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Youth Unemployment Alan Ferrier & Ryan Scott Employability, Skills & lifelong Learning Analysis 5 th April 2012.

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Presentation on theme: "Youth Unemployment Alan Ferrier & Ryan Scott Employability, Skills & lifelong Learning Analysis 5 th April 2012."— Presentation transcript:

1 Youth Unemployment Alan Ferrier & Ryan Scott Employability, Skills & lifelong Learning Analysis 5 th April 2012

2 Scotland & UK (1992 – 2011) SCOTLAND 24.7% UK 21.5%

3 International Comparisons UK (21.9%) Scotland (24.3%) Spain (48.6%) Germany (7.1%)

4 Youths in Scotland 603, year olds in Scotland 314,000 in EMPLOYMENT (52%) 186,000 INACTIVE (31%) 102,000 UNEMPLOYED (17%)

5 Measurement of Headline Rates (16-24 year olds) Unemployment Rate = 24.7% Proportion of active labour force who are seeking but cannot find work = employment level / economically active level (employed + unemployed) Employment Rate = 52.1% Proportion of all 16-24s who are currently in work = employment level / total population Inactivity Rate = 30.9% Proportion of all 16-24s who are currently inactive (not working, not looking) = inactivity level / total population

6 Full time students ILO Definition - without a job, have been actively seek work in the past four weeks and are available to start work in the next two weeks, or - out of work, have found a job and are waiting to start it in the next two weeks Includes students

7 Youths in Scotland 603, year olds in Scotland 314,000 in EMPLOYMENT (52%) 186,000 INACTIVE (31%) 102,000 UNEMPLOYED (17%) 67,000 not in full-time education (65%) 36,000 enrolled in full-time education (35%)

8 Youth unemployment in local areas LFS sample size too small at LA level An alternative – Claimant Count Claimant Count and unemployment are not equivalent measures –many unemployed are ineligible or do not claim, etc. –different denominator for rates

9 Claimant count vs. unemployment for 16-24s in Scotland Data not seasonally adjusted

10 Youth claimant count hotspots methodology National hotspots –high claimant count level –improvement would make impact at national level Local hotspots –high claimant count rate –concern locally but improvement may not have impact on national level

11 Youth claimant count hotspots (12 month average to Jan 2012) National HotspotsLocal Hotspots RankLocal AuthorityCC LevelLocal AuthorityCC Rate 1Glasgow City6,737North Ayrshire10.8% 2North Lanarkshire3,648Clackmannanshire10.4% 3Fife3,366West Dunbartonshire10.4% 4Edinburgh, City of2,936East Ayrshire10.2% 5South Lanarkshire2,912North Lanarkshire9.7% 6Dundee City1,709Inverclyde8.8% 7North Ayrshire1,654South Lanarkshire8.4% 8Renfrewshire1,597Falkirk8.3% 9West Lothian1,491Renfrewshire8.1% 10East Ayrshire1,438Glasgow City8.1%

12 Youth claimant count hotspots (12 month average to Jan 2012) National HotspotsLocal Hotspots RankLocal AuthorityCC LevelLocal AuthorityCC Rate 1Glasgow City6,737North Ayrshire10.8% 2North Lanarkshire3,648Clackmannanshire10.4% 3Fife3,366West Dunbartonshire10.4% 4Edinburgh, City of2,936East Ayrshire10.2% 5South Lanarkshire2,912North Lanarkshire9.7% 6Dundee City1,709Inverclyde8.8% 7North Ayrshire1,654South Lanarkshire8.4% 8Renfrewshire1,597Falkirk8.3% 9West Lothian1,491Renfrewshire8.1% 10East Ayrshire1,438Glasgow City8.1%

13 Data and analysis (Youth Unemployment) Data from the Labour Force Survey (ONS) Available at Scotland level only ONS regional labour market bulletin –headline indicators SG secondary analysis –summary analysis of headline indicators –more detailed analysis published from April 2012

14 Data and analysis (Claimant Count) Data from Jobcentre Plus administrative system (ONS) Available at Scotland level and local level Nomis –data by geography, gender, age, duration, occupation sought, stocks and flows Scottish Neighbourhood Statistics –data by geography, gender and age (18-24) –data for year olds to be added in near future

15 Any Questions? Feel free to contact us:


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