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Assessing Seniors’ Housing Needs in Small Communities The Haugen Centre, Armstrong UBCM – Kelowna – Sept/04 Prepared by Seniorhome (formerly Seniors’ Housing.

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Presentation on theme: "Assessing Seniors’ Housing Needs in Small Communities The Haugen Centre, Armstrong UBCM – Kelowna – Sept/04 Prepared by Seniorhome (formerly Seniors’ Housing."— Presentation transcript:

1 Assessing Seniors’ Housing Needs in Small Communities The Haugen Centre, Armstrong UBCM – Kelowna – Sept/04 Prepared by Seniorhome (formerly Seniors’ Housing Advisory) 604-946-2035 www.seniorhome.com

2 Overview – Interior Health Authority’s Offer of Property  Workplan to Confirm a Viable Tenant Cluster  Regional Focus and an Open and Inclusive Process

3 The Haugen Story (an example of small community project origins)  Existing lawn bowling green  Old de-commissioned hospital  Formerly donated to the town>>>to the Health Authority  Covenant for “health related uses”

4 The Local Community Context  Existing Seniors’ Community Centre – threatened by competition?  OCP – Affordable and Special Needs Housing Policy Objective support was in place ahead of the subjective initiative Would encourage density bonusing, CD zoning, Council’s initiative thru dev’t. approval process

5 Typical Small Community Factors  Everyone in town knows all that’s going on  Quick consensus and rallying of support  “Public lands” – School sites?>>>School Act asset disposition protocol  “Minor soccer vs. senior comforts” – competing interests? (a Kamloops story)  Smaller pop. = smaller constituencies>>>likelihood of blended user groups w/in seniors’ population  More land avail.>>>”campus of care” likely feasible>>>aging in place and flexible service programs  Urban and rural client groups and supports

6 Vital steps to assessing need  Review existing and anticipated supply  Market segmentation to distinguish:  Housing types: Detached/ Attached/ Old/ New  Service programs: IL, Supportive, Congregate, AL, Licensed Care  Funded from private pay  Demographic analysis of regional population McGuire Lake facility, Salmon Arm

7 Demographic analysis  A blend of precise measurement and intuition  Limited by quality of gross data  Beware the tempting assumptions and extrapolations Pioneer Place, Enderby

8 Small Area Data by FSA  Regional Market Delineation and Map – Large Market Area & Small Market Area  Canada Post Forward Sortation Areas (“FSA’s”)  addition of FSA V1H in Vernon since data collected

9 Armstrong-Spallumcheen Small Market Area Population Projections SOURCE: Interior Health Authority AREA Total Pop. 2002 % 75+ 2002 # 75+ 2002 % 75+ 2012 # 75+ 2012 Est. # 75+ 2007 Arm-Spall LHA 9,8226.6%6446.7%778711 Enderby LHA 7,1707%5039.2%684593 Combined = Sm Mkt Area 16,9921,1471,4621,304

10 Potential Unmet Demand for More Supported Independent Housing for Seniors and Others with Special Needs  Assumption that “Seniors’ Housing” Means “Supported Housing”  Potential New Housing Category: Ownership Tenure, with Support  Measuring Demand and Determining Project Magnitude  >>>Existing and Potential New Seniors’ Housing in the Region Outside Schubert Centre, Vernon

11 List 1 ~ Seniors’ Housing Available in Vernon, Armstrong, Enderby and Salmon Arm – All Program Types  1.A.E.&S. Community Health Council-Juniper  1.A.E.&S. Community Health Council-Juniper  500 George St.  500 George St.  Enderby, British Columbia V0E 1V0  Enderby, British Columbia V0E 1V0   2.Enderby & District Memorial Hospital  2.Enderby & District Memorial Hospital  500 George Street  500 George Street  Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250) 838-6441  Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250) 838-6441  V0E 1V0  V0E 1V0   3.Marshall Meadows  3.Marshall Meadows  559 Mable Lake Road  559 Mable Lake Road  Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250) 838-7375  Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250) 838-7375  V0E 1V4  4.Oakside Manor  4.Oakside Manor  Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250) 832-6777  Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250) 832-6777  5.Parkview Place  5.Parkview Place  707-3 Road Ave Box 129  707-3 Road Ave Box 129  Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250) 838-6176  Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250) 838-6176  V0E 1V0  V0E 1V0   6.Pioneer Place  6.Pioneer Place  Box 402 Enderby  Box 402 Enderby  Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250) 838-0037  Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250) 838-0037  V0E 1V0

12 NameStreet Address CityPCodePhoneFaxCare Type UnitsMealscostsNotes Abbeyfield Houses - Armstrong 3725 Wood Ave ArmstrongV0E 1B4(250) 546- 0223 supportive or assisted living 10 unitsLunch and dinner $985Only suitable for those who are mentally alert, can manage daily living tasks and can function socially. House Coordinator lives in the home. Contact: Patti Ferguson 546-3023 www.abbeyfield.ca Eagle Rock Home 1609 Eagle Rock Rd. ArmstrongV0E 1B0(250) 546- 0560 Family Care Home Bedrooms: 3all includ ed $1200 - $1400 cost depends on level of care required, shared bathrooms Marcie’s Xata1264 Otter Lake X Rd ArmstrongV0E 1B6(250) 546- 0557 Family Care Home Bedrooms: 2 & a suite suitable for a couple all includ ed VIP Place1192 Otter Lake X Rd ArmstrongV0E 1B6(250) 546- 6610 Family Care Home Bedrooms: 3all includ ed $1400 - $1600 one has private bathroom Marshall Meadows 559 Mable Lake Rd EnderbyV0E 1V4(250) 838- 7375 Family Care Home Bedrooms: 3all includ ed $1375shared bathrooms Oakside ManorEnderby(250) 832- 6777 supportive or assisted living 20yes Heron Place Seniors Residence 50 8th St NESalmon Arm (250) 804- 0126 family care home bedroom: 10all includ ed $1300Private bedrooms and bathrooms, housekeeping, 24 hour staff, RN on staff, home-like environment Lester's Lodge1591 12th Ave. SE Salmon Arm V1E 2E2(250) 832- 7435 family care home 3 bedroomsall includ ed $1300 - $1400 one has private bathroom McGuire Lake Seniors Lodge Salmon Arm (250) 832- 2129 supportive or assisted living 50yes Piccadilly Terrace PO Box 161, 810-10th Street, S.W. Salmon Arm V1E 4N3 (250) 803- 0060 (250) 803- 0069 supportive or assisted living 91 apartmentslunch & dinner & snack s $1375 - $2050 plus $400 for 2nd person 24 hour security & staff, housekeeping, rec. activities, shuttle bus, all have kitchenettes, most have patios, chef prepared meals. Completion Nov. 2003 www.piccadillyterrace.com Shuswap Lodge Retirement Residence Box 1540 #200-Trans Canada Hwy #1 West Salmon Arm V1E 4P6(250) 832- 7081 (250) 832- 6753 Supportive or assisted living 40 private rooms (about 350sq ft each) all includ ed $1350 - $1800 depending on level of care Started offering assisted personal care in January of 2003, meals, housekeeping, 24-hour emergency response, recreation activities. This building used to be a hotel. Abbeyfield Houses - Vernon Box 416 3511 - 27th Avenue Vernon V1T 6M3 (250) 542- 3711 supportive or assisted living 10 roomsall includ ed $995Contact: Doug Edgar 503-5494 10 rooms - 5 up and 5 down, no pets www.abbeyfield.ca

13 Preliminary Market Depth Table for Large Market Area – Supply in 2003 AREA<$1,000 $1,000- $1,400 $1,401- $1,800 $1,800+TOTALS Armstrong1063019 Enderby03003 Salmon Arm 0619041192 Vernon9515128916551 TOTALS10522138257765

14 Preliminary Market Depth Table for Small Market Area – Supply in 2003 AREA<$1,000 $1,000- $1,400 $1,401- $1,800 $1,800+TOTALS Armstrong1063019 Enderby03003 TOTALS1093021

15 Analyzing the Data Large Mkt.:  18,000 over 75’s  765/18,000 = 4% supply  10% factor = 1,800 units Small Mkt.:  1,147 over 75’s  21/1,147 = 2% supply  10% factor = 115 units Cantebury Court, Vernon

16 Sample Custom Cross-Tab Data – Pop/Income $30,000 to $39,999 V0E Family Persons Owners9456902450 Renters353010 Family Persons Total98072025510 Living Alone Owners125853010 Renters0000 Living Alone Total125853010 V0E Total 110580528520 V1B Family Persons Owners2551658010 Renters01000 Family Persons Total2551758010 Living Alone Owners2015100 Renters20 00 Living Alone Total4035100 V1B Total 2952109010 V1E Family Persons Owners4202901250 Renters01000 Family Persons Total4203001250 Living Alone Owners3520150 Renters0000 Living Alone Total3520150 V1E Total 4553201400 V1T Family Persons Owners5754658515 Renters9055250 Family Persons Total66552011015 Living Alone Owners115455510 Renters4010300 Living Alone Total155558510 V1T Total 82057519525 $30,000 to $39,999 Total 2675191071055

17 Sample Custom Cross-Tab Data – Residency, House Value, Rent TenureFSAValue of Dwelling / Gross Monthly RentAll Ages 72+72 - 8182 - 9192 + Owners V0E $99,999 and under24001445850105 $100,000 to $199,99936052540945110 $200,000 to $299,99994064525525 $300,000 to $399,999265185550 $400,000 to $499,9995035300 $500,000 and over906010 V0E Total 735049102145250 V1B $99,999 and under130802010 $100,000 to $199,99983055527525 $200,000 to $299,999290210600 $300,000 to $399,999957000 $400,000 to $499,999102000 $500,000 and over20 00 V1B Total 137595535535 V1E $99,999 and under48525021030 $100,000 to $199,999123074541060 $200,000 to $299,9993302057520 $300,000 to $399,9994035150 $400,000 to $499,99925100 $500,000 and over204000 V1E Total 21301285710120 V1T $99,999 and under74538028075 $100,000 to $199,999335520151095225 $200,000 to $299,99947533011010 $300,000 to $399,9997550100 $400,000 to $499,999300350 $500,000 and over10 00 V1T Total 469027851530310 Owners Total 1554599354740715 Renters V0E $300 and under2651506045 $301 to $45032018012020 $451 to $60013065500 $601 to $75080602030 $751 to $9007050200 $900 and over201000 V0E Total 88551527095 V1B $300 and under30 010 $301 to $4500000 $451 to $60010 0 $601 to $750100 0 $751 to $900150 0 $900 and over55102015 V1B Total 120505525 V1E $300 and under7550150 $301 to $45085154020 $451 to $600145407035 $601 to $75055352510 $751 to $900200 0 $900 and over10 00 V1E Total 39015017065 V1T $300 and under175956025 $301 to $4501901006515 $451 to $60054521028070 $601 to $750345130 65 $751 to $90065202510 $900 and over115255545 V1T Total 1435580615230 Renters Total 283012951110415 Grand Total 183751123058501130

18 Sample Custom Cross-Tab Data – Homeowners’ Avail. Income for Housing GrossNet70%HouseTotal # of# With Yearly IncomeProceedsYearlyMonthlyOwnersHousing Income Value of DwellingIncome FactorNet Income 77+>$1,800 $99,999 and under $10,000 and under $ 4,500 $ 3,150 $ 1,800 $ 4,950 $ 413 250 $10,000 to $19,999 $ 12,750 $ 8,925 $ 5,100 $ 14,025 $ 1,169 15900 $20,000 to $29,999 $ 20,000 $ 14,000 $ 4,800 $ 18,800 $ 1,567 13000 $30,000 to $39,999 $ 26,250 $ 18,375 $ 4,500 $ 22,875 $ 1,906 400 $40,000 to $49,999 $ 31,500 $ 22,050 $ 4,200 $ 26,250 $ 2,188 255 $50,000 and over $ 35,750 $ 25,025 $ 3,900 $ 28,925 $ 2,410 190 $99,999 and under Total 3760845 $100,000 to $199,999 $10,000 and under $ 4,500 $ 3,150 $ 5,400 $ 8,550 $ 713 700 $10,000 to $19,999 $ 12,750 $ 8,925 $ 5,100 $ 14,025 $ 1,169 22300 $20,000 to $29,999 $ 20,000 $ 14,000 $ 4,800 $ 18,800 $ 1,567 29500 $30,000 to $39,999 $ 26,250 $ 18,375 $ 4,500 $ 22,875 $ 1,906 1690 $40,000 to $49,999 $ 31,500 $ 22,050 $ 4,200 $ 26,250 $ 2,188 905 $50,000 and over $ 35,750 $ 25,025 $ 3,900 $ 28,925 $ 2,410 1175 $100,000 to $199,999 Total 90203770 $200,000 to $299,999 $10,000 and under $ 4,500 $ 3,150 $ 9,000 $ 12,150 $ 1,013 200 $10,000 to $19,999 $ 12,750 $ 8,925 $ 8,500 $ 16,925 $ 1,410 4150 $20,000 to $29,999 $ 20,000 $ 14,000 $ 8,000 $ 21,500 $ 1,792 4500 $30,000 to $39,999 $ 26,250 $ 18,375 $ 7,500 $ 25,375 $ 2,115 350 $40,000 to $49,999 $ 31,500 $ 22,050 $ 7,000 $ 28,550 $ 2,379 215 $50,000 and over $ 35,750 $ 25,025 $ 6,500 $ 25,025 $ 2,085 585 $200,000 to $299,999 Total 20351150 $300,000 to $399,999 $10,000 and under $ 4,500 $ 3,150 $ 12,600 $ 15,750 $ 1,313 300 $10,000 to $19,999 $ 12,750 $ 8,925 $ 11,900 $ 20,825 $ 1,735 400 $20,000 to $29,999 $ 20,000 $ 14,000 $ 11,200 $ 25,200 $ 2,100 105 $30,000 to $39,999 $ 26,250 $ 18,375 $ 10,500 $ 28,875 $ 2,406 40 $40,000 to $49,999 $ 31,500 $ 22,050 $ 9,800 $ 31,850 $ 2,654 135 $50,000 and over $ 35,750 $ 25,025 $ 9,100 $ 34,125 $ 2,844 125 $300,000 to $399,999 Total 475405 $400,000 to $499,999 $10,000 and under $ 4,500 $ 3,150 $ 16,200 $ 19,350 $ 1,613 00 $10,000 to $19,999 $ 12,750 $ 8,925 $ 15,300 $ 24,225 $ 2,019 30 $20,000 to $29,999 $ 20,000 $ 14,000 $ 14,400 $ 28,400 $ 2,367 30 $30,000 to $39,999 $ 26,250 $ 18,375 $ 13,500 $ 31,875 $ 2,656 10 $40,000 to $49,999 $ 31,500 $ 22,050 $ 12,600 $ 34,650 $ 2,888 25 $50,000 and over $ 35,750 $ 25,025 $ 11,700 $ 36,725 $ 3,060 20 $400,000 to $499,999 Total 115 $500,000 and over $10,000 and under $ 4,500 $ 3,150 $ 19,800 $ 22,950 $ 1,913 00 $10,000 to $19,999 $ 12,750 $ 8,925 $ 18,700 $ 27,625 $ 2,302 35 $20,000 to $29,999 $ 20,000 $ 14,000 $ 17,600 $ 31,600 $ 2,633 25 $30,000 to $39,999 $ 26,250 $ 18,375 $ 16,500 $ 34,875 $ 2,906 00 $40,000 to $49,999 $ 31,500 $ 22,050 $ 15,400 $ 37,450 $ 3,121 25 $50,000 and over $ 35,750 $ 25,025 $ 14,300 $ 39,325 $ 3,277 55 $500,000 and over Total 140 Grand Total 155456425

19 Sample Custom Cross-Tab Data –Renters’ Avail. Income for Housing GrossNet70%Total# of# With Yearly IncomeMonthlyRentersHousing Income Income FactorNet IncomeAge 77+>$1,800 $10,000 and under $ 4,500 $ 3,150 $ 263 600 $10,000 to $19,999 $ 12,750 $ 8,925 $ 744 18300 $20,000 to $29,999 $ 20,000 $ 14,000 $ 1,167 6200 $30,000 to $39,999 $ 26,250 $ 18,375 $ 1,531 1850 $40,000 to $49,999 $ 31,500 $ 22,050 $ 1,838 85 $50,000 and over $ 35,750 $ 25,025 $ 2,085 50 2830135

20 Final Supply/Demand Analysis (Preliminary*) Owners 72+ with over $1,800 inc. for housing 6,425 Renters 135 Total qualified in the region 6,560 Existing units 57 Proposed 30 Total units 87 Participation rate: 87/6,560 = 1.3% Shuswap Lodge, Salmon Arm * Requires further analysis of Small Mkt. Area, mobility trends etc.


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