Presentation on theme: "Myths & Facts… Forests, Carbon, and Global Warming Doug Heiken."— Presentation transcript:
Myths & Facts… Forests, Carbon, and Global Warming Doug Heiken
O r e g o n W i l d (formerly Oregon Natural Resources Council) Mission: To aggressively protect and restore Oregon’s wildlands, wildlife, and water as an enduring legacy. Goal: To permanently protect roadless areas and old-growth forest ecosystems. Climate change threatens forests. Conserving forests will store carbon and help mitigate a threat to earth’s climate and to the forests themselves.
Facing Reality … Nearly everything we do must change. All net carbon emissions are adverse. None can be considered insignificant. All ecosystems are important. Forests just happen to store a lot of carbon. Forest conservation is part of the solution to a very large problem.
Ingerson, Ann L. 2007. U.S. Forest Carbon and Climate Change. Washington, D.C.: The Wilderness Society. We can’t save the forests and continue to drive our SUVs.
Understanding forest carbon flows Forests absorb, store, and emit carbon. Forest management affects all three. Relevant carbon pools include not just trees, but the atmosphere, dead wood, other vegetation, roots, litter, soil. To debunk myths, find the grain of truth, “follow the carbon” and consider the longevity of carbon in each pool.
YOUNG FOREST MYTH: Fast-growing young forests absorb more carbon and are better for the climate than slow-growing old forests. Reality: Most old forests are still growing and absorbing carbon. Old forests store far more carbon than young forests. Mature forests cannot be converted into young forests without losing most of the carbon to the atmosphere.
EXPERTS AGREE “In contrast to the sink management proposed in the Kyoto protocol, which favors young forest stands, we argue that preservation of natural old- growth forests may have a larger effect on the carbon cycle than promotion of regrowth.... [I]ncreasing life-span of the stand, proportionally more carbon can be transferred into a permanent pool of soil carbon... [R]eplacing unmanaged old-growth forest by young Kyoto stands... will lead to massive carbon losses to the atmosphere mainly by replacing a large pool with a minute pool of regrowth and by reducing the flux into a permanent pool of soil organic matter.” Ernst-Detlef Schulze, Christian Wirth, Martin Heimann. CLIMATE CHANGE: Managing Forests After Kyoto. Science 22 September 2000: Vol. 289. no. 5487, pp. 2058 - 2059.
Photosynthesis stopped here … Where did the carbon go?
WOOD PRODUCTS MYTH: It’s better to store carbon in wood products, rather than in forests. Example: "Carbon stays trapped in the wood, locked in the lumber …." Reality: Carbon is stored more securely in long-lived forests than in short-lived wood products.
Ingerson, Ann L. 2007. U.S. Forest Carbon and Climate Change. Washington, D.C.: The Wilderness Society. Where did the carbon go? The timber industry transfers most of the carbon in the forest to the atmosphere as logging slash, mill waste, and processing emissions.
Some trees die … … so that others may live long and grow large. Fire is an essential ecological process that helps forests stay healthy.
Fires occur in limited areas for a limited duration, while photosynthesis dominates everywhere else. BIG PICTURE: The places that don’t burn absorb more carbon than is emitted by the places that do burn.
Most forest fires emit far less carbon than logging. Wayburn, Laurie A., et al. 2000. Forest Carbon in the United States: Opportunities & Options for Private Lands. San Francisco: Pacific Forest Trust.
Most carbon remains on site after forest fires. Large dead trees can last for many decades.
Fire creates charcoal which is very stable form of carbon.
TROPICAL FOREST MYTH: Forests outside the tropics are unimportant because they do not contribute significantly to global carbon storage. Reality: Pacific NW temperate rainforests can attain the greatest biomass per acre of any ecosystem on earth. Temperate and boreal forests are very extensive and currently serve as net carbon sinks.
Global Ecosystem Carbon Density. Olson, J.S, J.A. Watts, and L.J. Allsion. 1985. Major World Ecosystem Complexes Ranked by Carbon in Live Vegetation: A Database. ORNL/CDIAC-134, NDP-017. Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, U.S. Department of Energy, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee, U.S.A. (Revised 2001) http://cdiac.ornl.gov/epubs/ndp/ndp017/ndp017.htmlMajor World Ecosystem Complexes Ranked by Carbon in Live Vegetation: A Databasehttp://cdiac.ornl.gov/epubs/ndp/ndp017/ndp017.html
ALBEDO MYTH: Forests are dark green, so they exacerbate global warming by absorbing rather than reflecting the sun's energy.
Actually, albedo only trumps forest carbon storage when forests are replaced by snow for long periods. This might happen in boreal areas with long, cold winters, but not in temperate forests of the Pacific Northwest.
Forests can also have a cooling effect by increasing albedo. Forests transpire a lot of water and emit “cloud condensation nuclei” which help create reflective clouds.
THE “DOOMSDAY” MYTH: Protecting forests won’t help because climate change will be extreme, causing forests to release large amounts of carbon due to stress and disturbance. http://www.x-cd.com/mcss04/S01a.pdf
Forests will first … “Green Up” Then … “Brown Down” Fire Insects Drought Longer growing seasons Drought tolerance CO 2 fertilization Actually, many forests may thrive before they decline.
Increased CO 2 makes trees more drought tolerant. With more CO 2 in the air, plants quickly get their fill of carbon, then actively close their stomata to reduce water loss.
Even under extreme climate scenarios, forest conservation still makes sense. Keeping more carbon in the forest instead of the atmosphere will help prevent a bad situation from getting worse. Even if forests switch from being carbon sinks to carbon sources, we could make the source worse through mismanagement of forests. If the effects of economic exploitation of forests are added to anticipated climate stresses, carbon emissions will increase.
Don’t forget all the other reasons to protect forests. Managing forests for carbon storage is complementary with other important ecosystem services that flow from forests. Clean water Fish & wildlife habitat Soil conservation Quality of life Economic diversification Capture, storage & release of water, nutrients & sediment.
METHANE MYTH: Allowing wood to rot in the forest releases methane (CH 4 ) which is 23 times worse than CO 2. Reality: A small fraction of burning and rotting wood may be converted to methane instead of CO 2. Allowing wood to rot in the forest is no worse than wood that rots in our cities and landfills.
SUBSTITUTION MYTH: Using wood products from short-rotation clearcutting reduces carbon emissions by substituting for more carbon intensive products like steel and cement. Reality: Using wood does not guarantee that fossil fuels will stay in the ground, and extending harvest rotations is still best for the climate.
Ingerson, Ann L. 2007. U.S. Forest Carbon and Climate Change. Washington, D.C.: The Wilderness Society. The alleged value of wood product substitution.
But if we start from a native forest instead of a clearcut… It takes a very long time for substitution to off-set the carbon deficit caused by logging native forest. What discount rate do we apply?
SOLUTIONS: Expect surprises. Correct the market. Conserve forests.
Climate change will be slow. Forests will make a smooth transition to a new equilibrium. Reality: Accelerating climate change will increase disequilibrium between the climate and biosphere. Reorganization of ecosystems will sometimes be rapid and chaotic. Ecosystems will disassemble and reassemble in novel ways. Holling et al. In Search of a Theory of Adaptive Change “NO SURPRISES” MYTH:
Manage ecosystems to be resilient to change. Manage for diversity in all its dimensions. Maintain functional redundancy. Facilitate migration of species. Establish a network of protected areas along climatic gradients. Rely on self-organized ecosystem processes rather than human intervention. Prepare forests for climate change:
MARKET CORRECTIONS: Ensure that carbon consequences are reflected in the price of wood and other products. This will help: Level the playing field between wood and alternative materials. Reduce demand – e.g., reverse the trend toward larger houses, “supersized” stuff, and excessive packaging. Reuse/Recycle – e.g., “salvage” wood from old buildings, not forests. Increase longevity of products – Build things to last. Reward forest owners for conservation.
Conserve existing large stores of carbon in mature and old-growth forests and roadless areas. Let young forests grow longer. Extend harvest rotations. Retain more live trees and dead during harvest. Avoid uncharacteristic high- severity fire. This might require logging small trees. Protect large trees and soil both before and after fire. FOREST MANAGEMENT RECOMMENDATIONS HELP FORESTS “RETAIN” AND “REBUILD” CARBON STORES.
About 1 million acres of mature and old-growth forests remain unprotected on public lands in the northwest. Spotted owl habitat is a great carbon store but the Bush administration is removing safeguards for owl habitat. BLM is proposing a 7-fold increase in old-growth clearcutting in Western Oregon. Forest Service and BLM have eliminated protections for biodiversity. Current policy is going in the wrong direction.