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1 Chapter 5 Investment Policy. 2 We investment professionals also need to keep in mind that some who participate in our investment decisions will be younger.

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Presentation on theme: "1 Chapter 5 Investment Policy. 2 We investment professionals also need to keep in mind that some who participate in our investment decisions will be younger."— Presentation transcript:

1 1 Chapter 5 Investment Policy

2 2 We investment professionals also need to keep in mind that some who participate in our investment decisions will be younger and less experienced than we are; some, perhaps the most influential, will be older and more powerful but may be far less experienced with investing. They may care greatly about the fund being discussed but may not be expert in investing. We, as professionals, must manage their understanding. - Charles D. Ellis

3 3 Outline u Introduction u The purpose of investment policy u Elements of a useful investment policy u Risk and return considerations: different investors u Critiquing and revising the investment policy statement

4 4 Introduction u Investment policy is a statement about the objectives, risk tolerance, and constraints the portfolio faces u Investment management is the practice of attempting to achieve the objectives while staying within the established constraints

5 5 Introduction (cont’d) u A statement of investment policy may be required in many cases E.g., ERISA

6 6 Introduction (cont’d) u This chapter addresses: Why an investment policy statement is important How you go about creating one What should be in it

7 7 Example of A Policy Statement

8 8 The Purpose of Investment Policy u Outline expectations and responsibilities u Identify objectives and constraints u Outline eligible asset classes and their permissible uses u Provide a mechanism for evaluation

9 9 Outline Expectations and Responsibilities u Introduction u Responsibilities and knowledge needs of informed clients u The investment manager’s responsibilities

10 10 Introduction u Investment policy is the responsibility of the client E.g., a individual, an endowment fund’s board u Investment management is the responsibility of the money manager E.g., a bank trust department, a brokerage firm

11 11 Responsibilities and Knowledge Needs of Informed Clients 1)The client must set explicit investment policies consistent with his objectives Set the investment objective Understand how the statement promotes the accomplishment of the objectives

12 12 Responsibilities and Knowledge Needs of Informed Clients 2)The client must define long-range objectives appropriate to the fund A short-term focus may lead to suboptimal investment performance

13 13 Responsibilities and Knowledge Needs of Informed Clients 3) The client must ensure the managers are following the investment policy Clients need an interest in understanding their own interest Clients need an appreciation of the fundamental nature of capital markets Clients need the discipline to work out the basic policies that will succeed in achieving their realistic investment objectives

14 14 The Investment Manager’s Responsibilities uEducate the client about infeasible objectives uDevelop an appropriate asset allocation and investment strategy uCommunicate the essential characteristics of the portfolio to the client

15 15 The Investment Manager’s Responsibilities (cont’d) 4)Monitor and revise the portfolio as necessary Clients are entitled to progress reports from the investment manager It is periodically necessary to revise the portfolio because of changes in market conditions

16 16 The Investment Manager’s Responsibilities (cont’d) 5)Ensure there is a mechanism for learning when a client’s needs change E.g., marriage, children, health expenditures A material change in an investor’s situation may require substantial changes in the portfolio asset allocation, the time horizon, risk tolerance, or return requirements

17 17 Identify Objectives and Constraints u Introduction u Individual investors u Charitable portfolios u Institutional portfolios u Other considerations

18 18 Introduction u Objective setting should include: A target return An appropriate level of risk

19 19 Individual Investors u Bailard, Biehl, and Kaiser classification: Careful Impetuous Confident Anxious IndividualistAdventurer Guardian Celebrity

20 20 Individual Investors (cont’d) u Guardians take forever to make a decision and then worry constantly about it Stability of principal or income are appropriate objectives u Celebrities make decisions quickly Like investment fads and worry about being left out

21 21 Individual Investors (cont’d) u Adventurers make decisions quickly and feel good about them Often have substantial stock market experience Seek capital appreciation u Individualists are both careful and confident Will listen to advice, read research reports, and investigate investment alternatives u Straight arrows move between the two dimensions

22 22 Charitable Portfolios u An endowment fund is a perpetual portfolio designed to benefit both current citizens and future generations E.g., churches, the public library, the YWCA, environmental groups, etc. u A foundation is an organization designed to aid the arts, education, research, or welfare in general Organizes as either a trust or as a nonprofit corporation

23 23 Charitable Portfolios (cont’d) u Creative tension between the needs of current beneficiaries and the future beneficiaries for an endowment fund Avoid short-term thinking when portfolio needs are long term –Myopic loss aversion: investors are more sensitive to losses than to gains

24 24 Institutional Portfolios u Insurance companies and pension funds have special needs: E.g., defined benefit retirement plans must ensure they will be able to meet payments

25 25 Other Considerations u Real risk u Emotional reactions u Investment committee’s knowledge u Other capital or income sources u Legal restrictions u Unanticipated consequences of interim fluctuations

26 26 Real Risk u The consequences of a loss vary widely, depending on the circumstances E.g., a professional in his peak earning years versus a retired widow

27 27 Emotional Reactions u BBK framework E.g., a guardian is unable to ignore a loss in portfolio value

28 28 Investment Committee’s Knowledge u The investment committee: Should differentiate between fact and opinion Should be honest in assessing the committee ability and seek professional assistance when appropriate

29 29 Other Capital or Income Sources u How important is the particular portfolio to the client’s overall financial position? There is no requirement that an investor keep all of his money with one brokerage firm, trust department, or money manager The client may be diversified even if it does not appear so

30 30 Legal Restrictions u Some states have a legal list outlining permissible investment E.g., insurance companies may not buy junk bonds

31 31 Unanticipated Consequences of Interim Fluctuations u Fluctuations may not matter in the short run in theory, but this may not be the case in practice E.g., an endowment fund that needs to generate money for annual scholarships

32 32 Outline Eligible Asset Classes and Their Permissible Uses u There is substantial evidence that the asset allocation decision is the single most important investment decision investors make Affects long-term rates of return more than security selection, market timing, or taxes

33 33 Outline Eligible Asset Classes and Their Permissible Uses u An asset class is a logical subgroup of the set of investment alternatives E.g., equities, bonds, and cash u Asset allocation is the relative proportion of money distributed across the various asset classes

34 34 Provide A Mechanism for Evaluation u The dual aspect of evaluation u Choosing the benchmark

35 35 The Dual Aspect of Evaluation u An effective performance evaluation should: 1)Confirm that the manager managed in a way he was hired to manage –E.g., an equity manager should not be 75% in cash

36 36 The Dual Aspect of Evaluation (cont’d) u An effective performance evaluation should: 2)Evaluate how well the manager did it –How well did the portfolio do relative to other portfolios comparable in risk and security composition? E.g., a stock portfolio that loses 2% when the market is down 15% performed well

37 37 Choosing the Benchmark u Determining the benchmark is an integral part of setting investment policy u A benchmark can be absolute E.g., a 10% rate of return u A benchmark can be relative E.g., top quarter

38 38 Choosing the Benchmark (cont’d) u A good benchmark should: Be investable –It should be a viable investment alternative Be specified in advance –E.g., median manager performance is not known until the end of the evaluation period Be unambiguous –The securities that comprise the benchmark and the relative proportion each occupies should be known

39 39 Elements of A Useful Investment Policy u Return u Risk u Constraints

40 40 Return u Reasonable and unreasonable objectives u A note on total return

41 41 Reasonable and Unreasonable Objectives u The investment policy statement should specify a target return The level of performance the fund seeks to obtain The chosen target should be feasible and consistent with the marketplace

42 42 Reasonable and Unreasonable Objectives (cont’d) u Examples of feasible return objectives: A long-term average rate of return of 10 percent Over a five-year period, achieve a rate of return of at least 80 percent of the S&P 500 index Reach a terminal value of $1 million by a certain future time

43 43 Reasonable and Unreasonable Objectives (cont’d) u Examples of infeasible return objectives: Maintain purchasing power with 100 percent probability Earn at least a 10 percent rate of return each calendar year Ensure that the value of the fund never falls below the principal and produce an annual yield of 7 percent

44 44 A Note on Total Return u Total return is a function of both income received and realized or unrealized gains on the portfolio components In the past, come portfolios allowed only interest and dividends could be spent Most states have adopted the Uniform Management of Institutional Funds Act, which allows an institution to spend income plus a “prudent” portfolio of capital gains

45 45 Risk u Introduction u Views of risk u The manager’s view of risk

46 46 Introduction u Professional managers cannot get rid of risk, but they can manage it u Managers may use a relative determination Less risk than average, more risk than average, or normal risk –Requires measuring risk using beta or return variance

47 47 Introduction (cont’d) u Long-term investors can assume above average risk because: Over the long run, more risk leads to better returns Some investors are unable to take a long-term perspective because of liquidity needs or other constraints –There may be an extra return increment for those who are able to supply long-term capital

48 48 Views of Risk u Relative market risk A portfolio beta more or less than 1 Dynamic because it implies a concern with periodic fluctuations in portfolio value u Dispersion around the average outcome Measure historical mean returns and standard deviations for your asset allocation

49 49 Views of Risk (cont’d) u Dispersion around a target return E.g., a sure percentage versus some fluctuation in return u Likelihood of failing to achieve a certain level of return E.g., minimize the probability that the return falls below the average inflation rate

50 50 The Manager’s View of Risk u Tversky and Kahneman’s fear of regret says that managers do not like having to apologize to clients, so they avoid risk Managers should manage the client’s investment risk, not the risk of their own egos One fiduciary duty requires the investment manager to act in the sole best interest of the client

51 51 Constraints u Time horizon u Tax situation u Liquidity needs u Legal considerations u Unique needs and special circumstances

52 52 Time Horizon u The length of time the investment will be at work is critical to proper asset allocation In the long run, daily fluctuations in security values do not matter The long-term growth of earnings is important in the long-run

53 53 Tax Situation u Taxes are the largest component of trading costs for many investors Federal, state, and local taxes can exceed 50 percent combined –Investors may avoid taxable bonds and stocks with a high dividend yield –Fund managers should carefully consider the sale of a stock, resulting in a realized (taxable) capital gain

54 54 Liquidity Needs u Some portfolios must produce a steady stream of income to the owner or to a set of beneficiaries The manager must ensure the required funds are available in a timely fashion

55 55 Legal Considerations u Some types of investment portfolios face a legal list of eligible assets E.g., restricted to investment-grade bonds or a minimum payout ratio of fund assets to maintain tax-exempt status

56 56 Unique Needs and Special Circumstances u Social investing E.g., clients may not want to invest in tobacco stocks or in electric utilities using nuclear power sources Empirical evidence on whether or not social investing influences realized investment returns is mixed

57 57 Risk & Return Considerations: Different Investors u Introduction u Individual investors u Institutional investors

58 58 Introduction u Suitability is important in developing appropriate investment policy statements Refers to the general fitness of a particular investment vehicle or investment approach to a particular investor Investment recommendations should be made with recognition of the suitability of individual investments for different situations

59 59 Individual Investors u Range of requirements u Portfolio integration with other assets u Risk education

60 60 Range of Requirements u Individual investors have a wider range of requirements than institutional investors The investment manager must refine: –The investor’s needs –The investor’s risk tolerance –The investor’s comprehension of the realities of the marketplace

61 61 Portfolio Integration With Other Assets u A manager who is responsible for the investor’s entire portfolio may face a substantially different set of constraints than a manager who handles only part of the investor’s assets The presence of other assets may change the appropriate return and level of risk tolerance

62 62 Risk Education u Some aspects of risk are not immediately logical Complicates decision making by the client

63 63 Institutional Investors u Mutual funds u Endowment funds u Pension funds u Life insurance companies u Property and casualty insurance companies

64 64 Mutual Funds u A mutual fund is an existing portfolio of assets into which someone can invest directly u All mutual funds have a stated investment objective The prospectus is the legal document that describes the fund’s purpose and investment policy

65 65 Mutual Funds (cont’d) u Mutual funds seek to earn the best return consistent with the requirements and constraints of the fund prospectus For a chosen level of risk, the fund manager seeks to maximize the total return

66 66 Endowment Funds u An endowment fund is a long-term investment portfolio designed to assist the organization in carrying out its charitable purpose u An endowment fund has three purposes: Help maintain operating independence Provide operational stability Provide a margin of excellence

67 67 Endowment Funds (cont’d) u Endowment funds frequently have an established payout rate based on the average level of fund assets u Endowments usually have at least 50 percent of their assets in equities The typical national asset mix is 60 percent equities and 40 percent bonds

68 68 Pension Funds u There are two main types of pension funds: In defined contribution plans, the employer establishes a set dollar contribution to be made on the employee’s behalf –The employee makes the asset allocation decision

69 69 Pension Funds (cont’d) u There are two main types of pension funds: In defined benefit plans, the employer guarantees a specific level of retirement benefits regardless of the performance of the market –E.g., when the employee reaches age 65, the firm will pay its retirees 75 percent of their three highest earning years annually

70 70 Life Insurance Companies u Life insurance companies are regulated by state insurance commissioners u Life insurance companies seldom have more than 10 percent of their assets in equities

71 71 Life Insurance Companies (cont’d) u Investment policy at a life insurance company is liability driven The performance of the capital markets is secondary The principal investment objective is to earn a competitive return on the surplus

72 72 Property and Casualty Insurance Companies u PC companies differ significantly from life insurance companies: Disasters strike without warning and vary in scope With many policies there is never a claim u Liquidity is especially important at a PC company

73 73 Critiquing and Revising the Investment Policy Statement u Characteristics of a good statement u Revising the policy

74 74 Characteristics of A Good Statement 1)It is realistic The return objectives are reasonable attainable in ordinary market conditions The target return and the statements about risk should be logically consistent

75 75 Characteristics of A Good Statement (cont’d) 2)It is unambiguous to an outsider Specify what return and yield mean Scrutinize words like normal, average, or ordinary

76 76 Characteristics of A Good Statement (cont’d) 3)It should have been sustainable over the past A statement should not contain language that everyone fully expects to be ignored periodically

77 77 Revising the Policy u Procedures for modifying the statement u Changes in the client’s financial condition

78 78 Procedures for Modifying the Statement u Changes should be made: When necessary When legally required Carefully and sparingly u An annual policy review provides a useful mechanism for discussing possible changes

79 79 Changes in the Client’s Financial Condition u It may be necessary to accelerate the policy review if there are material changes in the client’s financial situation The joint responsibility of the client and the investment manager

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