1. Organised by United Nations Statistics Division (UNSD) in conjunction with the African Centre for Statistics Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, 14 – 18 September 2009 Workshop on 2010 World Programme on Population and Housing Censuses: Census Evaluation and Post Enumeration Surveys

2. Country Experience Presented by Mrs. N.Gujadhur Central Statistics Office Mauritius September 2009 September 2009

4. Islands of Mauritius and Rodrigues Capital: Port Louis Capital: Port Louis Population : 1.28 mn Population : 1.28 mn Population growth rate: 0.5% Population growth rate: 0.5% Area: 2,040 km2 Area: 2,040 km2 Population density: 625 persons/km 2 Population density: 625 persons/km 2 Monetary unit: MRupees Monetary unit: MRupees Literacy rate : 85% Literacy rate : 85% Languages: English & French Languages: English & French

5. Census taking in Mauritius Census taking in Mauritius Evaluation of the 2000 Census Evaluation of the 2000 Census Previous Census evaluations Previous Census evaluations Census Errors Census Errors Demographic Methods for census evaluation Demographic Methods for census evaluation Outline

6. 1st complete Census in the Island of Mauritius was undertaken in 1735 1st complete Census in the Island of Mauritius was undertaken in 1735 Since then, censuses have been taken in 1846, 1851 and every 10 years up to 1931. Since then, censuses have been taken in 1846, 1851 and every 10 years up to 1931. After the 2nd World War, the ten-yearly programme was resumed and Housing and Population censuses were undertaken in: After the 2nd World War, the ten-yearly programme was resumed and Housing and Population censuses were undertaken in: 1952, 1962, 1972, 1952, 1962, 1972, 1983, 1990 and 2000 1983, 1990 and 2000 Next census => 2011 Next census => 2011 Census taking in Mauritius

7. Census Organisation The 2000 Housing & Population Census (HPC) was conducted in the Island of Mauritius, Rodrigues and Agalega. 1st round - Housing Census 1st round - Housing Census – Chief Enumerators enumerated all buildings, housing units, households, commercial establishments, hotels, institutions etc. 2nd round - Population Census 2nd round - Population Census – Enumerators enumerated all persons present on census night as well as usual residents who were away on census night.

8. 2000 Census Data Evaluation Census Evaluation  Main objectives To identify the types & sources of errors To identify the types & sources of errors To measure accuracy of data To measure accuracy of data To adjust the data where necessary To adjust the data where necessary  Different methods of evaluation Matching studies - e.g Post Enumeration Surveys Matching studies - e.g Post Enumeration Surveys Non-Matching studies Non-Matching studies  Mauritius => Census evaluation through Demographic methods using previous censuses and comparisons with administrative data.

9. Previous Demographic Census Evaluation Previous Demographic Census Evaluation  1 st census for which data evaluation was carried out => 1952.  1962 and 1972 => census evaluated by Experts appointed under the UN Programme of Technical Co-operation.  1983 and 1990 => census evaluated by local staff under the guidance of UNECA Expert.  2000 census => census data evaluation were carried out by local staff. 2000 Census Data Evaluation

10. Census Errors Census Errors  Census => massive data collection, errors may creep in at any stage of data collection and processing. These errors are:- These errors are:- (i) Coverage Error => error in the count of persons /housing units (i) Coverage Error => error in the count of persons /housing units (ii) Content Error => error in the recorded characteristics of those persons that were enumerated in the Census (ii) Content Error => error in the recorded characteristics of those persons that were enumerated in the Census 2000 Census Data Evaluation

11. (i) Coverage Error (i) Coverage Error Coverage Error => non-sampling error that may have occurred during 2000 Census. Coverage Error => non-sampling error that may have occurred during 2000 Census.  Omission - Omitting a unit that should have been included.  Duplication - Including a unit more than once.  Erroneous - Including a unit that should not have been included. 2000 Census Data Evaluation

12. Demographic methods used in Mauritius for detecting coverage error - C2000 Demographic methods used in Mauritius for detecting coverage error - C2000  1. Balancing equation by sex  2. Growth rate  3. Age and sex composition  4. Sex ratio  5. Child-woman ratio  6. Population Estimates  7. External consistency checks 2000 Census Data Evaluation

13. 1. Balancing equation by sex 1. Balancing equation by sex  Comparing the 2000 Enumerated Population with the Expected population based on the 1990 census.  So, when compared to international norms, a net deficit of 0.4% is acceptable. Expected 2000 Population Enumerated Population - 2000 Census Excess of Enumerated over expected 1990 Enumerated Pop.1,056,660 1990 - 2000 + Live Births211,689 - Deaths(75,425) + Arrival of Mauritian Residents1,111,526 - Departure of Maurt. Residents(1,120857) Expected Population-Year 20001,183,773 Enumerated Population1,178,848 Excess - Enumerated /Expected-4,925 (-0.4%) 2000 Census Data Evaluation

14. 2. Growth Rate 2. Growth Rate  Inter-censal growth rates can also help in the evaluation of census data.  A low rate of growth would be suggestive of net under enumeration in the 2 nd census relative to the 1 st census or over enumeration of the 1 st census relative to the 2 nd census.  In Mauritius, the natural Growth rate shows a smooth decline over time. Inter - censal period Net Growth Rate (%) Natural Growth Rate(%) 1962 - 19721.972.39 1972 - 19831.481.81 1983 - 19900.791.30 1990 - 20001.101.22 2000 Census Data Evaluation

15. 3. Age and sex Composition 3. Age and sex Composition  The age and sex distribution (%) of the population for different censuses is also used to compare the Enumerated Population.  A decrease in the proportion of children aged(0–4) and (5 –14) and a general increase in the proportion aged 60 years and above can be observed from one census to another. (5 –14) and a general increase in the proportion aged 60 years and above can be observed from one census to another. Age Group Census 1972 (%)1983 (%)1990 (%)2000 (%) 0 - 412.411.79.28.0 5 - 1428.020.820.517.2 15 – 4442.749.651.150.8 45 – 5911.010.9 14.9 60+5.97.08.39.1 2000 Census Data Evaluation

16. 3. Age and Sex Composition (cont’d) 3. Age and Sex Composition (cont’d)  A Population Pyramid showing the 1990 and 2000 % population by age and sex. 2000 Census Data Evaluation

17. 4. Sex ratio 4. Sex ratio  The sex ratio is defined as the number of males per 100 females. It measures the composition of the population enumerated at a particular age with respect to sex.  Unless affected by errors, the sex ratio of the enumerated census population, should be relatively stable from one census to another.  Significant departures from this pattern would indicate coverage error in the enumerated population. Census Year19621972198319902000 Sex ratio100.8100.299.299.898.1 2000 Census Data Evaluation

18. 5. Child Woman ratio 5. Child Woman ratio  The Child-woman ratio is defined as the number of children aged 0-4 years per 1,000 women in the age group 15 – 44 years. The child–woman ratio are in line with the fertility decline registered over the past decades. 19831990 2000 Republic of Mauritius 473.7363.3316.7 2000 Census Data Evaluation

19. 6. Population Estimates 6. Population Estimates  This method of evaluation entails the projection of the 1 st census forward in time to the 2 nd census based on estimated: – mortality rates – fertility rates – net migration rates  These rates were applied to the 1990 Population Census and the expected population derived in this manner was then compared with the 2000 enumerated population. 2000 Census Data Evaluation

20. 7. External Consistency Checks  (i) Vital Registration System  Mauritius has a very good vital registration system. Counts of persons derived from Civil Status Division of Mauritius is complete, and provide valuable information on the accuracy of the census enumeration.  Births and deaths registration has been used to assess census coverage of the population at youngest ages, which are usually under-enumerated.  For the 2000 Population Census, adjustments for the under- enumeration of young children aged 0-9 ( 4,456 male and 3,569 female) were made to compensate this population coverage. 2000 Census Data Evaluation

21.  (ii) Education Statistics  Comparison of Population Census with education statistics is another external source of data with which Census data was compared.  Data from the 2000 survey conducted in March by the Ministry of Education was compared with census data on students currently going to school. MaleFemale Age Group 2000 Census Data School Statistics % Difference 2000 Census Data School Statistics % Difference 5 - 952,70256,172-6.251,86055,147-6.0 10 - 1444,86243,1044.144,22242,7703.4 15 - 1925,95223,19211.925,63523,09511.0 5 - 19123,516122,4680.9121,717121,0120.6 2000 Census Data Evaluation

22.  (iii) Housing Census Count  Comparison of Population Census with Housing Census count Housing Census was conducted from February to April 2000 Population Census was taken at the beginning of July 2000. 2000 Housing Census - February- April 2000 Population - July % Difference Private Households 297,881296,8320.4 Population1,168,4951,165,5700.3  Thus, minor differences of around 0.3% in the population figures and 0.4% in the household figures are observed. 2000 Census Data Evaluation

23. Content Errors Content Errors  Age profile of the population is one of the basic information. It is therefore very important to evaluate the accuracy of the age distribution. (i) Digit Preference (i) Digit Preference  Digit preference or age heaping is a common error that occurs in the age reporting.  It appears that there is a slight preference for the digit 0 among both males and females. 2000 Census Data Evaluation

24. (i) Digit Preference (cont’d) (i) Digit Preference (cont’d)  The table below shows the most preferred digits by sex - 1990 & 2000 Censuses  It is observed that preference for digit 0 has persisted from 1990 to 2000 Census. However, the preferred digit has shifted from 5 in 1990 to 2 in 2000 for female. Census Year IndexRepublic of Mauritius MaleFemale 1990Myer’s0,55,0 P.P.I0,5,65,0,2 2000Myer’s00,2 P.P.I0,90,2 2000 Census Data Evaluation

25. (i) Digit Preference (cont’d) (i) Digit Preference (cont’d)  The table below shows Indices for digit preference -1990 & 2000 Censuses  Both the Myer’s Index and the Preference Pattern Index (PPI) show no marked digit preference in age reporting at the Census. (0 = no digit preference & 180 for absolute digit preference) Digit Republic of Mauritius MaleFemale Myer’sP.P.IMyer’sP.P.I 2000 Index2.02.31.92.1 1990 Index2.42.9 3.3 2000 Census Data Evaluation

26.  (ii) Vertical consistency checks for age-reporting error  To quantify the degree of age - sex reporting errors, various indices such as the Age Ratio Score; the Sex Ratio Score and the UN Age-Sex Accuracy Index/UN Joint Score have been calculated for the population aged under 70 years.  The census data is considered to be “accurate”, inaccurate” or “highly inaccurate” depending on whether the UN Age- Sex Accuracy Index is under 20, 20 - 40 or 40 and over respectively.  Thus, the 2000 census data was considered as accurate. UN Age - Sex Accuracy Index Census 19902000 UN Joint Scores17.318.3 2000 Census Data Evaluation

27. Cohort survival ratiosOverall survival ratios AgeMaleFemaleAgeMaleFemale 0-40.97190.98420+0.91300.9369 5-90.98150.98485+0.90510.9309 10-140.96390.994410+0.89570.9244 15-190.94950.980915+0.88520.9140 20-240.95310.986420+0.87530.9041 25-290.96150.969825+0.86000.8891 30-340.95980.972430+0.83450.8704 35-390.94790.971835+0.79860.8441 40-440.92250.961840+0.74920.8071 45-490.87770.932645+0.69410.7636 50-540.82880.909150+0.63890.7182 55-590.74950.850455+0.57440.6609 60-640.64310.758660+0.50340.5970 65-690.53500.684365+0.41740.5175 70-740.39880.550170+0.31220.4083 75+0.22110.306575+0.22110.3065 All ages0.91300.9369  (iii) Diagonal consistency checks  The quality of census data can also be assessed by the analysis of cohort survival ratios.  The cohort survival ratio is the ratio of the population of a particular age group at a given census to the population ten years younger in the preceding census. The survival ratio is expected to decrease smoothly with increasing age. 2000 Census Data Evaluation

28. Thank you For additional information, go to: http://www.gov.mu/portal/sites/ncb/cso/report/hpcen00/census3/index.htm