-daily consultant ward rounds on the length of stay in two general medical wards No deterioration in other indicators (readmissions, mortality, bed occupancy) The impact of twice-daily consultant ward rounds on the length of stay in two general medical wards Aftab Ahmad, Tejpal S Purewal, Dushyant Sharma and Philip J Weston Clinical Medicine 2011, Vol 11, No 6: 524–8 Does daily senior review work?

28 Hospitals with two or more AMU ward rounds per day on weekdays AND admitting consultants working blocks of more than one day had a lower adjusted case fatality rate. Where the admitting consultant was present for more than four hours, seven days per week they had a lower 28 day readmission rate RCP Taskforce 2007 Continuity of care and regular reviews

29 Internal Professional Standards for AAU Time to first review 15 mins Completion of clerk in Two hours Middle grade review in Four hours Consultant Two-three hours day time, 12 hours out of hours Diagnostics within Four hours Referral response half a day

30 Quality measures Mortality Mortality & morbidity (M&M) meetings 24 hour discharge rate Delivery of Internal Professional Standards (IPS) Readmissions seven days Adverse events A&E flow Patient experience

31 Admission avoidance & early discharge Strong evidence Weak evidence Admission prevention from nursing homes Ambulatory emergency care (e.g. 60- 90% reduction in overnight stays for pulmonary embolism (PE)) Improve urgent access to primary care Intermediate care in-reach to emergency department (ED) and assessment units Assertive case management of frail patients with dementia Continuity of care with a GP Hospital at home as an alternative to admission Assertive case management in mental health Early senior review in A&E Multidisciplinary interventions and tele- monitoring in heart failure Integration of primary and secondary care GPs in ED Walk in centres (WICs) and urgent care centres (UCCs) (unless co- located with EDs with integrated governance) Public education Pharmacist home-based medication review (Unfocussed) intermediate care Community-based case management (generic conditions) Early discharge to hospital at home on readmissions Nurse-led interventions pre- and post-discharge for patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) Telemedicine (except for heart failure)

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34 Crude Mortality Ward cardiac arrests Hospital Falls A&E - Time to be seen A&E – Wait to treatment time No of patients with LoS > 14 days An example of success

35 The Ten Commandments 1. Ensure timely access and continuity in primary care 2. There should be early senior review of all patients along all parts of the pathway, to maintain the momentum of care – there should be a senior review of every inpatient’s care plan every day 3. Get patients on the right pathways – Concentrate on patient flow 4. Work together across the whole system to systematically and predictably – implement internal professional standards – to minimise variation 5. Plan and manage capacity to meet demand 6. Avoid unnecessary overnight stays – implement ambulatory emergency care 7. There should be a relentless focus on discharge 8. Develop clear models of care for assertive management of the frail elderly 9. Measure the effect and impact of interventions using SPC and follow up with further improvements 10. Remember this will all be delivered by people so talk, engage, lead, follow & LISTEN


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