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Vulnerability to Climate Change

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Presentation on theme: "Vulnerability to Climate Change"— Presentation transcript:

1 Vulnerability to Climate Change
Habiba Gitay World Bank Institute The World Bank

2 IPCC – defines vulnerability as
The degree to which a system is susceptible to, or unable to cope with, adverse effects of climate change, including climate variability and extremes. Vulnerability is a function of the character, magnitude, and rate of climate variation to which a system is exposed, its sensitivity, and its adaptive capacity.

3 Climate change has many characteristics and affects countries in many ways

4 Impacts - already occurring – low income countries most affected
Drought Flood Storm Sea-level rise Impact on Agriculture Malawi Bangladesh Philippines All low-lying Island States Sudan Ethiopia China Vietnam Senegal Zimbabwe India Madagascar Egypt Cambodia Tunisia Mali Mozambique Moldova Indonesia Zambia Niger Laos Mongolia Mauritania Morocco Pakistan Haiti Eritrea Sri Lanka Samoa Mexico Thailand Tonga Myanmar Chad Algeria Kenya Benin Honduras Iran Rwanda Fiji Libya Middle income countries Low income countries

5 Proportion of people affected by climate related disasters

6 People affected by floods and droughts in Africa

7 Major development sectors affected/vulnerable
Water – its availability Agriculture – options to reduce adverse impacts Urban - Direct – e.g. heat-waves, flooding - Indirect – e.g. rural to urban migration Infrastructure – Damage and decreased lifespan Coastal – Storm surge, sea-level rise, saltwater intrusion Natural systems – Damage, failure to regenerate (e.g. after frequent fires)

8 Agriculture: Impacts Are Likely to Worsen Over Time – additional challenges and vulneabilities
Percentage change in agricultural yields between now and 2050 Source: WDR 2010

9 Health impacts by 2040 By 2030 Increased mortality due to malnutrition, infectious and respiratory diseases, vector and water borne diseases, heat related diseases in many parts of the world 9 9

10 Scarcity of natural resources and climate Change could lead to migration and conflict and there are hotspots WBG 2007

11 Innovation in Carbon Finance: Biocarbon Fund
Costa Rica: Coopeagri Forestry Project The project reimburses farmers for environmental services of biodiversity protection as a result of reforestation. Payments will be complemented with the income from the carbon sales. At least 600 farmers in 38 rural communities are currently associated with Coopeagri, a cooperative of coffee, sugar cane farmers who have agreed to introduce forestry production activities in their farms. The project is expected to sequester around 0.56Mt C02e by 2017.

12 Pilot Program for Climate Resilience (PPCR)
First operational program under the Strategic Climate Fund: $967million in grants and IDA-like resources Purpose To help highly vulnerable countries pilot and demonstrate ways to integrate climate risk and resilience into core development planning while complementing other ongoing activities. Participating countries: Bangladesh, Bolivia, Cambodia, Mozambique, Nepal, Niger, Tanzania, Yemen, Zambia, Regional Programs: Caribbean (Dominica, Grenada, Haiti, Jamaica, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and Grenadines) and South Pacific (Papua New Guinea, Samoa, Tonga) Example: Cambodia Technical support for mainstreaming climate resilience Piloting vulnerability assessments and investments on an ecosystem basis Strengthening data collection on climate risks Promoting participation of the private sector and civil society

13 Working together to reduce poverty and vulnerability
Different countries affected differently now and in future Climate change is an added stress - pushes them over the edge Marginalised groups - often face multiple stresses – are most vulnerable Reducing poverty will have multiple benefits including decreasing vulnerability to climate change Your parliamentary functions – representative, legislative, oversight – and your leadership role in and out of parliament are critical MPs can share knowledge amongst themsleves and develop guidance to fast track the much needed policies and strategies 13

14 Integrate climate change as part and parcel of sustainable development
“Climate change policies cannot be the frosting on the cake of development; they must be baked into the recipe of growth and social development” Robert Zoelick, President, The World Bank 14

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