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Proprietary & Confidential Outlook of Brazilian Agriculture XVI Joint Meeting of the BRAZIL – JAPAN Economic Cooperation Committee September 23 rd, 2013.

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Presentation on theme: "Proprietary & Confidential Outlook of Brazilian Agriculture XVI Joint Meeting of the BRAZIL – JAPAN Economic Cooperation Committee September 23 rd, 2013."— Presentation transcript:

1 Proprietary & Confidential Outlook of Brazilian Agriculture XVI Joint Meeting of the BRAZIL – JAPAN Economic Cooperation Committee September 23 rd, 2013 Belo Horizonte – Minas Gerais, Brazil Data sources: USDA, FAO, CIA, UN, CONAB, MAFF

2 Proprietary & Confidential Agrex do Brasil (former “Los Grobo Ceagro do Brasil”) 2 Mitsubishi Corporation has acquired a Brazilian grain company. “Agrex do Brasil S/A” (former “Los Grobo Ceagro do Brasil”) WHY ??? MA PI TO GO BA MT

3 Proprietary & Confidential World Demand for Grain Will Further Increase ( 95 million tons ) 2023 ( 144 million tons ) Asia 72mil (76%) Asia 117mil (81%) EU 12mil (13%) EU 11mil (8%) Others In the next decade, the world will need to import soybeans 49 million tons MORE, or 52% INCREASE. Most of the incremental comes from Asia. Example: Soybeans World Import Forecast

4 Proprietary & Confidential World Demand for Grain Will Further Increase 4 World Population:  Now:7.1 billions  2023:7.9 billions (2050:10.0 billions) Improvement of Living Standard (Change of Dietary): 1kg of Egg=3kg of grain 1kg of Poultry=4kg of grain 1kg of Pork=7kg of grain 1kg of Beef=11kg of grain

5 Proprietary & Confidential Who Can Supply This Demand Incremental ? 5 Used Available Land Availability (million HA) Available Land in Brazil Expansion into Northeast and North

6 Proprietary & Confidential 6 Who Can Supply This Demand Incremental ? Historical Soybeans Yield (tons / ha) Among Brazil, Argentine and USA (the 3 major export countries), Brazil shows the least volatility. This proves that Brazil has the most stable / favorable conditions: Precipitation, Temperature, Solar Radiation, Soil, Crop Management, etc. BrazilArgentine USA

7 Proprietary & Confidential 7 Sufficient Land Availability Favorable Weather Condition Plans for Logistics Developments Brazil Will Supply This Demand Incremental Example: Soybeans World Export Forecast 2013 ( 95 million tons ) 2023 ( 144 million tons ) Brazil 41mil (43%) Brazil 64mil (44%) USA 36mil (38%) USA 44mil (30%) Argentine 6mil (7%) Argentine 18mil (12%) Others These Make Brazil the further important grain supplier for the world

8 Proprietary & Confidential Other Agricultural Products Also Rely on Brazil 8 Coffee Export Brazil 32% (World No.1) Sugar Export Brazil 46% (World No.1) Poultry Export Brazil 36% (World No.1) Orange Juice Export Brazil 81% (World No.1) Pork ExportBeef Export Brazil 9% (World No.4) Brazil 17% (World No.2)

9 Proprietary & Confidential 【 Ref 】 Value Chain 9 “From Farm to Consumer”: Participate in every segment of the whole chain Overview the various markets as one ⇒ Define the markets needs / situation Grain Origination Logistics ExportImport Processing Livestock FarmsMeet PackingConsumer Retail


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