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Sustainable Investing in the Anthropocene State of Missouri Pension.

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Presentation on theme: "Sustainable Investing in the Anthropocene State of Missouri Pension."— Presentation transcript:

1 Sustainable Investing in the Anthropocene State of Missouri Pension Funds June 12, 2012

2 1. Context: Not your grandmother’s SRI/ESG talk 1. Context: Not your grandmother’s SRI/ESG talk 2. Long View Implication: This time IS different 2. Long View Implication: This time IS different

3 Anyone who believes exponential growth can go on forever in a finite world is either a madman or an economist. - Kenneth Boulding, Economist, Quaker, Co-Creator of General Systems Theory

4 The most powerful force in the universe is compound interest. - Albert Einstein*

5 May 30, 2011

6 Exponential growth leads to ecosystem crisis ” Safe Operating Space”, J. Rockstrom, National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis

7 Ecological Overshoot: We use 1.5 planets ” Footprint Network.org

8 GDP growth does not equal well-being Source: Redefining Progress

9 Sustainability Optimum Efficiency 100% 0% Resilience Source: Lietaer, Ulanowicz, Goerner 2008 We know what sustainability looks like Collapse of Financial System

10 Economic Efficiency Economy Finance What’s wrong with this picture? Desired Outcome Planet

11 Lost in finance: So clever, so ignorant Our economy has become an anti- economy, a financial system without a sound economic basis and without economic virtues. - Wendell Berry

12 Money, Banking, Finance & Investment: Designed for growth

13 Landing the plane will be a turbulent affair

14 Stranded Assets: our $20 T “Big Choice” 2 degree warming limit: 565 GtC02 “Proved Reserves” have 5X this amount 74% owned by States, 24% by companies At current market value, $20 trillion choice Source: Potsdam Institute and “Unburnable Carbon”, Carbon Tracker Report

15 $20 Trillion of denial goes a long way…

16 Ecological overshoot = Financial Overshoot What’s the off balance sheet ecological debt? What’s the P/E of a “steady state” economy? What’s the debt capacity of the steady state? What’s the unfunded pension liability of a SS?

17 Financial reform: Rearranging deckchairs May 26, 2011

18 1. Context: Not your grandmother’s SRI/ESG talk 1. Context: Not your grandmother’s SRI/ESG talk 2. Long View Implications: This time IS different 2. Long View Implications: This time IS different

19 The situation is hopeless, but I could be wrong. - Ted Turner, quoting his former Foundation head.

20 Towards a Regenerative Economy Holistic frame: nature as model Redefine wealth: natural/social capital The humble retreat of finance Public interest in capital investment – an opportunity for leadership

21 A unique moment in history for Fiduciaries Years of focus on fiduciary duty of prudence has generated myopic investment herding behaviors, undermined intergenerational pension equity… - “Reclaming Fiduciary Duty”, James Hawley, Keith Johnson, Ed Waitzer

22 What’s different this time Cycles within seismic shift -- downside shock bias Caution: Steady state = revaluation Long run not sum of short runs Uncertainty different than risk There is “no sideline”

23 What’s different this time Schumpeter’s “creative destruction” on steroids MPT built on flawed assumptions Index benchmarking and tracking strategies exposed Asset class diversification a mirage

24 ESG framework: Integrated reporting Unparalleled Leadership: Jochen Zeitz 2010 Earnings: Euro 202mm 2010 “E P&L”: (Euro 145 mm)

25 Investment themes for the Anthropocene Reassert owner responsibility: Active concentrated ownership of resilient cash flow/dividends Diversify systemic risks

26 Investment themes for the Anthropocene Low carbon energy infrastructure Ecosystem regeneration Technology Emerging markets Distress/opportunistic

27 Investment is the bridge to the economy we need. And the steering wheel. We are called to be the architects of the future, not its victims. - R. Buckminster Fuller- R. Buckminster Fuller

28 Thank you


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