Presentation on theme: "Horizon 2023 National Enrollment Projections and the Role of California Dr. Lisa Castellino Institutional Research and Planning Data sourced from NCES."— Presentation transcript:
1Horizon 2023National Enrollment Projections and the Role of CaliforniaDr. Lisa CastellinoInstitutional Research and PlanningData sourced from NCES Projections of Educational Statistics 2022 William J Hussar, National Center for Education Statistics and Tabitha M. Bailey, IHS Global Insight NCES
2Projected percentage change in the number of public high school graduates by state: School years throughWashingtonMontanaNorth DakotaWyomingOregonIdahoSouth DakotaMinnesotaNebraskaIowaWisconsinNevadaCaliforniaUtahColoradoKansasNew MexicoArizonaTexasOklahomaArkansasAlaskaHawaiiMissouriIllinoisKentuckyMichiganIndianaOhioTennesseeWest VirginiaLouisianaAlabamaNorth CarolinaGeorgiaSouth CarolinaFloridaVirginiaPennsylvaniaNew YorkMaineNew HampshireVermontRhode IslandConnecticutNew JerseyMarylandDelawareMassMississippiCalifornia’s growth will be somewhat slower than neighboring western states.Looking ahead, the West will continue to see growth in high school graduates while the Northeast will continue to see declines.Summary:*Decrease 10% between and in the Northeast*Decrease 8% in the Midwest*Increase 9% in the South*Increase 5% in the West>=5% higher<5% higher<5% lower>=5% lower
3Projected numbers for enrollment in PUBLIC 4-year postsecondary degree-granting institutions IntegratedPostsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS), “Fall Enrollment Survey” (IPEDS-EF:97–99);IPEDS Spring 2001 through Spring 2012, Enrollment component; and Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions Model, 1980–2011. (This table was prepared February 2013.)By 2022, Women are still expected to outpace men in enrollments in both number and percent change. 11% Female, 7% Male.
4Projected numbers for bachelor’s degrees conferred by ALL postsecondary degree-granting institutions: GenderBy 2022, Women are still expected to outpace men in degree conferrals in both number and percent change. 11% Female, 5% Male.
5Projected numbers for enrollment in ALL postsecondary degree-granting institutions: Ethnicity By 2022, the number of Hispanic degree conferrals is projected to increase by 20%, while Black, Non-Hispanic is projected to increase by about 16%Actual and projected numbers for enrollment of U.S. residents in all postsecondary degree-granting institutions, by race/ethnicity: Fall 1997 through fall 2022[NOTE: Race categories exclude persons of Hispanic ethnicity. Because of underreporting andnonreporting of racial/ethnic data and nonresident aliens, totals are lower than corresponding datain other published tables. Enrollment data in the “race/ethnicity unknown” (all years) and “two ormore races” (2008 through 2011 only) categories of the Integrated Postsecondary EducationData System (IPEDS) “Enrollment component” have been prorated to the other racial/ethnic cate-gories at the institutional level. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Mean absolutepercentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A. Somedata have been revised from previously published figures.SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, IntegratedPostsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS), “Fall Enrollment Survey” (IPEDS-EF:97–99);IPEDS Spring 2001 through Spring 2012, Enrollment component; and Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions by Race/Ethnicity Model, 1980–2011. (This table was prepared March 2013.)
6Fastest Growing Occupations to 2022 Requiring a Four-Year Degree: Percent Change 2012-2022