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To shortcut a third rail issue Christer Sanne Paris, April 18 2008.

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Presentation on theme: "To shortcut a third rail issue Christer Sanne Paris, April 18 2008."— Presentation transcript:

1 To shortcut a third rail issue Christer Sanne Paris, April

2 radical insight mainstream thinking How far is ”lagom”?

3 Growth = ∆ GDP = ∆ productivity * ∆ labour volume ”Degrowth” = ? * ?

4 ”Chasing your tail in environmental politics” Rebound effect:

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7 Weight 750 kg Mileage 9,4 l/100 km Weight 1370 kg Mileage 6,9 l/100 km Mileage/1000 kg weight: 12,5 ––> 5,0 l/100km (- 60%) Toyota Corolla 1967 Toyota Corolla 2008

8 Mileage for new cars in Sweden litre/10 km

9 HOW DO YOU USE THE GAIN?

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12 MODELLING 15 YEARS OF ECONOMIC CHANGE Source: L Olsen, work in progress basic assumptions

13 Growth = ∆ GDP = ∆ productivity * ∆ labour volume GDP 100 –> 134

14 GDP 100 –> 134 –> 133

15 GDP 100 –> 134 –> 133 –> 133 Mileage/1000 kg weight: 12,5 ––> 5,0 l/100km (- 60%)

16 GDP 100 –> 134 –> 133 –> 133 –> 132

17 Source: L Olsen, work in progress GDP 100 –> 134 –> 133 –> 133 –> 132 –> 118 or less

18 mainstream thinking How to argue and be listened to – without compromising one’s world view? radical insight

19 spare

20 MODELLING 15 YEARS OF ECONOMIC CHANGE Source: L Olsen, work in progress


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