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Assessing Seniors’ Housing Needs in Small Communities The Haugen Centre, Armstrong UBCM – Kelowna – Sept/04 Prepared by Seniorhome (formerly Seniors’ Housing.

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Presentation on theme: "Assessing Seniors’ Housing Needs in Small Communities The Haugen Centre, Armstrong UBCM – Kelowna – Sept/04 Prepared by Seniorhome (formerly Seniors’ Housing."— Presentation transcript:

1 Assessing Seniors’ Housing Needs in Small Communities The Haugen Centre, Armstrong UBCM – Kelowna – Sept/04 Prepared by Seniorhome (formerly Seniors’ Housing Advisory)

2 Overview – Interior Health Authority’s Offer of Property  Workplan to Confirm a Viable Tenant Cluster  Regional Focus and an Open and Inclusive Process

3 The Haugen Story (an example of small community project origins)  Existing lawn bowling green  Old de-commissioned hospital  Formerly donated to the town>>>to the Health Authority  Covenant for “health related uses”

4 The Local Community Context  Existing Seniors’ Community Centre – threatened by competition?  OCP – Affordable and Special Needs Housing Policy Objective support was in place ahead of the subjective initiative Would encourage density bonusing, CD zoning, Council’s initiative thru dev’t. approval process

5 Typical Small Community Factors  Everyone in town knows all that’s going on  Quick consensus and rallying of support  “Public lands” – School sites?>>>School Act asset disposition protocol  “Minor soccer vs. senior comforts” – competing interests? (a Kamloops story)  Smaller pop. = smaller constituencies>>>likelihood of blended user groups w/in seniors’ population  More land avail.>>>”campus of care” likely feasible>>>aging in place and flexible service programs  Urban and rural client groups and supports

6 Vital steps to assessing need  Review existing and anticipated supply  Market segmentation to distinguish:  Housing types: Detached/ Attached/ Old/ New  Service programs: IL, Supportive, Congregate, AL, Licensed Care  Funded from private pay  Demographic analysis of regional population McGuire Lake facility, Salmon Arm

7 Demographic analysis  A blend of precise measurement and intuition  Limited by quality of gross data  Beware the tempting assumptions and extrapolations Pioneer Place, Enderby

8 Small Area Data by FSA  Regional Market Delineation and Map – Large Market Area & Small Market Area  Canada Post Forward Sortation Areas (“FSA’s”)  addition of FSA V1H in Vernon since data collected

9 Armstrong-Spallumcheen Small Market Area Population Projections SOURCE: Interior Health Authority AREA Total Pop % # % # Est. # Arm-Spall LHA 9,8226.6%6446.7% Enderby LHA 7,1707%5039.2% Combined = Sm Mkt Area 16,9921,1471,4621,304

10 Potential Unmet Demand for More Supported Independent Housing for Seniors and Others with Special Needs  Assumption that “Seniors’ Housing” Means “Supported Housing”  Potential New Housing Category: Ownership Tenure, with Support  Measuring Demand and Determining Project Magnitude  >>>Existing and Potential New Seniors’ Housing in the Region Outside Schubert Centre, Vernon

11 List 1 ~ Seniors’ Housing Available in Vernon, Armstrong, Enderby and Salmon Arm – All Program Types  1.A.E.&S. Community Health Council-Juniper  1.A.E.&S. Community Health Council-Juniper  500 George St.  500 George St.  Enderby, British Columbia V0E 1V0  Enderby, British Columbia V0E 1V0   2.Enderby & District Memorial Hospital  2.Enderby & District Memorial Hospital  500 George Street  500 George Street  Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250)  Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250)  V0E 1V0  V0E 1V0   3.Marshall Meadows  3.Marshall Meadows  559 Mable Lake Road  559 Mable Lake Road  Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250)  Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250)  V0E 1V4  4.Oakside Manor  4.Oakside Manor  Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250)  Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250)  5.Parkview Place  5.Parkview Place  Road Ave Box 129  Road Ave Box 129  Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250)  Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250)  V0E 1V0  V0E 1V0   6.Pioneer Place  6.Pioneer Place  Box 402 Enderby  Box 402 Enderby  Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250)  Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250)  V0E 1V0

12 NameStreet Address CityPCodePhoneFaxCare Type UnitsMealscostsNotes Abbeyfield Houses - Armstrong 3725 Wood Ave ArmstrongV0E 1B4(250) supportive or assisted living 10 unitsLunch and dinner $985Only suitable for those who are mentally alert, can manage daily living tasks and can function socially. House Coordinator lives in the home. Contact: Patti Ferguson Eagle Rock Home 1609 Eagle Rock Rd. ArmstrongV0E 1B0(250) Family Care Home Bedrooms: 3all includ ed $ $1400 cost depends on level of care required, shared bathrooms Marcie’s Xata1264 Otter Lake X Rd ArmstrongV0E 1B6(250) Family Care Home Bedrooms: 2 & a suite suitable for a couple all includ ed VIP Place1192 Otter Lake X Rd ArmstrongV0E 1B6(250) Family Care Home Bedrooms: 3all includ ed $ $1600 one has private bathroom Marshall Meadows 559 Mable Lake Rd EnderbyV0E 1V4(250) Family Care Home Bedrooms: 3all includ ed $1375shared bathrooms Oakside ManorEnderby(250) supportive or assisted living 20yes Heron Place Seniors Residence 50 8th St NESalmon Arm (250) family care home bedroom: 10all includ ed $1300Private bedrooms and bathrooms, housekeeping, 24 hour staff, RN on staff, home-like environment Lester's Lodge th Ave. SE Salmon Arm V1E 2E2(250) family care home 3 bedroomsall includ ed $ $1400 one has private bathroom McGuire Lake Seniors Lodge Salmon Arm (250) supportive or assisted living 50yes Piccadilly Terrace PO Box 161, th Street, S.W. Salmon Arm V1E 4N3 (250) (250) supportive or assisted living 91 apartmentslunch & dinner & snack s $ $2050 plus $400 for 2nd person 24 hour security & staff, housekeeping, rec. activities, shuttle bus, all have kitchenettes, most have patios, chef prepared meals. Completion Nov Shuswap Lodge Retirement Residence Box 1540 #200-Trans Canada Hwy #1 West Salmon Arm V1E 4P6(250) (250) Supportive or assisted living 40 private rooms (about 350sq ft each) all includ ed $ $1800 depending on level of care Started offering assisted personal care in January of 2003, meals, housekeeping, 24-hour emergency response, recreation activities. This building used to be a hotel. Abbeyfield Houses - Vernon Box th Avenue Vernon V1T 6M3 (250) supportive or assisted living 10 roomsall includ ed $995Contact: Doug Edgar rooms - 5 up and 5 down, no pets

13 Preliminary Market Depth Table for Large Market Area – Supply in 2003 AREA<$1,000 $1,000- $1,400 $1,401- $1,800 $1,800+TOTALS Armstrong Enderby03003 Salmon Arm Vernon TOTALS

14 Preliminary Market Depth Table for Small Market Area – Supply in 2003 AREA<$1,000 $1,000- $1,400 $1,401- $1,800 $1,800+TOTALS Armstrong Enderby03003 TOTALS

15 Analyzing the Data Large Mkt.:  18,000 over 75’s  765/18,000 = 4% supply  10% factor = 1,800 units Small Mkt.:  1,147 over 75’s  21/1,147 = 2% supply  10% factor = 115 units Cantebury Court, Vernon

16 Sample Custom Cross-Tab Data – Pop/Income $30,000 to $39,999 V0E Family Persons Owners Renters Family Persons Total Living Alone Owners Renters0000 Living Alone Total V0E Total V1B Family Persons Owners Renters01000 Family Persons Total Living Alone Owners Renters20 00 Living Alone Total V1B Total V1E Family Persons Owners Renters01000 Family Persons Total Living Alone Owners Renters0000 Living Alone Total V1E Total V1T Family Persons Owners Renters Family Persons Total Living Alone Owners Renters Living Alone Total V1T Total $30,000 to $39,999 Total

17 Sample Custom Cross-Tab Data – Residency, House Value, Rent TenureFSAValue of Dwelling / Gross Monthly RentAll Ages Owners V0E $99,999 and under $100,000 to $199, $200,000 to $299, $300,000 to $399, $400,000 to $499, $500,000 and over V0E Total V1B $99,999 and under $100,000 to $199, $200,000 to $299, $300,000 to $399, $400,000 to $499, $500,000 and over20 00 V1B Total V1E $99,999 and under $100,000 to $199, $200,000 to $299, $300,000 to $399, $400,000 to $499, $500,000 and over V1E Total V1T $99,999 and under $100,000 to $199, $200,000 to $299, $300,000 to $399, $400,000 to $499, $500,000 and over10 00 V1T Total Owners Total Renters V0E $300 and under $301 to $ $451 to $ $601 to $ $751 to $ $900 and over V0E Total V1B $300 and under $301 to $ $451 to $ $601 to $ $751 to $ $900 and over V1B Total V1E $300 and under $301 to $ $451 to $ $601 to $ $751 to $ $900 and over10 00 V1E Total V1T $300 and under $301 to $ $451 to $ $601 to $ $751 to $ $900 and over V1T Total Renters Total Grand Total

18 Sample Custom Cross-Tab Data – Homeowners’ Avail. Income for Housing GrossNet70%HouseTotal # of# With Yearly IncomeProceedsYearlyMonthlyOwnersHousing Income Value of DwellingIncome FactorNet Income 77+>$1,800 $99,999 and under $10,000 and under $ 4,500 $ 3,150 $ 1,800 $ 4,950 $ $10,000 to $19,999 $ 12,750 $ 8,925 $ 5,100 $ 14,025 $ 1, $20,000 to $29,999 $ 20,000 $ 14,000 $ 4,800 $ 18,800 $ 1, $30,000 to $39,999 $ 26,250 $ 18,375 $ 4,500 $ 22,875 $ 1, $40,000 to $49,999 $ 31,500 $ 22,050 $ 4,200 $ 26,250 $ 2, $50,000 and over $ 35,750 $ 25,025 $ 3,900 $ 28,925 $ 2, $99,999 and under Total $100,000 to $199,999 $10,000 and under $ 4,500 $ 3,150 $ 5,400 $ 8,550 $ $10,000 to $19,999 $ 12,750 $ 8,925 $ 5,100 $ 14,025 $ 1, $20,000 to $29,999 $ 20,000 $ 14,000 $ 4,800 $ 18,800 $ 1, $30,000 to $39,999 $ 26,250 $ 18,375 $ 4,500 $ 22,875 $ 1, $40,000 to $49,999 $ 31,500 $ 22,050 $ 4,200 $ 26,250 $ 2, $50,000 and over $ 35,750 $ 25,025 $ 3,900 $ 28,925 $ 2, $100,000 to $199,999 Total $200,000 to $299,999 $10,000 and under $ 4,500 $ 3,150 $ 9,000 $ 12,150 $ 1, $10,000 to $19,999 $ 12,750 $ 8,925 $ 8,500 $ 16,925 $ 1, $20,000 to $29,999 $ 20,000 $ 14,000 $ 8,000 $ 21,500 $ 1, $30,000 to $39,999 $ 26,250 $ 18,375 $ 7,500 $ 25,375 $ 2, $40,000 to $49,999 $ 31,500 $ 22,050 $ 7,000 $ 28,550 $ 2, $50,000 and over $ 35,750 $ 25,025 $ 6,500 $ 25,025 $ 2, $200,000 to $299,999 Total $300,000 to $399,999 $10,000 and under $ 4,500 $ 3,150 $ 12,600 $ 15,750 $ 1, $10,000 to $19,999 $ 12,750 $ 8,925 $ 11,900 $ 20,825 $ 1, $20,000 to $29,999 $ 20,000 $ 14,000 $ 11,200 $ 25,200 $ 2, $30,000 to $39,999 $ 26,250 $ 18,375 $ 10,500 $ 28,875 $ 2, $40,000 to $49,999 $ 31,500 $ 22,050 $ 9,800 $ 31,850 $ 2, $50,000 and over $ 35,750 $ 25,025 $ 9,100 $ 34,125 $ 2, $300,000 to $399,999 Total $400,000 to $499,999 $10,000 and under $ 4,500 $ 3,150 $ 16,200 $ 19,350 $ 1, $10,000 to $19,999 $ 12,750 $ 8,925 $ 15,300 $ 24,225 $ 2, $20,000 to $29,999 $ 20,000 $ 14,000 $ 14,400 $ 28,400 $ 2, $30,000 to $39,999 $ 26,250 $ 18,375 $ 13,500 $ 31,875 $ 2, $40,000 to $49,999 $ 31,500 $ 22,050 $ 12,600 $ 34,650 $ 2, $50,000 and over $ 35,750 $ 25,025 $ 11,700 $ 36,725 $ 3, $400,000 to $499,999 Total 115 $500,000 and over $10,000 and under $ 4,500 $ 3,150 $ 19,800 $ 22,950 $ 1, $10,000 to $19,999 $ 12,750 $ 8,925 $ 18,700 $ 27,625 $ 2, $20,000 to $29,999 $ 20,000 $ 14,000 $ 17,600 $ 31,600 $ 2, $30,000 to $39,999 $ 26,250 $ 18,375 $ 16,500 $ 34,875 $ 2, $40,000 to $49,999 $ 31,500 $ 22,050 $ 15,400 $ 37,450 $ 3, $50,000 and over $ 35,750 $ 25,025 $ 14,300 $ 39,325 $ 3, $500,000 and over Total 140 Grand Total

19 Sample Custom Cross-Tab Data –Renters’ Avail. Income for Housing GrossNet70%Total# of# With Yearly IncomeMonthlyRentersHousing Income Income FactorNet IncomeAge 77+>$1,800 $10,000 and under $ 4,500 $ 3,150 $ $10,000 to $19,999 $ 12,750 $ 8,925 $ $20,000 to $29,999 $ 20,000 $ 14,000 $ 1, $30,000 to $39,999 $ 26,250 $ 18,375 $ 1, $40,000 to $49,999 $ 31,500 $ 22,050 $ 1, $50,000 and over $ 35,750 $ 25,025 $ 2,

20 Final Supply/Demand Analysis (Preliminary*) Owners 72+ with over $1,800 inc. for housing 6,425 Renters 135 Total qualified in the region 6,560 Existing units 57 Proposed 30 Total units 87 Participation rate: 87/6,560 = 1.3% Shuswap Lodge, Salmon Arm * Requires further analysis of Small Mkt. Area, mobility trends etc.


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