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Chapter 2 Observing and Explaining the Economy What Do Economists Do?

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1 Chapter 2 Observing and Explaining the Economy What Do Economists Do?

2 Economists try to answer questions such as: Why is college tuition so high? Why are there so many different types of toothpaste? Why is the price of gasoline more than $3 a gallon? Why has health-care spending increased faster than the rest of the U.S. economy?

3 What Do Economists Do? Why is the average income of people in the United States 35 times higher than that of people in China? Why is unemployment higher in Europe than in the United States? Why have the wages of college graduates increased much more rapidly than the wages of non-graduates?

4 What Do Economists Do? Understanding Gasoline Prices in the United States Understanding Gasoline Prices in the United States  Observation:  Observation: The price of gasoline has risen sharply in the past five years compared to the previous decade.

5 Figure 1: Retail Price of Gasoline in the United States, 1991–2006

6 Relative price of gasoline What Do Economists Do? = _____________________________________ Price of Gasoline Average Price of All Other Goods and Services Relative Price of Gasoline: Relative Price of Gasoline: the price of gasoline compared to the average price of all other goods and services in the economy.

7 Figure 2: Relative Price of Gasoline

8 Explaining an Economic Event Economic Variable: Economic Variable: any economic measure that can vary over a range of values. Economic Variables: Economic Variables: Examples a)GDP b)Health-care spending c)Health-care spending share of GDP d)Relative price of health care

9 Explaining an Economic Event Positive Correlation: Positive Correlation: occurs when two variables move in the same direction; when one goes up, the other goes up. Negative Correlation: Negative Correlation: occurs when two variables move in different directions; when one goes up, the other goes down.

10 Figure 4: Price of Gasoline versus Price of Crude Oil

11 Explaining an Economic Event Correlation versus Causation Correlation: Correlation: means that one event is usually observed to occur along with another. Causation: Causation: means that one event brings about another event. Note: Note: Correlation does not imply causation.

12 Controlled Experiments: Controlled Experiments: empirical tests of theories in a controlled setting in which particular effects can be isolated. Experimental Economics: Experimental Economics: a branch of economics that uses laboratory experiments to analyze economic behavior. Explaining an Economic Event

13 Economic Models Economic Model: Economic Model: an explanation of how the economy or part of the economy works; an abstraction or simplification of the real world.

14 Economic Models Microeconomics: Microeconomics: the branch of economics that examines individual decision-making at firms and households and the way they interact in specific industries and markets. Macroeconomics: Macroeconomics: the branch of economics that examines the workings and problems of the economy as a whole; focuses on variables such as GDP growth and unemployment.

15 Positively Related: Positively Related: a situation in which an increase in one variable is associated with an increase in another variable (also called directly related). Negatively Related: Negatively Related: a situation in which an increase in one variable is associated with a decrease in another variable (also called inversely related). Economic Models


17 Economic Models: An Example A Model with Two Variables: Figure 6 illustrates four different ways to model the economic relationship between the number of doctors employed at an HMO and the number of physical examinations given. The four ways are: (1) with words; (2) with a numerical value; (3) with a graph; and (4) with algebra or an equation.

18 Figure 7: Economic Models in Four Ways

19 The Ceteris Paribus Assumption Ceteris Paribus: Ceteris Paribus: “all other things equal”; refers to holding all other variables constant or keeping all other things the same when one variable is changed.

20 Recommending Appropriate Policies Capitalism:Capitalism: an economic system in which capital is individually owned and production and employment decisions are decentralized. Socialism:Socialism: an economic system in which the government owns and controls all the capital and makes decisions about prices and quantities. Mixed Economy:Mixed Economy: a market economy in which the government plays a very large role.

21 Positive versus Normative Economics Positive Economics Positive Economics: economic analysis that explains what happens in the economy and why, without making recommendations about economic policy. Examples of the scope of positive economics: a)Explaining why health-care spending slowed down in the mid-1990s b)Explaining why gasoline prices went up sharply in 2005

22 Positive versus Normative Economics Normative Economics: Normative Economics: economic analysis that makes recommendations about economic policy; aims to develop and recommend policies about what the government should do. Examples of the scope of normative economics: a)Recommending policies that will prevent the rise of health-care expenditures in the future b)Recommending that the government increase tax rates to prevent a budget deficit

23 Council of Economic Advisers: Council of Economic Advisers: a three-member group of economists appointed by the president of the United States to analyze the economy and make recommendations about economic policy. Positive versus Normative Economics

24 Conclusion Three important points to remember as we study more economic models:Three important points to remember as we study more economic models: 1.Economics requires a mixture of verbal and quantitative skills. 2.Economics is a wide-ranging discipline; it is more than just about the stock market. 3.The study of economics is an intellectually fascinating adventure.

25 Key Terms relative pricerelative price economic variableeconomic variable controlled experimentscontrolled experiments experimental economicsexperimental economics economic modeleconomic model microeconomicsmicroeconomics macroeconomicsmacroeconomics gross domestic product (GDP)gross domestic product (GDP) positively relatedpositively related negatively relatednegatively related ceteris paribusceteris paribus capitalismcapitalism socialismsocialism mixed economymixed economy positive economicspositive economics normative economicsnormative economics Council of Economic AdvisersCouncil of Economic Advisers

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