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Presentation on theme: "My Orgo Sign-in Go to myorgo.com on your mobile device."— Presentation transcript:

1 My Orgo Sign-in Go to myorgo.com on your mobile device.
Hit Register and fill out your information. Follow the link provided in the . Re-sign in. If you don’t have a phone with internet capabilities, see Sam or Jake at the front.

2 THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS.  Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.

3 Tonight’s Agenda Administrative Info Dividends
Retail Industry Analysis Company Profile Current Market Events

4 Newcomer’s Information
We meet every Sunday at 7:15PM – 8:15PM at W151 in PBB Membership Dues: $25/semester Food/Drinks every meeting Investment information and education Great trading tips and strategies Investment Competition: $15/semester Best way to gain experience and learn Past prizes include iPads, Apple TVs, gift cards Fun Discussion atmosphere, member involvement

5 Market Researchers Roughly 8 members who have an interest in expanding their knowledge of capital markets Responsible for following one economic sector and presenting to the club Great resume experience Will write for the HawkTrade blog on the Motley Fool (www.fool.com)

6 Current market researchers
Ye Guo – Chinese stocks Katherine Doll – Healthcare Greg Frommelt – Industrials Edward Bellany – Energy Aaron Morse – Generalist Ryan Wettengel – Technology Nicholas Sulentic – Generalist Xiwen Liu – Chinese Stocks

7 Investment competition
Platform: Wall Street Survivor League: HawkTrade Competition Link: $15 fee to join Ability to win great prizes!!!

8 Investment competition
League Settings: Start Date: 9/15/2014 End Date: 12/ 05/2014 Portfolio Size: $100,000 Maximum Trade Position: 25% Able to trade derivatives and options If you have any questions, comments, or concerns, contact me:

9 http://iowahawktrade.com/ Get in Contact with us
Twitter

10 Last Week’s Stock Pick’em
1st : Edo Mwenda - SINO - Sino-Global Shipping–52.94% 2nd : Clint Vilks - COCO - Corinthian Colleges – 8.40% 3rd : Adam VanFleet - ISIS - ISIS Pharmaceuticals – 6.26%

11 Stock Pick’em – Big Short
Pick a stock that you think will lose the most on the week. Tweet your stock’s ticker symbol or it to Top 2 losers on the week, win a Noodles & Co giftcard. No stock splits!

12 Dividends

13 What is a Dividend? A distribution of a portion of a company's earnings, decided by the board of directors, to a class of its shareholders. The dividend is most often quoted in terms of the dollar amount each share receives (dividends per share). It can also be quoted in terms of a percent of the current market price, referred to as dividend yield.

14 Why do they matter? A stock’s price is a valuation of the expected future cash flows. Dividends are the return of cash (or earnings) to shareholders. Important to invest in stocks that create shareholder value. No dividends, no cash flows.

15 Dividend Discount Model

16 The Dividend Yield The annual dividend income per share divided by the current share price. Comparative analysis tool for companies in the same industry. Low yield, could indicate stock is expensive (high multiple) or weak financial health. High yield, stock is undervalued (low multiple), or strong financial health.

17 Company Dividend Yields
Apple (AAPL) – 2.00% Amazon (AMZN) – 0.00% Microsoft – 2.60% Tesla (TSLA) – 0.00% Caterpillar – 2.80% Wisconsin Energy Corp – 3.60% Ford Motor Co. – 2.90% JP Morgan – 2.80%

18 Dividend by Sector

19 Industry Analysis Retail

20 Industry Overview Lackluster performance amidst improving economical conditions Sensitive to Federal Reserve Bank announcements on interest rates Changing shopping models to internet and mobile devices

21 Performance of Retail Indices
While the aggregate are bringing returns, the retail indices under-performing Online merchants are cutting into profits (Staples) Cold winters halted construction and home improvement projects (Home Depot, Lowe’s)

22 Top Retailers Closing Prices
Costco, Target, Lowe’s, Safeway and Best Buy have seen price decreases this year Macy’s, Wal-Mart and Home Depot saw healthy gains during the period Overall profitability grew by 8.7%

23 Major American Retailers Market Capitalization
American retail sector is HUGE One million stores and US$5 trillion dollars in revenues 12% of trade volume 11% of total employment Notable retail sales growth has been seen in: Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers (7.83%) & Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores(3.52%)

24 E-Commerce & M-Commerce Mergers & Acquisitions
Market Trends E-Commerce & M-Commerce Sales grew by 315% and kept growing by 6.38% in 1st qtr. Goldman Sachs estimates that sales through m-commerce will triple by 2018 Mergers & Acquisitions Signet Jewelers (SIG) purchased Zales Corporation (ZLC) for US$900 million Men’s Wearhouse acquired all outstanding shares of Jos. A. Bank for US$1.8 billion

25 Company Profile Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA)

26 History of Alibaba Group
“Our mission is to make it easy to do business anywhere” Provider of a platform for third parties to come to market

27 Brand Presence Taobao Marketplace had millions of product listed and registered users Alipay has a strong presence in China Tmall.com is a B2C market for brand name goods

28 Market Size China e-commerce is predicted to surpass that of the US
Favorable upwards trends in Chinese consumer power and internet usage Penetration of tablets and mobile devices has increased m-commerce

29 Gross Merchandise Value Growth
“The total value of merchandise sold over a given period of time through a customer to customer exchange site.”

30 Subsidiaries of Alibaba Group
China Commerce Retail. China Commerce Wholesale. International Commerce Retail International Commerce Wholesale. Cloud Computing and Internet Infrastructure.

31 Comparative Financial Analysis
Compared to competitors BABA has outstanding gross margins Gross margin is the sales revenue retained after the costs directly associated to the product/service

32 Major Indices

33 FOMC Meeting FED Funds Rate to stay at .25% for the near future.
Expected to finish bond buying program by the end of October. Yellen estimated we could see normalized rates by the end of 2017. Cited a weak labor market as a concern for future policy.

34 Stock & Bond Reactions Stocks saw dovish signs in the FOMC press conference. Bonds saw hawkish signs in the FOMC press conference. Hawkish – higher rates, tightening the money supply, worry more about inflation Dovish – lower rates, loosening money supply, worry more about jobs

35 10 Year Treasury


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